Atletico Tucuman – Rosario Central: probabilities, statistics and live score

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Atletico TucumanApertura - Group B · #13

2-3Sunday, October 18

Rosario CentralApertura - Group B · #4

Match events

Atletico TucumanRosario Central

3'⚽Gaston AvilaAssist: Ángel Di María
6'⚽Gaston AvilaAssist: Giovanni Ismael Cantizano
10'César Leonel Vega
30'Álan Rodríguez
37'⚽Pedro Alexis CaneloAssist: Ramiro Ruiz Rodriguez
38'Leonel Di Plácido
42'

Chances to win

Atletico Tucuman%27

Draw%31

Rosario Central%42

At a glance

Over 1.5

%38Over 2.5

%45Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.

%62Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed

Other scenarios

Not both score%55

Both score%45

Rosario Central win%42

Over 2.5%38

Draw%31

Atletico Tucuman win%27

Why?

Atletico Tucuman: 2 or fewer goals in 5 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Atletico TucumanD1-1L2-3L0-1D1-1L1-2

Rosario CentralW5-0D1-1W3-1W1-0W1-0

Last 8 meetings

0Atletico Tucuman won

5Draw

3Rosario Central won

2.0
Goals per game3/8
Over 2.55/8
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Atletico Tucuman · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Rosario Central · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Atletico Tucuman · last 8 at home5.8 corners, 1.5 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/8Over 4.5 corners4/8Over 5.5 corners3/8Over 0.5 cards

Rosario Central · last 8 away4.9 corners, 3.1 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners5/8Over 4.5 corners3/8Over 5.5 corners3/8Over 0.5 cards7/8Over 1.5 cards7/8

Bench

S. Zaracho, J. Komar, F. Mallo, Juan Valentín Giménez, A. Soto, E. Veron, F. Cervi, M. Ruben, T. Badaloni, J. Fernández

August 27, 2024 · Liga Profesional Argentina

Atletico Tucuman – Rosario CentralJanuary 26, 2024 · Copa de la Liga Profesional1-1

Rosario Central – Atletico TucumanAugust 20, 2023 · Copa de la Liga Profesional0-0

Atletico Tucuman – Rosario CentralApril 18, 2023 · Liga Profesional Argentina2-2

Atletico Tucuman – Rosario CentralOctober 14, 2022 · Liga Profesional Argentina1-1

Ramiro Ruiz RodriguezAssist: Leandro Díaz

45'⇄Ezequiel HamOff: César Leonel Vega

70'Giovanni Ismael Cantizano

74'⇄Ignacio GalvanOff: Pedro Alexis Canelo

75'⇄Maximiliano VillaOff: Leonel Di Plácido

78'⇄Julian FernandezOff: Giovanni Ismael Cantizano

78'⇄Marco RubenOff: Enzo Copetti

80'⚽Julian FernandezAssist: Álan Rodríguez

82'⇄Nicolás LaméndolaOff: Franco Nicola

82'⇄Iván TesuriOff: Ramiro Ruiz Rodriguez

82'⇄Facundo MalloOff: Emanuel Coronel

90+5'⇄Juan GiménezOff: Ángel Di María

90+5'⇄Franco CerviOff: Jaminton Campaz

Statistics

34%Possession66%

1.42Expected goals0.77

15Total shots16

5Shots on target9

5Corners6

11Fouls7

1Offsides1

3Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

6Saves3

Rosario Central: 2 or fewer goals in 6 of their last 10 away matches.

Atletico Tucuman scored 1.1 and conceded 0.9 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Rosario Central scored 1.0 and conceded 1.1 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Atletico Tucuman · last 10 at home: 2 or fewer goals 5 times5/10

Rosario Central · last 10 away: 2 or fewer goals 6 times6/10

Atletico Tucuman: 10 games · Rosario Central: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.2Goals scored (avg)1.5

1.2Goals conceded (avg)1.0

2.4Total goals per gameleague 2.12.5

7/10Over 0.5league %8810/10

7/10Over 1.5league %656/10

5/10Over 2.5league %385/10

3/10Over 3.5league %163/10

2/10Over 4.5league %61/10

6/10Both scoreleague %476/10

4/10Clean sheets3/10

3/10Failed to score1/10

Atletico Tucuman: 10 games · Rosario Central: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.1Goals scored (avg)2.0

1.3Goals conceded (avg)0.8

2.4Total goals per gameleague 2.12.8

9/10Over 0.5league %8810/10

7/10Over 1.5league %658/10

4/10Over 2.5league %385/10

2/10Over 3.5league %163/10

2/10Over 4.5league %62/10

7/10Both scoreleague %476/10

2/10Clean sheets4/10

2/10Failed to score0/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%20 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Atletico Tucuman win 525, 272 end level and Rosario Central win 203. The actual result comes up 203 times in 1000.

1.42 – 0.77 The score the chances deserved (xG): Atletico Tucuman 1.42 – 0.77 Rosario Central.

34 – 66 Possession (%): Atletico Tucuman 34 – 66 Rosario Central.

8.9

Man of the match: G. Ávila (Rosario Central), rated 8.9.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 8 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Atletico Tucuman · Liga Profesional Argentina

Rosario Central · Liga Profesional Argentina

Atletico Tucuman · All games

Rosario Central · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Atletico Tucuman's ground

Last 8 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match