The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.
%64Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓
Other scenarios
Both score%66
San Jose Earthquakes win%41
Under 2.5%36
Real Salt Lake win%34
Not both score%34
Draw%25
Why?
San Jose Earthquakes: 3+ goals in 7 of their last 10 home matches.
Last 5 matches
San Jose EarthquakesD2-2L0-3D1-1D1-1D1-1
Real Salt LakeW2-1W3-0W3-1D1-1L1-2
Last 15 meetings
7San Jose Earthquakes won
2Draw
6Real Salt Lake won
3.5 Goals per game9/15 Over 2.59/15 Both score
Handicap and HT/FT history
By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.
San Jose Earthquakes · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.
Real Salt Lake · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 2 games it led at half-time.
Corners and cards
Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.
San Jose Earthquakes · last 10 at home6.4 corners, 2.7 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/10Over 4.5 corners5/10Over 5.5 corners
Referee
Lorenzo Hernandez4.4 cards a match in 28 recorded games
Premium members onlyLikely scores, likely scorers, corner, card and half chances.
San Jose Earthquakes · Major League Soccer
3W 6D 1LScored 15 · conceded 142.5 Üst 5/10KG 8/10
Real Salt Lake · Major League Soccer
4W 1D 5LScored 14 · conceded 142.5 Üst 7/10KG 5/10
San Jose Earthquakes · All games
3W 6D 1LScored 15 · conceded 142.5 Üst 5/10KG 8/10
Real Salt Lake · All games
4W 1D 5LScored 14 · conceded 142.5 Üst 7/10KG 5/10
Missing players
San Jose Earthquakes
T. Werner
This season 12 games · 1 goals · 2 assists · Red Card
D. Jones
No games this season · Achilles Tendon Injury
D. Johnson
This season 3 games · 0 goals · 0 assists · Lower-Body Injury
N. Adimabua
No games this season · Hernia
Real Salt Lake
M. Guilavogui
This season 18 games · 5 goals · 5 assists · Yellow Cards
D. Luna
This season 13 games · 1 goals · 4 assists · Knee Injury
E. Eneli
This season 1 games · 0 goals · 0 assists · Knee Injury
Starting line-ups
San Jose Earthquakes · 4-2-3-1
36E. Edwards
4D. Romney
5D. Munie
18R. Roberts
28B. Kikanovic
This fixture at San Jose Earthquakes's ground
The meetings the home side hosted, of the last 7
4San Jose Earthquakes won
1Draw
2Real Salt Lake won
San Jose Earthquakes last won here on Feb 23, 2025: San Jose Earthquakes 4-0 Real Salt Lake.Real Salt Lake last won here on Oct 6, 2024: San Jose Earthquakes 0-1 Real Salt Lake.4.0 goals a game here · over 2.5 5/7 · BTTS 4/7
Last 15 meetings
7San Jose Earthquakes won
2Draw
6Real Salt Lake won
3.5 Goals per game9/15 Over 2.59/15 Both score
Previous meetings
Real Salt Lake – San Jose EarthquakesOctober 15, 2026 · Major League Soccer1-1
Real Salt Lake – San Jose EarthquakesJuly 27, 2025 · Major League Soccer2-1
San Jose Earthquakes – Real Salt LakeFebruary 23, 2025 · Major League Soccer4-0
San Jose Earthquakes – Real Salt Lake
4/10
Over 0.5 cards10/10
Over 1.5 cards8/10
Real Salt Lake · last 10 away4.3 corners, 2.7 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/10Over 4.5 corners4/10Over 5.5 corners3/10Over 0.5 cards10/10Over 1.5 cards8/10
San Jose Earthquakes · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 7 times7/10
Real Salt Lake · last 10 away: 3+ goals 6 times6/10
San Jose Earthquakes: 10 games · Real Salt Lake: 10 games · league average in grey
Goals
1.4Goals scored (avg)1.0
2.2Goals conceded (avg)1.6
3.6Total goals per gameleague 3.22.6
10/10Over 0.5league %9510/10
9/10Over 1.5league %839/10
7/10Over 2.5league %646/10
7/10Over 3.5league %411/10
2/10Over 4.5league %230/10
8/10Both scoreleague %647/10
1/10Clean sheets0/10
1/10Failed to score3/10
San Jose Earthquakes: 10 games · Real Salt Lake: 10 games · league average in grey
Goals
1.5Goals scored (avg)1.4
1.4Goals conceded (avg)1.4
2.9Total goals per gameleague 3.22.8
10/10Over 0.5league %9510/10
9/10Over 1.5league %8310/10
5/10Over 2.5league %647/10
4/10Over 3.5league %411/10
1/10Over 4.5league %230/10
8/10Both scoreleague %645/10
1/10Clean sheets2/10
1/10Failed to score3/10
The real story of the match
What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.
5 San Jose Earthquakes: a 5-match wait for a win is over.
%46 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), San Jose Earthquakes win 457, 229 end level and Real Salt Lake win 313. The actual result comes up 457 times in 1000.
1.79 – 1.45 The score the chances deserved (xG): San Jose Earthquakes 1.79 – 1.45 Real Salt Lake.
8.2 Man of the match: J. Sanabria (Real Salt Lake), rated 8.2.
San Jose EarthquakesWestern Conference · #5
Real Salt LakeWestern Conference · #9