The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.
%60Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed
Other scenarios
Both score%62
Colorado Rapids win%49
Under 2.5%40
Not both score%38
San Jose Earthquakes win%26
Draw%25
Why?
Colorado Rapids: 3+ goals in 3 of their last 10 home matches.
Last 5 matches
Colorado RapidsL2-3D3-3L0-3W1-0D1-1
San Jose EarthquakesW3-1D2-2W1-0W3-2D1-1
Last 15 meetings
7Colorado Rapids won
3Draw
5San Jose Earthquakes won
2.5 Goals per game7/15 Over 2.57/15 Both score
Handicap and HT/FT history
By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.
Colorado Rapids · last 10 at home2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 4 games it led at half-time.
San Jose Earthquakes · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 4 games it led at half-time.
Corners and cards
Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.
Colorado Rapids · last 8 at home6.1 corners, 2.5 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/8Over 4.5 corners6/8Over 5.5 corners3/8Over 0.5 cards
Referee
Filip Dujic4.4 cards a match in 42 recorded games
Premium members onlyLikely scores, likely scorers, corner, card and half chances.
Colorado Rapids · Major League Soccer
5W 2D 3LScored 12 · conceded 132.5 Üst 4/10KG 3/10
San Jose Earthquakes · Major League Soccer
3W 3D 4LScored 14 · conceded 192.5 Üst 6/10KG 7/10
Colorado Rapids · All games
4W 2D 4LScored 11 · conceded 162.5 Üst 5/10KG 3/10
San Jose Earthquakes · All games
3W 3D 4LScored 14 · conceded 192.5 Üst 6/10KG 7/10
Missing players
Colorado Rapids
Y. Maziz
This season 6 games · 0 goals · 2 assists · Injury
Z. Steffen
No games this season · Shoulder Injury
T. Ku-DiPietro
This season 1 games · 0 goals · 0 assists · Shoulder Injury
A. Fadal
No games this season · Injury
M. Diop
No games this season · Knee Injury
San Jose Earthquakes
J. A. Gonzalez Mendoza
This season 3 games · 0 goals · 0 assists · Injury
D. Jones
No games this season · Achilles Tendon Injury
D. Johnson
This season 3 games · 0 goals · 0 assists · Lower-Body Injury
J. Skahan
This season 8 games · 0 goals · 0 assists · Lower-Body Injury
R. Roberts
This season 14 games · 3 goals · 0 assists · Yellow Cards
N. Adimabua
No games this season · Hernia
Starting line-ups
Colorado Rapids · 4-3-3
This fixture at Colorado Rapids's ground
The meetings the home side hosted, of the last 8
4Colorado Rapids won
2Draw
2San Jose Earthquakes won
Colorado Rapids last won here on May 21, 2026: Colorado Rapids 2-0 San Jose Earthquakes.San Jose Earthquakes last won here on May 11, 2025: Colorado Rapids 0-2 San Jose Earthquakes.2.8 goals a game here · over 2.5 4/8 · BTTS 4/8
Last 15 meetings
7Colorado Rapids won
3Draw
5San Jose Earthquakes won
2.5 Goals per game7/15 Over 2.57/15 Both score
Previous meetings
Colorado Rapids – San Jose EarthquakesMay 21, 2026 · US Open Cup2-0
Colorado Rapids – San Jose EarthquakesMay 11, 2025 · Major League Soccer0-2
San Jose Earthquakes – Colorado RapidsMarch 16, 2025 · Major League Soccer1-2
Colorado Rapids – San Jose Earthquakes
8/8
Over 1.5 cards6/8
San Jose Earthquakes · last 8 away5.4 corners, 2.8 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/8Over 4.5 corners5/8Over 5.5 corners4/8Over 0.5 cards8/8Over 1.5 cards6/8
San Jose Earthquakes · last 10 away: 3+ goals 5 times5/10
Colorado Rapids: 10 games · San Jose Earthquakes: 10 games · league average in grey
Goals
1.3Goals scored (avg)1.1
0.9Goals conceded (avg)1.6
2.2Total goals per gameleague 3.22.7
10/10Over 0.5league %959/10
5/10Over 1.5league %838/10
3/10Over 2.5league %644/10
2/10Over 3.5league %413/10
1/10Over 4.5league %232/10
3/10Both scoreleague %646/10
6/10Clean sheets1/10
1/10Failed to score4/10
Colorado Rapids: 10 games · San Jose Earthquakes: 10 games · league average in grey
Goals
1.3Goals scored (avg)1.6
1.5Goals conceded (avg)1.4
2.8Total goals per gameleague 3.23.0
9/10Over 0.5league %9510/10
7/10Over 1.5league %839/10
5/10Over 2.5league %646/10
4/10Over 3.5league %414/10
2/10Over 4.5league %231/10
6/10Both scoreleague %648/10
3/10Clean sheets1/10
2/10Failed to score1/10
The real story of the match
What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.
%33 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Colorado Rapids win 409, 330 end level and San Jose Earthquakes win 261. The actual result comes up 330 times in 1000.
%25 Our model's pre-match chance of a draw.
11 – 3 Shots on target: Colorado Rapids 11 – 3 San Jose Earthquakes.
1.01 – 0.74 The score the chances deserved (xG): Colorado Rapids 1.01 – 0.74 San Jose Earthquakes.