The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Both score.
%61Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed
Other scenarios
Over 2.5%58
Houston Dynamo win%43
Under 2.5%42
Not both score%39
Minnesota United FC win%31
Draw%26
Why?
Houston Dynamo: both sides scored in 4 of their last 10 home matches.
Last 5 matches
Houston DynamoD2-2D3-3D2-2L0-2D2-2
Minnesota United FCW3-2D2-2D2-2L1-3L2-3
Last 15 meetings
3Houston Dynamo won
4Draw
8Minnesota United FC won
2.9 Goals per game10/15 Over 2.59/15 Both score
Handicap and HT/FT history
By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.
Houston Dynamo · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 4 games it led at half-time.
Minnesota United FC · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 1 games it led at half-time.
Corners and cards
Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.
Houston Dynamo · last 10 at home4.2 corners, 2.1 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/10Over 4.5 corners4/10Over 5.5 corners
Referee
Tori Penso4.2 cards a match in 35 recorded games
Premium members onlyLikely scores, likely scorers, corner, card and half chances.
Houston Dynamo · Major League Soccer
1W 6D 3LScored 12 · conceded 152.5 Üst 6/10KG 6/10
Minnesota United FC · Major League Soccer
2W 3D 5LScored 25 · conceded 272.5 Üst 10/10KG 10/10
Houston Dynamo · All games
1W 6D 3LScored 12 · conceded 152.5 Üst 6/10KG 6/10
Minnesota United FC · All games
2W 3D 5LScored 25 · conceded 272.5 Üst 10/10KG 10/10
Missing players
Houston Dynamo
J. Maurer
No games this season · Back Injury
Felipe Andrade
This season 11 games · 0 goals · 0 assists · Hamstring Injury
A. Resch
This season 13 games · 1 goals · 0 assists · Yellow Cards
Minnesota United FC
W. Trapp
This season 18 games · 0 goals · 2 assists · Concussion
A. Smir
This season 4 games · 0 goals · 0 assists · Knee Injury
P. Stroud
This season 1 games · 0 goals · 0 assists · Muscle Injury
Starting line-ups appear here about an hour before kick-off; the chances are then recalculated.
This fixture at Houston Dynamo's ground
The meetings the home side hosted, of the last 7
2Houston Dynamo won
2Draw
3Minnesota United FC won
Houston Dynamo last won here on May 15, 2025: Houston Dynamo 2-0 Minnesota United FC.Minnesota United FC last won here on Jul 13, 2023: Houston Dynamo 0-3 Minnesota United FC.3.0 goals a game here · over 2.5 5/7 · BTTS 4/7
Last 15 meetings
3Houston Dynamo won
4Draw
8Minnesota United FC won
2.9 Goals per game10/15 Over 2.59/15 Both score
Previous meetings
Minnesota United FC – Houston DynamoOctober 11, 2026 · Major League Soccer2-2
Minnesota United FC – Houston DynamoJune 26, 2025 · Major League Soccer3-1
Houston Dynamo – Minnesota United FCMay 15, 2025 · Major League Soccer2-0
Houston Dynamo – Minnesota United FC
3/10
Over 0.5 cards8/10
Over 1.5 cards6/10
Minnesota United FC · last 10 away6.2 corners, 2.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/10Over 4.5 corners7/10Over 5.5 corners6/10Over 0.5 cards9/10Over 1.5 cards6/10
Minnesota United FC · last 10 away: both scored 9 times9/10
Houston Dynamo: 10 games · Minnesota United FC: 10 games · league average in grey
Goals
1.2Goals scored (avg)1.7
0.8Goals conceded (avg)2.0
2.0Total goals per gameleague 3.23.7
8/10Over 0.5league %958/10
6/10Over 1.5league %838/10
4/10Over 2.5league %647/10
2/10Over 3.5league %415/10
0/10Over 4.5league %233/10
4/10Both scoreleague %648/10
5/10Clean sheets2/10
3/10Failed to score2/10
Houston Dynamo: 10 games · Minnesota United FC: 10 games · league average in grey
Goals
1.2Goals scored (avg)2.0
1.3Goals conceded (avg)2.4
2.5Total goals per gameleague 3.24.4
8/10Over 0.5league %959/10
6/10Over 1.5league %839/10
5/10Over 2.5league %649/10
4/10Over 3.5league %418/10
1/10Over 4.5league %234/10
5/10Both scoreleague %649/10
3/10Clean sheets1/10
4/10Failed to score1/10
The real story of the match
What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.
%28 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Houston Dynamo win 212, 280 end level and Minnesota United FC win 508. The actual result comes up 280 times in 1000.
%26 Our model's pre-match chance of a draw.
0.77 – 1.36 The score the chances deserved (xG): Houston Dynamo 0.77 – 1.36 Minnesota United FC.