Philadelphia Union – Real Salt Lake: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Major League Soccer · USA · Matchday 28

Philadelphia UnionEastern Conference · #6

2-1Sunday, October 11

Real Salt LakeWestern Conference · #9

Match events

Philadelphia UnionReal Salt Lake

2'Danley Jean Jacques
13'DeAndre Yedlin
23'Francis Westfield
31'⚽Bruno DamianiAssist: Francis Westfield
45'⇄Juan SanabriaOff: Sam Junqua
45'⇄Luc De FougerollesOff: DeAndre Yedlin

Chances to win

Philadelphia Union%69

Draw%18

Real Salt Lake%13

At a glance

Over 1.5

%68Over 2.5

%59Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Philadelphia Union win.

%69Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%68

Both score%59

Not both score%41

Under 2.5%32

Draw%18

Real Salt Lake win%13

Why?

Philadelphia Union won 7 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Philadelphia UnionW4-2W4-3W5-0W5-0W2-0

Real Salt LakeW3-0L0-2L0-3L0-2L1-2

Last 1 meetings

0Philadelphia Union won

0Draw

1Real Salt Lake won

3.0
Goals per game1/1
Over 2.51/1
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Philadelphia Union · last 10 at home5/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Real Salt Lake · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 0 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Philadelphia Union · last 10 at home6.4 corners, 2.2 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners10/10Over 4.5 corners7/10Over 5.5 corners7/10

Real Salt Lake · last 10 away4.8 corners, 2.4 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/10Over 4.5 corners4/10Over 5.5 corners3/10Over 0.5 cards9/10Over 1.5 cards8/10

Bench

A. Rick, G. Martínez, J. Bueno, A. Bedoya, J. Rafanello, B. Bender, Q. Sullivan, E. Alladoh, M. Jakupovic

Real Salt Lake · 3-4-3

1Rafael Cabral

2D. Yedlin

3K. Henry

26P. Quinton

6S. Spierings

11D. Marczuk

29S. Junqua

92N. Caliskan

9M. Guilavogui

22S. Solans

39A. Hezarkhani

Bench

M. Stajduhar, L. De Fougerolles, A. Katránis, J. Sanabria, Chadwick Zachary Booth, Colin Guske, L. Moisa, S. Lobzhanidze, A. Piol

64'⇄Quinn SullivanOff: Indiana Vassilev

65'⇄Saba LobjanidzeOff: Aiden Hezarkhani

70'⇄Chadwick Zachary BoothOff: Dominik Marczuk

74'⇄Jesus BuenoOff: Jovan Lukic

79'⇄Ariath PiolOff: Sergi Solans

81'⚽Milan IloskiAssist: Cavan Sullivan

82'VARMilan IloskiGoal confirmed

90+1'⇄Benjamin BenderOff: Cavan Sullivan

90+2'⇄Malik JakupovicOff: Milan Iloski

90+2'⇄Alejandro BedoyaOff: Danley Jean Jacques

90+6'⚽Saba LobjanidzeAssist: Luc De Fougerolles

Statistics

53%Possession47%

1.85Expected goals0.84

14Total shots11

5Shots on target4

4Corners3

21Fouls13

0Offsides2

4Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

3Saves3

Philadelphia Union scored 2.4 and conceded 1.1 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Real Salt Lake scored 0.7 and conceded 1.8 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Philadelphia Union · last 10 at home: 7 wins7/10

Real Salt Lake · last 10 away: 7 defeats7/10

Philadelphia Union: 10 games · Real Salt Lake: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.4Goals scored (avg)1.0

1.4Goals conceded (avg)1.6

3.8Total goals per gameleague 3.22.6

10/10Over 0.5league %9510/10

10/10Over 1.5league %839/10

8/10Over 2.5league %646/10

6/10Over 3.5league %411/10

3/10Over 4.5league %230/10

7/10Both scoreleague %647/10

2/10Clean sheets0/10

1/10Failed to score3/10

Philadelphia Union: 10 games · Real Salt Lake: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.8Goals scored (avg)1.4

1.1Goals conceded (avg)1.4

3.9Total goals per gameleague 3.22.8

9/10Over 0.5league %9510/10

9/10Over 1.5league %8310/10

8/10Over 2.5league %647/10

6/10Over 3.5league %411/10

4/10Over 4.5league %230/10

6/10Both scoreleague %645/10

4/10Clean sheets2/10

1/10Failed to score3/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

Philadelphia Union: win number 7 in a row.

%61 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Philadelphia Union win 612, 222 end level and Real Salt Lake win 165. The actual result comes up 612 times in 1000.

8.1

Man of the match: M. Iloski (Philadelphia Union), rated 8.1.

1.85 – 0.84 The score the chances deserved (xG): Philadelphia Union 1.85 – 0.84 Real Salt Lake.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 1 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Philadelphia Union · Major League Soccer

Real Salt Lake · Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union · All games

Real Salt Lake · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

Last 1 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match