Real Salt Lake – San Jose Earthquakes: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Major League Soccer · USA · Matchday 29

Real Salt LakeWestern Conference · #9

1-1Thursday, October 15

San Jose EarthquakesWestern Conference · #5

Match events

Real Salt LakeSan Jose Earthquakes

45'⇄Eduard LöwenOff: Paul Marie
57'⇄Chadwick Zachary BoothOff: Dominik Marczuk
59'⇄Timo WernerOff: Nick Fernandez
59'⇄Jack JasinskiOff: Beau Leroux
68'⇄Vitor CostaOff: Jamar Ricketts
74'⇄Ariath Piol

Chances to win

Real Salt Lake%47

Draw%24

San Jose Earthquakes%29

At a glance

Over 1.5

%66Over 2.5

%66Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%66Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Missed

Other scenarios

Both score%66

Real Salt Lake win%47

Under 2.5%34

Not both score%34

San Jose Earthquakes win%29

Draw%24

Why?

Real Salt Lake: 3+ goals in 8 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Real Salt LakeL1-2W3-0L0-2L0-3L0-2

San Jose EarthquakesD1-1W3-1D2-2W1-0W3-2

Last 15 meetings

6Real Salt Lake won

1Draw

8San Jose Earthquakes won

3.4
Goals per game9/15
Over 2.58/15
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Real Salt Lake · last 10 at home4/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

San Jose Earthquakes · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Real Salt Lake · last 10 at home4.5 corners, 2.2 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/10Over 4.5 corners5/10Over 5.5 corners

San Jose Earthquakes · last 8 away5.4 corners, 2.5 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/8Over 4.5 corners5/8Over 5.5 corners4/8Over 0.5 cards8/8Over 1.5 cards5/8

Starting line-ups

Real Salt Lake · 5-4-1

1Rafael Cabral

3K. Henry

8J. Sanabria

11D. Marczuk

26P. Quinton

44L. De Fougerolles

6S. Spierings

9M. Guilavogui

12S. Lobzhanidze

92N. Caliskan

22S. Solans

Bench

M. Stajduhar, D. Yedlin, S. Junqua, A. Katránis, Chadwick Zachary Booth, Colin Guske, L. Moisa, A. Piol, A. Hezarkhani

San Jose Earthquakes · 5-3-2

1A. Gunn

2J. Ricketts

3P. Marie

4D. Romney

18R. Roberts

25M. Floriani

6I. Harkes

20N. Fernandez

34Beau Leroux

7O. Bouda

19P. Judd

Bench

E. Edwards, D. Munie, Jack Jasinski, Vítor Costa, R. Vieira, N. Buck, E. Löwen, L. Jovanović, T. Werner

August 25, 2024 · Major League Soccer

San Jose Earthquakes – Real Salt LakeSeptember 17, 2023 · Major League Soccer2-1

Real Salt Lake – San Jose EarthquakesApril 23, 2023 · Major League Soccer3-1

San Jose Earthquakes – Real Salt LakeJuly 31, 2022 · Major League Soccer2-2

Real Salt Lake – San Jose EarthquakesJune 19, 2022 · Major League Soccer2-0

Real Salt Lake – San Jose EarthquakesOctober 30, 2021 · Major League Soccer3-4

San Jose Earthquakes – Real Salt LakeSeptember 16, 2021 · Major League Soccer3-4

Real Salt Lake – San Jose EarthquakesMay 8, 2021 · Major League Soccer1-2

San Jose Earthquakes – Real Salt LakeOctober 29, 2020 · Major League Soccer2-0

San Jose Earthquakes – Real Salt LakeJuly 28, 2020 · Major League Soccer5-2

Real Salt Lake – San Jose EarthquakesSeptember 12, 2019 · Major League Soccer1-0

San Jose Earthquakes – Real Salt LakeJuly 7, 2019 · Major League Soccer1-0

74'⇄Aiden HezarkhaniOff: Saba Lobjanidze

79'⚽Luc De FougerollesAssist: Juan Sanabria

82'⇄DeAndre YedlinOff: Luc De Fougerolles

83'⇄Luka JovanovicOff: Max Floriani

90+4'⚽Jack Jasinski

Statistics

51%Possession49%

1.96Expected goals1.23

22Total shots16

8Shots on target2

5Corners5

11Fouls9

2Offsides1

1Yellow cards0

0Red cards0

1Saves6

San Jose Earthquakes: 3+ goals in 4 of their last 10 away matches.

Real Salt Lake scored 2.1 and conceded 1.3 per game in their last 10 home matches.

San Jose Earthquakes scored 1.3 and conceded 1.6 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Real Salt Lake · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 8 times8/10

Real Salt Lake: 10 games · San Jose Earthquakes: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.0Goals scored (avg)1.1

1.3Goals conceded (avg)1.6

3.3Total goals per gameleague 3.22.7

10/10Over 0.5league %959/10

10/10Over 1.5league %838/10

7/10Over 2.5league %644/10

3/10Over 3.5league %413/10

1/10Over 4.5league %232/10

4/10Both scoreleague %646/10

4/10Clean sheets1/10

2/10Failed to score4/10

Real Salt Lake: 10 games · San Jose Earthquakes: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.4Goals scored (avg)1.5

1.4Goals conceded (avg)1.4

2.8Total goals per gameleague 3.22.9

10/10Over 0.5league %9510/10

10/10Over 1.5league %839/10

7/10Over 2.5league %645/10

1/10Over 3.5league %414/10

0/10Over 4.5league %231/10

5/10Both scoreleague %648/10

2/10Clean sheets1/10

3/10Failed to score1/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%22 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Real Salt Lake win 544, 219 end level and San Jose Earthquakes win 237. The actual result comes up 219 times in 1000.

%24 Our model's pre-match chance of a draw.

1.96 – 1.23 The score the chances deserved (xG): Real Salt Lake 1.96 – 1.23 San Jose Earthquakes.

8 – 2 Shots on target: Real Salt Lake 8 – 2 San Jose Earthquakes.

1 more numbers for this match in Premium

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 15 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Real Salt Lake · Major League Soccer

San Jose Earthquakes · Major League Soccer

Real Salt Lake · All games

San Jose Earthquakes · All games

Missing players

This fixture at Real Salt Lake's ground

Last 15 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Starting line-ups

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match