Seattle Sounders – Houston Dynamo: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Major League Soccer · USA · Matchday 32

Seattle SoundersWestern Conference · #8

0-1Thursday, October 29

Houston DynamoWestern Conference · #4

Match events

Seattle SoundersHouston Dynamo

26'⚽Lucas HalterAssist: Mateusz Bogusz
45'⇄Paul ArriolaOff: Nouhou Tolo
59'⇄Jordan MorrisOff: Jesús Ferreira
59'⇄Peter KingstonOff: Kalani Kossa-Rienzi
59'⇄Snyder BrunellOff: Hassani Dotson
65'Peter Kingston

Chances to win

Seattle Sounders%55

Draw%24

Houston Dynamo%22

At a glance

Over 1.5

%58Over 2.5

%57Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%58Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed

Other scenarios

Both score%57

Seattle Sounders win%55

Not both score%43

Under 2.5%42

Draw%24

Houston Dynamo win%22

Why?

Seattle Sounders: 3+ goals in 6 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Seattle SoundersD2-2D1-1L0-1W3-0W2-1

Houston DynamoD0-0D2-2D3-3D2-2L0-2

Last 15 meetings

10Seattle Sounders won

4Draw

1Houston Dynamo won

1.7
Goals per game4/15
Over 2.55/15
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Seattle Sounders · last 10 at home3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Houston Dynamo · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).5/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 5 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Seattle Sounders · last 10 at home5.6 corners, 1.5 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/10Over 4.5 corners7/10Over 5.5 corners

Houston Dynamo · last 9 away4.0 corners, 2.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners5/9Over 4.5 corners4/9Over 5.5 corners2/9Over 0.5 cards8/9Over 1.5 cards5/9

Bench

S. Frei, R. Sailor, Kim Kee-Hee, S. Hawkins, C. Clark, S. Brunell, P. Kingston, J. Morris, P. Arriola

Houston Dynamo · 4-2-3-1

31J. Bond

5Lucas Halter

11L. Ennali

21F. Negri

34A. Resch

6Artur

18D. Samassékou

19M. Bogusz

24A. Ibrahim

30A. Bouzat

9L. Foster

Bench

B. Gillingham, Logan Erb, Antônio Carlos, Chibuike Ukaegbu, D. Holmes, M. Arana, G. Rivera, N. Markanich, D. McGuire

November 4, 2024 · Major League Soccer

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Seattle Sounders – Houston DynamoSeptember 29, 2024 · Major League Soccer1-0

Houston Dynamo – Seattle SoundersJune 20, 2024 · Major League Soccer2-2

Seattle Sounders – Houston DynamoJuly 2, 2023 · Major League Soccer1-0

Houston Dynamo – Seattle SoundersMay 14, 2023 · Major League Soccer0-1

Seattle Sounders – Houston DynamoSeptember 5, 2022 · Major League Soccer2-1

Houston Dynamo – Seattle SoundersMay 19, 2022 · Major League Soccer0-1

Houston Dynamo – Seattle SoundersOctober 17, 2021 · Major League Soccer2-1

Seattle Sounders – Houston DynamoJuly 8, 2021 · Major League Soccer2-0

Houston Dynamo – Seattle SoundersJuly 28, 2019 · Major League Soccer0-1

Seattle Sounders – Houston DynamoMay 12, 2019 · Major League Soccer1-0

Duncan McGuireOff: Lyle Foster

83'⇄Antônio CarlosOff: Diadie Samassekou

85'⇄Caden ClarkOff: Alexander Roldan

87'⇄Duane HolmesOff: Ibrahim Aliyu

Statistics

70%Possession30%

1.96Expected goals0.32

21Total shots2

5Shots on target1

10Corners1

15Fouls10

2Offsides2

1Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

0Saves5

Houston Dynamo: 3+ goals in 4 of their last 10 away matches.

Seattle Sounders scored 1.5 and conceded 1.1 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Houston Dynamo scored 1.4 and conceded 1.1 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Seattle Sounders · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 6 times6/10

Seattle Sounders: 10 games · Houston Dynamo: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.2Goals scored (avg)1.3

1.2Goals conceded (avg)0.9

2.4Total goals per gameleague 3.22.2

9/10Over 0.5league %959/10

8/10Over 1.5league %836/10

5/10Over 2.5league %643/10

2/10Over 3.5league %412/10

0/10Over 4.5league %231/10

6/10Both scoreleague %644/10

2/10Clean sheets5/10

3/10Failed to score2/10

Seattle Sounders: 10 games · Houston Dynamo: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.7Goals scored (avg)1.2

1.1Goals conceded (avg)1.3

2.8Total goals per gameleague 3.22.5

10/10Over 0.5league %958/10

8/10Over 1.5league %836/10

5/10Over 2.5league %645/10

3/10Over 3.5league %414/10

1/10Over 4.5league %231/10

6/10Both scoreleague %645/10

2/10Clean sheets3/10

2/10Failed to score4/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

Houston Dynamo: a 7-match wait for a win is over.

%5 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Seattle Sounders win 772, 177 end level and Houston Dynamo win 51. The actual result comes up 51 times in 1000.

1.96 – 0.32 The score the chances deserved (xG): Seattle Sounders 1.96 – 0.32 Houston Dynamo.

%22 Our model's pre-match chance of an Houston Dynamo win.

4 more numbers for this match in Premium

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 15 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Seattle Sounders · Major League Soccer

Houston Dynamo · Major League Soccer

Seattle Sounders · All games

Houston Dynamo · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Seattle Sounders's ground

Last 15 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match