The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.
%52Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 5.Missed
Other scenarios
Both score%53
Over 2.5%48
Not both score%47
Atletico Paranaense win%46
Draw%29
Atletico-MG win%26
Why?
Atletico Paranaense: 2 or fewer goals in 7 of their last 10 home matches.
Last 5 matches
Atletico ParanaenseW2-1D3-3L1-3D3-3W3-2
Atletico-MGW1-0D1-1W4-2W3-1L0-2
Last 9 meetings
3Atletico Paranaense won
1Draw
5Atletico-MG won
2.4 Goals per game5/9 Over 2.56/9 Both score
Handicap and HT/FT history
By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.
Atletico Paranaense · last 10 at home3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.
Atletico-MG · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 2 games it led at half-time.
Corners and cards
Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.
Atletico Paranaense · last 9 at home6.2 corners, 2.2 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/9Over 4.5 corners7/9Over 5.5 corners6/9Over 0.5 cards
Referee
Ramon Abatti Abel5.4 cards a match in 25 recorded games
Premium members onlyLikely scores, likely scorers, corner, card and half chances.
Atletico Paranaense · Serie A
5W 4D 1LScored 19 · conceded 142.5 Üst 6/10KG 7/10
Atletico-MG · Serie A
5W 4D 1LScored 15 · conceded 92.5 Üst 5/10KG 6/10
Atletico Paranaense · All games
4W 4D 2LScored 17 · conceded 172.5 Üst 6/10KG 6/10
Atletico-MG · All games
5W 3D 2LScored 14 · conceded 112.5 Üst 4/10KG 6/10
Missing players
Atletico Paranaense
F. Aguirre
This season 16 games · 0 goals · 0 assists · Yellow Cards
G. Benavidez
This season 10 games · 1 goals · 0 assists · Muscle Injury
Dantas
This season 6 games · 0 goals · 1 assists · Inactive
Atletico-MG
A. Preciado
This season 9 games · 0 goals · 2 assists · Rest
M. Cassierra
This season 15 games · 1 goals · 1 assists · Injury
Gustavo Scarpa
This season 7 games · 0 goals · 0 assists · Muscle Injury
Everson
This season 10 games · 0 goals · 0 assists · Foot Injury
A. Franco
This season 17 games · 0 goals · 0 assists · Rest
Ruan Tressoldi
This season 10 games · 0 goals · 0 assists · Muscle Injury
A. Minda
This season 19 games · 1 goals · 3 assists · Rest
Starting line-ups
Atletico Paranaense · 3-4-2-1
1Mycael
This fixture at Atletico Paranaense's ground
The meetings the home side hosted, of the last 4
2Atletico Paranaense won
1Draw
1Atletico-MG won
Atletico Paranaense last won here on Nov 17, 2024: Atletico Paranaense 1-0 Atletico-MG.Atletico-MG last won here on Apr 18, 2022: Atletico Paranaense 0-1 Atletico-MG.1.8 goals a game here · over 2.5 1/4 · BTTS 2/4
Last 9 meetings
3Atletico Paranaense won
1Draw
5Atletico-MG won
2.4 Goals per game5/9 Over 2.56/9 Both score
Previous meetings
Atletico-MG – Atletico ParanaenseApril 5, 2026 · Serie A2-1
Atletico-MG – Atletico ParanaenseDecember 8, 2024 · Serie A1-0
Atletico Paranaense – Atletico-MGNovember 17, 2024 · Serie A1-0
Atletico Paranaense – Atletico-MG
7/9
Over 1.5 cards7/9
Atletico-MG · last 10 away3.0 corners, 1.5 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners4/10Over 4.5 corners2/10Over 5.5 corners0/10Over 0.5 cards8/10Over 1.5 cards5/10