Atletico Paranaense – Palmeiras: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Serie A · Brazil · Matchday 31

Atletico ParanaenseSerie A · #5

0-2Sunday, October 18

PalmeirasSerie A · #2

Match events

Atletico ParanaensePalmeiras

6'⚽Maurício Magalhães PradoAssist: José Manuel López
9'Gilberto
10'⚽Joaquín Piquerez
22'Andreas Pereira
35'Joaquín Piquerez
43'Andreas Pereira
45'

Chances to win

Atletico Paranaense%34

Draw%28

Palmeiras%39

At a glance

Over 1.5

%50Over 2.5

%55Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Both score.

%55Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed

Other scenarios

Under 2.5%50

Over 2.5%50

Not both score%45

Palmeiras win%39

Atletico Paranaense win%34

Draw%28

Why?

Atletico Paranaense: both sides scored in 6 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Atletico ParanaenseW4-1D2-2W2-1D3-3L1-3

PalmeirasW2-1W4-1W1-0D0-0L2-3

Last 9 meetings

3Atletico Paranaense won

2Draw

4Palmeiras won

2.3
Goals per game3/9
Over 2.53/9
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Atletico Paranaense · last 10 at home3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Palmeiras · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Atletico Paranaense · last 10 at home6.6 corners, 2.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners9/10Over 4.5 corners8/10Over 5.5 corners7/10

Palmeiras · last 10 away4.3 corners, 2.6 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/10Over 4.5 corners4/10Over 5.5 corners3/10Over 0.5 cards9/10Over 1.5 cards7/10

Bench

Santos, Léo, Claudinho, B. Zapelli, J. Portilla, Chiqueti, Dudu, Diogo Riquelme, Jorge Luis Rivaldo Pinto, Renan

Palmeiras · 3-4-2-1

1Carlos Miguel

2A. Barboza

3Bruno Fuchs

26Murilo

8Andreas Pereira

12Khellven

18Maurício

19R. Sosa

22J. Piquerez

30Lucas Evangelista

42J. López

Bench

Marcelo Lomba, Benedetti, Arthur, Felipe Anderson, J. Arias, E. Martínez, Erick Machado, Larson, Luis Felipe, Paulinho, Heittor

November 5, 2023 · Serie A

Atletico Paranaense – PalmeirasJuly 2, 2023 · Serie A2-2

Atletico Paranaense – PalmeirasOctober 26, 2022 · Serie A1-3

Palmeiras – Atletico ParanaenseSeptember 7, 2022 · CONMEBOL Libertadores2-2

Atletico Paranaense – PalmeirasAugust 31, 2022 · CONMEBOL Libertadores1-0

Palmeiras – Atletico ParanaenseJuly 3, 2022 · Serie A0-2

jorge rivaldoOff: Antonio Feliphe Costa Silva

45'⇄Marlon FreitasOff: Maurício Magalhães Prado

45'⇄ClaudinhoOff: João Victor Machado Cruz

52'⇄Bruno ZapelliOff: Claudinho

57'Leonardo Caetano Silva

65'⇄Jhon AriasOff: José Manuel López

67'⇄chiquetiOff: Gilberto

72'⇄Emiliano MartínezOff: Lucas Evangelista

72'⇄Arthur GabrielOff: Ramon Sosa

87'⇄Eduardo Kogitzki AnastacioOff: Leonardo Caetano Silva

90'⇄Luis BenedettiOff: Bruno Fuchs

Statistics

64%Possession36%

1.2Expected goals0.38

24Total shots6

6Shots on target3

16Corners1

11Fouls8

2Offsides0

2Yellow cards1

0Red cards1

1Saves6

Palmeiras: both sides scored in 5 of their last 10 away matches.

Atletico Paranaense scored 1.7 and conceded 0.9 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Palmeiras scored 1.4 and conceded 1.1 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Atletico Paranaense · last 10 at home: both scored 6 times6/10

Palmeiras · last 10 away: both scored 5 times5/10

Atletico Paranaense: 10 games · Palmeiras: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.4Goals scored (avg)1.0

1.0Goals conceded (avg)0.8

2.4Total goals per gameleague 2.71.8

9/10Over 0.5league %956/10

8/10Over 1.5league %785/10

3/10Over 2.5league %513/10

2/10Over 3.5league %252/10

1/10Over 4.5league %132/10

5/10Both scoreleague %594/10

4/10Clean sheets6/10

2/10Failed to score4/10

Atletico Paranaense: 10 games · Palmeiras: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.9Goals scored (avg)1.5

2.0Goals conceded (avg)0.6

3.9Total goals per gameleague 2.72.1

10/10Over 0.5league %958/10

10/10Over 1.5league %786/10

7/10Over 2.5league %513/10

6/10Over 3.5league %252/10

4/10Over 4.5league %132/10

8/10Both scoreleague %593/10

0/10Clean sheets6/10

2/10Failed to score3/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%12 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Atletico Paranaense win 572, 311 end level and Palmeiras win 117. The actual result comes up 117 times in 1000.

1.20 – 0.38 The score the chances deserved (xG): Atletico Paranaense 1.20 – 0.38 Palmeiras.

24 – 6 Shots: Atletico Paranaense 24 – 6 Palmeiras.

16 – 1 Corners: Atletico Paranaense 16 – 1 Palmeiras.

3 more numbers for this match in Premium

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 9 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Atletico Paranaense · Serie A

Palmeiras · Serie A

Atletico Paranaense · All games

Palmeiras · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Atletico Paranaense's ground

Last 9 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match