Houston Dynamo – FC Dallas: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Major League Soccer · USA · Matchday 30

Houston DynamoWestern Conference · #4

2-2Sunday, October 18

FC DallasWestern Conference · #2

Match events

Houston DynamoFC Dallas

12'⚽Christian CappisAssist: Daniel Job
27'Agustin Resch
28'Franco Negri
29'✕Petar MusaMissed penalty
49'⚽Héctor HerreraAssist: Guilherme Augusto
59'Sebastien Ibeagha
60'

Chances to win

Houston Dynamo%42

Draw%27

FC Dallas%31

At a glance

Over 1.5

%53Over 2.5

%57Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Both score.

%57Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%53

Under 2.5%47

Not both score%43

Houston Dynamo win%42

FC Dallas win%31

Draw%27

Why?

Houston Dynamo: both sides scored in 4 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Houston DynamoD3-3D2-2L0-2D2-2L0-1

FC DallasW1-0L2-3W1-0D0-0W2-1

Last 9 meetings

1Houston Dynamo won

4Draw

4FC Dallas won

2.8
Goals per game4/9
Over 2.56/9
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Houston Dynamo · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

FC Dallas · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Houston Dynamo · last 9 at home4.1 corners, 1.8 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners5/9Over 4.5 corners3/9Over 5.5 corners3/9

FC Dallas · last 10 away3.7 corners, 2.7 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners5/10Over 4.5 corners2/10Over 5.5 corners2/10Over 0.5 cards10/10Over 1.5 cards8/10

Bench

B. Gillingham, Antônio Carlos, M. Saracchi, D. Holmes, M. Arana, A. Bouzat, N. Markanich, D. McGuire, A. Ibrahim

FC Dallas · 3-4-2-1

42Daniel

18S. Moore

25S. Ibeagha

32N. Norris

7D. Job

8P. Delgado

12C. Cappis

14H. Johansson

17Ramiro

77B. Kamungo

9P. Musa

Bench

J. Sirois, O. Urhoghide, L. Abubakar, R. Binyamin, J. Valiente, Caleb Swann, C. Holstad, S. Moreno, Samuel Sarver

FC Dallas – Houston DynamoApril 28, 2024 · Major League Soccer2-0

Houston Dynamo – FC DallasOctober 1, 2023 · Major League Soccer0-0

FC Dallas – Houston DynamoMay 21, 2023 · Major League Soccer1-1

Houston Dynamo – FC DallasJuly 10, 2022 · Major League Soccer2-2

FC Dallas – Houston DynamoApril 23, 2022 · Major League Soccer2-1

61'⇄Ibrahim AliyuOff: Diadie Samassekou

61'⇄Santiago MorenoOff: Daniel Job

61'⇄Joaquín Valiente CioliOff: Patrickson Delgado

69'VARHerman JohanssonGoal cancelled

72'⇄Duncan McGuireOff: Lyle Foster

79'⇄Ran BinyaminOff: Herman Johansson

87'⇄Duane HolmesOff: Lawrence Ennali

88'⇄Nick MarkanichOff: Guilherme Augusto

89'⇄Samuel SarverOff: Bernard Kamungo

90+4'⚽Mateusz BoguszPenalty

90+11'⚽Petar MusaPenalty

Statistics

57%Possession43%

1.38Expected goals2.58

11Total shots15

3Shots on target6

5Corners5

13Fouls20

2Offsides1

5Yellow cards1

0Red cards1

5Saves1

FC Dallas: both sides scored in 6 of their last 10 away matches.

Houston Dynamo scored 1.2 and conceded 0.7 per game in their last 10 home matches.

FC Dallas scored 1.5 and conceded 2.0 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

FC Dallas · last 10 away: both scored 6 times6/10

Houston Dynamo: 10 games · FC Dallas: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.2Goals scored (avg)1.8

0.8Goals conceded (avg)2.2

2.0Total goals per gameleague 3.24.0

8/10Over 0.5league %9510/10

6/10Over 1.5league %839/10

4/10Over 2.5league %648/10

2/10Over 3.5league %416/10

0/10Over 4.5league %234/10

4/10Both scoreleague %648/10

5/10Clean sheets1/10

3/10Failed to score1/10

Houston Dynamo: 10 games · FC Dallas: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.2Goals scored (avg)1.4

1.3Goals conceded (avg)1.0

2.5Total goals per gameleague 3.22.4

8/10Over 0.5league %959/10

6/10Over 1.5league %837/10

5/10Over 2.5league %645/10

4/10Over 3.5league %412/10

1/10Over 4.5league %231/10

5/10Both scoreleague %645/10

3/10Clean sheets4/10

4/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%18 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Houston Dynamo win 198, 183 end level and FC Dallas win 619. The actual result comes up 183 times in 1000.

%27 Our model's pre-match chance of a draw.

1.38 – 2.50 The score the chances deserved (xG): Houston Dynamo 1.38 – 2.50 FC Dallas.

8.2

Man of the match: H. Herrera (Houston Dynamo), rated 8.2.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 9 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Houston Dynamo · Major League Soccer

FC Dallas · Major League Soccer

Houston Dynamo · All games

FC Dallas · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Houston Dynamo's ground

Last 9 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match