The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.
%56Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓
Other scenarios
Both score%50
Not both score%50
Over 2.5%44
Atletico-MG win%39
Draw%31
Atletico Torque win%30
Why?
Atletico Torque: 2 or fewer goals in 4 of their last 10 home matches.
Last 5 matches
Atletico TorqueL1-2L0-3W1-0L0-2D1-1
Atletico-MGW1-0W3-0W2-1D2-2W1-0
Last 1 meetings
0Atletico Torque won
0Draw
1Atletico-MG won
3.0 Goals per game1/1 Over 2.50/1 Both score
Handicap and HT/FT history
By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.
Atletico Torque · last 10 at home4/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 4 games it led at half-time.
Atletico-MG · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 2 games it led at half-time.
Corners and cards
Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.
Atletico Torque · last 3 at home6.0 corners, 2.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners2/3Over 4.5 corners2/3Over 5.5 corners2/3Over 0.5 cards3/3Over 1.5 cards2/3
Atletico-MG · last 10 away3.4 corners, 1.6 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners
Referee
Cristian Garay3.9 cards a match in 15 recorded games
Premium members onlyLikely scores, likely scorers, corner, card and half chances.
Atletico Torque · CONMEBOL Sudamericana
6W 1D 3LScored 16 · conceded 112.5 Üst 6/10KG 4/10
Atletico-MG · CONMEBOL Sudamericana
6W 2D 2LScored 17 · conceded 102.5 Üst 5/10KG 4/10
Atletico Torque · All games
4W 2D 4LScored 16 · conceded 152.5 Üst 6/10KG 5/10
Atletico-MG · All games
6W 2D 2LScored 17 · conceded 112.5 Üst 5/10KG 5/10
Missing players
No absentees reported
Starting line-ups
Atletico Torque · 5-4-1
1F. Torgnascioli
3K. Silva
17E. Agüero
19D. Guzmán
24G. Kagelmacher
26F. Silvera
5F. Pizzichillo
8P. Siles
10E. Obregón
20G. Montes
9S. Rodríguez
Bench
G. Rodríguez, B. Gutierrez, E. Busquets, N. Perez, L. Duré, J. Tarán, S. Cáceres, Luka Andrade, N. da Silva, R. Lecchini, J. Quintana
Atletico-MG · last 10 away: 2 or fewer goals 7 times7/10
Atletico Torque: 10 games · Atletico-MG: 10 games · league average in grey
Goals
2.0Goals scored (avg)0.9
0.9Goals conceded (avg)1.4
2.9Total goals per gameleague 2.32.3
10/10Over 0.5league %899/10
9/10Over 1.5league %717/10
5/10Over 2.5league %393/10
3/10Over 3.5league %213/10
1/10Over 4.5league %81/10
5/10Both scoreleague %424/10
4/10Clean sheets3/10
1/10Failed to score4/10
Atletico Torque: 10 games · Atletico-MG: 10 games · league average in grey
Goals
1.3Goals scored (avg)1.6
1.4Goals conceded (avg)1.2
2.7Total goals per gameleague 2.32.8
10/10Over 0.5league %8910/10
9/10Over 1.5league %717/10
4/10Over 2.5league %395/10
2/10Over 3.5league %213/10
1/10Over 4.5league %82/10
4/10Both scoreleague %425/10
3/10Clean sheets3/10
3/10Failed to score2/10
The real story of the match
What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.
8 Atletico-MG: a 8-match unbeaten run ended here.
%30 Our model's pre-match chance of a Atletico Torque win.
3.58 – 0.61 The score the chances deserved (xG): Atletico Torque 3.58 – 0.61 Atletico-MG.
%90 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Atletico Torque win 897, 71 end level and Atletico-MG win 32. The actual result comes up 897 times in 1000.