Cesena – Empoli: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Serie B · Italy · Matchday 9

CesenaSerie B · #11

2-1Tuesday, October 27

EmpoliSerie B · #18

Match events

CesenaEmpoli

14'Simone Romagnoli
24'Gianluca Frabotta
31'Luca D'Andrea
34'⇄Antonio DavidOff: Gianluca Frabotta
39'⚽Cristian ShpendiAssist: Luca D'Andrea
45'⇄Andrea CiofiOff: Matteo Piacentini
45'

Chances to win

Cesena%45

Draw%28

Empoli%27

At a glance

Over 1.5

%48Over 2.5

%53Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.

%52Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 5.Missed

Other scenarios

Both score%53

Over 2.5%48

Not both score%47

Cesena win%45

Draw%28

Empoli win%27

Why?

Cesena: 2 or fewer goals in 5 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

CesenaL0-3D1-1L0-2D1-1D2-2

EmpoliL0-2D1-1L2-4L1-2L0-1

Last 7 meetings

0Cesena won

3Draw

4Empoli won

3.4
Goals per game3/7
Over 2.55/7
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Cesena · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 0 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Empoli · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 0 of the 1 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Cesena · last 10 at home5.3 corners, 2.2 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/10Over 4.5 corners5/10Over 5.5 corners

Empoli · last 10 away4.6 corners, 2.7 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/10Over 4.5 corners4/10Over 5.5 corners4/10Over 0.5 cards10/10Over 1.5 cards8/10

Bench

S. Perisan, E. Filippis, J. Ceesay, G. Indragoli, M. Egan, D. Bembnista, D. Degli Innocenti, F. Bandinelli, E. Biondini, L. Deli, F. Distefano

Empoli – CesenaNovember 29, 2016 · Coppa Italia

Empoli – CesenaFebruary 8, 2015 · Serie A2-0

Cesena – EmpoliSeptember 20, 2014 · Serie A2-2

Dawid BembnistaOff: Luca Magnino

45'⇄Gabriele IndragoliOff: Simone Romagnoli

56'⇄Joseph CeesayOff: Bogdan Popov

62'⚽Edoardo Saporiti

71'⇄Alessandro DebenedettiOff: Luca D'Andrea

71'⇄Matteo GuidiOff: Emil Bohinen

71'⇄Filippo BandinelliOff: Gerard Yepes

74'⚽Jacopo SeghettiOwn goal

76'⇄Filippo Di StefanoOff: Cristian Cauz

79'Alessandro Debenedetti

83'⇄Vittorio MagniOff: X. Druiventak

90+3'VARFilippo Di StefanoCard upgrade confirmed

Statistics

46%Possession54%

1.35Expected goals0.62

13Total shots11

3Shots on target5

7Corners5

14Fouls15

4Offsides0

5Yellow cards2

0Red cards1

4Saves2

Empoli: 2 or fewer goals in 7 of their last 10 away matches.

Cesena scored 1.5 and conceded 1.6 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Empoli scored 0.8 and conceded 1.4 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Cesena · last 10 at home: 2 or fewer goals 5 times5/10

Empoli · last 10 away: 2 or fewer goals 7 times7/10

Cesena: 10 games · Empoli: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.6Goals scored (avg)0.8

1.4Goals conceded (avg)1.5

3.0Total goals per gameleague 2.72.3

9/10Over 0.5league %9710/10

9/10Over 1.5league %807/10

5/10Over 2.5league %524/10

4/10Over 3.5league %242/10

1/10Over 4.5league %110/10

9/10Both scoreleague %616/10

1/10Clean sheets1/10

1/10Failed to score3/10

Cesena: 10 games · Empoli: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.0Goals scored (avg)0.9

1.6Goals conceded (avg)1.6

2.6Total goals per gameleague 2.72.5

10/10Over 0.5league %9710/10

10/10Over 1.5league %807/10

5/10Over 2.5league %524/10

1/10Over 3.5league %242/10

0/10Over 4.5league %111/10

7/10Both scoreleague %616/10

0/10Clean sheets2/10

3/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

Cesena: a 6-match wait for a win is over.

%55 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Cesena win 546, 283 end level and Empoli win 171. The actual result comes up 546 times in 1000.

1.35 – 0.62 The score the chances deserved (xG): Cesena 1.35 – 0.62 Empoli.

7.7

Man of the match: C. Shpendi (Cesena), rated 7.7.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 7 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Cesena · Serie B

Empoli · Serie B

Cesena · All games

Empoli · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Cesena's ground

Last 7 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match