Independ. Rivadavia – Tigre: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina · Clausura - 13

Independ. RivadaviaApertura - Group B · #1

2-2Saturday, October 17

TigreApertura - Group B · #10

Match events

Independ. RivadaviaTigre

20'⚽Matías FernándezAssist: Juan Elordi
26'⚽Alan BarrionuevoAssist: Jabes Saralegui
27'Ignacio Peluffo
45'⇄Valentín MorenoOff: Ignacio Peluffo
52'⚽Jose Ignacio Florentin
59'Iván Villalba
62'

Chances to win

Independ. Rivadavia%48

Draw%29

Tigre%23

At a glance

Over 1.5

%43Over 2.5

%48Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.

%57Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed

Other scenarios

Not both score%53

Independ. Rivadavia win%48

Both score%48

Over 2.5%43

Draw%29

Tigre win%23

Why?

Independ. Rivadavia: 2 or fewer goals in 5 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Independ. RivadaviaL0-5D1-1W1-0D1-1W4-3

TigreL1-2L1-2L2-3L0-1L1-2

Last 6 meetings

4Independ. Rivadavia won

1Draw

1Tigre won

2.7
Goals per game2/6
Over 2.53/6
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Independ. Rivadavia · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).5/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 5 games it led at half-time.

Tigre · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Independ. Rivadavia · last 8 at home4.4 corners, 1.9 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners5/8Over 4.5 corners4/8Over 5.5 corners2/8Over 0.5 cards

Tigre · last 9 away3.7 corners, 2.6 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners4/9Over 4.5 corners3/9Over 5.5 corners2/9Over 0.5 cards8/9Over 1.5 cards8/9

Bench

L. Morales, V. Moreno, G. Requena, T. Serrago, N. Dubersarsky, P. Martínez, M. Fernández, A. Oviedo, M. Méndez

Independ. Rivadavia – TigreFebruary 16, 2025 · Liga Profesional Argentina1-4

Tigre – Independ. RivadaviaDecember 9, 2024 · Liga Profesional Argentina0-2

Manuel FernándezOff: Santiago Gonzalez

62'⇄Mauro MéndezOff: Ignacio Russo

62'Manuel Fernández

67'⇄Leonel BuccaOff: Matías Fernández

68'⇄Tomas BottariOff: Luis Sequeira

74'⇄Luis Ángel Díaz CuestaOff: Fabrizio Sartori Prieto

74'⇄Victorio RamisOff: Matías Reali

74'⇄Juan VillalbaOff: Joaquín Laso

79'⇄Ian SubiabreOff: Bruno Javier Leyes Sosa

81'⇄Kevin VázquezOff: Luis Ángel Díaz Cuesta

90+2'⚽Manuel FernándezAssist: Federico Alvarez

Statistics

43%Possession57%

1.1Expected goals1.13

11Total shots11

2Shots on target4

2Corners7

8Fouls11

2Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

2Saves0

Tigre: 2 or fewer goals in 4 of their last 10 away matches.

Independ. Rivadavia scored 1.7 and conceded 1.2 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Tigre scored 1.2 and conceded 1.3 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Independ. Rivadavia · last 10 at home: 2 or fewer goals 5 times5/10

Independ. Rivadavia: 10 games · Tigre: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.8Goals scored (avg)1.5

1.3Goals conceded (avg)1.3

3.1Total goals per gameleague 2.12.8

10/10Over 0.5league %889/10

9/10Over 1.5league %658/10

6/10Over 2.5league %387/10

3/10Over 3.5league %163/10

1/10Over 4.5league %61/10

9/10Both scoreleague %476/10

1/10Clean sheets3/10

0/10Failed to score2/10

Independ. Rivadavia: 10 games · Tigre: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.5Goals scored (avg)1.1

1.7Goals conceded (avg)1.4

3.2Total goals per gameleague 2.12.5

10/10Over 0.5league %889/10

8/10Over 1.5league %657/10

5/10Over 2.5league %386/10

5/10Over 3.5league %162/10

2/10Over 4.5league %61/10

6/10Both scoreleague %476/10

2/10Clean sheets2/10

2/10Failed to score3/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%29 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Independ. Rivadavia win 348, 289 end level and Tigre win 363. The actual result comes up 289 times in 1000.

%29 Our model's pre-match chance of a draw.

2 – 7 Corners: Independ. Rivadavia 2 – 7 Tigre.

8.0

Man of the match: M. Fernández (Tigre), rated 8.0.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 6 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Independ. Rivadavia · Liga Profesional Argentina

Tigre · Liga Profesional Argentina

Independ. Rivadavia · All games

Tigre · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Independ. Rivadavia's ground

Last 6 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match