By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.
Gimnasia L.P. · last 10 at home3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 4 games it led at half-time.
Atletico Tucuman · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 3 games it led at half-time.
Corners and cards
Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.
Gimnasia L.P. · last 9 at home4.1 corners, 2.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners5/9Over 4.5 corners4/9Over 5.5 corners2/9
Referee
Pablo Dovalo4.5 cards a match in 34 recorded games
Premium members onlyLikely scores, likely scorers, corner, card and half chances.Go Premium
Missing players
No absentees reported
Starting line-ups
Gimnasia L.P. · 4-2-3-1
23N. Insfrán
13G. Conti
21E. Martínez
22M. Melluso
31B. Barros Schelotto
5I. Miramón
8I. Fernández
9M. Zalazar
17L. Janson
19A. Colazo
29A. Auzmendi
Bench
H. Castillo, R. Giampaoli, J. Cortazzo, M. Ojeda, N. Schelotto, A. Max, M. Seoane, J. Pérez, A. Steimbach, M. Panaro, F. Torres, M. Torres
Atletico Tucuman · 4-1-4-1
1L. Ingolotti
This fixture at Gimnasia L.P.'s ground
The meetings the home side hosted, of the last 3
2Gimnasia L.P. won
0Draw
1Atletico Tucuman won
Gimnasia L.P. last won here on Sep 1, 2025: Gimnasia L.P. 1-0 Atletico Tucuman.Atletico Tucuman last won here on Nov 11, 2023: Gimnasia L.P. 1-2 Atletico Tucuman.1.7 goals a game here · over 2.5 1/3 · BTTS 1/3
The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.
%58Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓
Other scenarios
Not both score%54
Gimnasia L.P. win%49
Both score%46
Over 2.5%42
Draw%28
Atletico Tucuman win%23
Why?
Atletico Tucuman · last 10 away: 2 or fewer goals 7 times7/10
Gimnasia L.P.: 2 or fewer goals in 4 of their last 10 home matches.
Atletico Tucuman: 2 or fewer goals in 7 of their last 10 away matches.
Gimnasia L.P. scored 1.8 and conceded 1.3 per game in their last 10 home matches.
Atletico Tucuman scored 1.1 and conceded 0.6 per game in their last 10 away matches.
Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.
Gimnasia L.P.: 10 games · Atletico Tucuman: 10 games · league average in grey
Goals
1.9Goals scored (avg)1.2
0.8Goals conceded (avg)0.4
2.7Total goals per gameleague 2.21.6
10/10Over 0.5league %889/10
8/10Over 1.5league %655/10
4/10Over 2.5league %382/10
3/10Over 3.5league %160/10
2/10Over 4.5league %60/10
5/10Both scoreleague %473/10
5/10Clean sheets6/10
0/10Failed to score2/10
Gimnasia L.P.: 10 games · Atletico Tucuman: 10 games · league average in grey
Goals
1.7Goals scored (avg)1.1
1.2Goals conceded (avg)1.3
2.9Total goals per gameleague 2.22.4
10/10Over 0.5league %889/10
10/10Over 1.5league %657/10
6/10Over 2.5league %384/10
2/10Over 3.5league %162/10
1/10Over 4.5league %62/10
9/10Both scoreleague %477/10
1/10Clean sheets2/10
0/10Failed to score2/10
The real story of the match
What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.
%20 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Gimnasia L.P. win 748, 196 end level and Atletico Tucuman win 56. The actual result comes up 196 times in 1000.
%28 Our model's pre-match chance of a draw.
1.82 – 0.31 The score the chances deserved (xG): Gimnasia L.P. 1.82 – 0.31 Atletico Tucuman.
Gimnasia L.P.Apertura - Group B · #6
Atletico TucumanApertura - Group B · #13