Tigre – Atletico Tucuman: probabilities, statistics and live score

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TigreApertura - Group B · #10

0-1Saturday, October 24

Atletico TucumanApertura - Group B · #13

Match events

TigreAtletico Tucuman

32'Santiago Gonzalez
43'César Leonel Vega
45'Clever Domingo Ferreira Ñamandu
45'⇄Juan VillalbaOff: Alan Barrionuevo
64'Ramiro Ruiz Rodriguez
67'⇄Mauro MéndezOff: Ignacio Russo

Chances to win

Tigre%54

Draw%28

Atletico Tucuman%18

At a glance

Over 1.5

%38Over 2.5

%41Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.

%62Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Not both score%59

Tigre win%54

Both score%41

Over 2.5%38

Draw%28

Atletico Tucuman win%18

Why?

Tigre: 2 or fewer goals in 7 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

TigreD2-2L1-2L1-2L2-3L0-1

Atletico TucumanL2-3D1-1L2-3L0-1D1-1

Last 7 meetings

1Tigre won

5Draw

1Atletico Tucuman won

0.9
Goals per game2/7
Over 2.51/7
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Tigre · last 10 at home2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Atletico Tucuman · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Tigre · last 10 at home4.3 corners, 2.1 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/10Over 4.5 corners2/10Over 5.5 corners

Atletico Tucuman · last 8 away3.9 corners, 2.6 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners4/8Over 4.5 corners3/8Over 5.5 corners3/8Over 0.5 cards7/8Over 1.5 cards5/8

18R. Ruíz Rodríguez

Bench

T. Durso, M. Villa, G. Ferrari, J. Rodríguez, G. Compagnucci, J. Fernández, E. Ham, L. Díaz, A. Canelo, F. Pimienta, R. Granillo, M. Brondo

Atletico Tucuman – TigreSeptember 15, 2018 · Liga Profesional Argentina3-0

Atletico Tucuman – TigreFebruary 25, 2018 · Liga Profesional Argentina0-0

Tigre – Atletico TucumanDecember 20, 2016 · Liga Profesional Argentina0-0

Gonzalo MartínezOff: Santiago Lopez Grobin

72'⚽Ramiro Ruiz RodriguezAssist: Juan Infante

75'Ramiro Ruiz Rodriguez

78'⇄Manuel BrondoOff: Nicolás Laméndola

82'⇄Ian SubiabreOff: Federico Alvarez

82'⇄Manuel FernándezOff: Jabes Saralegui

83'⇄Gabriel CompagnucciOff: Lautaro Godoy

83'⇄Julián FernándezOff: Iván Tesuri

Statistics

69%Possession31%

1.34Expected goals1.02

17Total shots11

5Shots on target3

10Corners4

8Fouls16

1Offsides2

1Yellow cards2

0Red cards1

2Saves5

Atletico Tucuman: 2 or fewer goals in 8 of their last 10 away matches.

Tigre scored 0.9 and conceded 0.7 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Atletico Tucuman scored 1.1 and conceded 0.5 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Tigre · last 10 at home: 2 or fewer goals 7 times7/10

Atletico Tucuman · last 10 away: 2 or fewer goals 8 times8/10

Tigre: 10 games · Atletico Tucuman: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

0.7Goals scored (avg)1.2

0.8Goals conceded (avg)0.4

1.5Total goals per gameleague 2.11.6

8/10Over 0.5league %889/10

4/10Over 1.5league %655/10

3/10Over 2.5league %382/10

0/10Over 3.5league %160/10

0/10Over 4.5league %60/10

3/10Both scoreleague %473/10

4/10Clean sheets6/10

5/10Failed to score2/10

Tigre: 10 games · Atletico Tucuman: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.1Goals scored (avg)1.1

1.4Goals conceded (avg)1.3

2.5Total goals per gameleague 2.12.4

9/10Over 0.5league %889/10

7/10Over 1.5league %657/10

6/10Over 2.5league %384/10

2/10Over 3.5league %162/10

1/10Over 4.5league %62/10

6/10Both scoreleague %477/10

2/10Clean sheets2/10

3/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

Atletico Tucuman: a 5-match wait for a win is over.

%29 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Tigre win 440, 275 end level and Atletico Tucuman win 285. The actual result comes up 285 times in 1000.

%19 Our model's pre-match chance of an Atletico Tucuman win.

10 – 4 Corners: Tigre 10 – 4 Atletico Tucuman.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 7 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Tigre · Liga Profesional Argentina

Atletico Tucuman · Liga Profesional Argentina

Tigre · All games

Atletico Tucuman · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Tigre's ground

Last 7 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match