Eyüpspor – Kasımpaşa: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Süper Lig · Türkiye · Matchday 9

EyüpsporSüper Lig · #18

0-1Saturday, October 24

KasımpaşaSüper Lig · #6

Match events

EyüpsporKasımpaşa

29'Kerem Demirbay
37'⚽A. BenedyczakAssist: H. Hajradinovic
46'⇄M. DemirOff: K. Michalak
62'⇄A. BaldurssonOff: H. Hajradinovic
66'⇄A. SabiriOff: I. Taskin
73'⇄C. Raux YaoOff: D. Costa

Chances to win

Eyüpspor%21

Draw%25

Kasımpaşa%54

At a glance

Over 1.5

%48Over 2.5

%48Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Kasımpaşa win.

%54Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 5.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Under 2.5%52

Not both score%52

Both score%48

Over 2.5%48

Draw%25

Eyüpspor win%21

Why?

Kasımpaşa won 2 of their last 10 away matches.

Last 5 matches

EyüpsporL0-2L0-4L0-8L0-2L0-3

KasımpaşaW4-1L1-3D0-0W2-1D2-2

Last 4 meetings

1Eyüpspor won

0Draw

3Kasımpaşa won

2.0
Goals per game1/4
Over 2.50/4
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Eyüpspor · last 10 at home2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Kasımpaşa · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 1 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Eyüpspor · last 9 at home3.3 corners, 2.3 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners3/9Over 4.5 corners2/9Over 5.5 corners

Kasımpaşa · last 10 away2.8 corners, 4.5 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners2/10Over 4.5 corners1/10Over 5.5 corners1/10Over 0.5 cards10/10Over 1.5 cards9/10

Bench

Horațiu Moldovan, Arda Yavuz, Seyfettin Anıl Yaşar, Berhan Satli, Musa Karakas, Abdelhamid Sabiri, Charles-Andre Raux Yao, Hamza Akman, Mete Demir, Bilal Boutobba

Kasımpaşa · 4-2-3-1

1Andreas Gianniotis

2Cláudio Winck

4Adem Arous

27Matei Ilie

45Ayberk Karapo

7Ali Yavuz Kol

10Haris Hajradinović

17Jesurun Rak-Sakyi

26Kerem Demirbay

51Elson Mendes

9Adrian Benedyczak

Bench

Ali Emre Yanar, Jakob Jessen, Ömer Bayram, Ahmet Taha Dağbaşı, Atakan Mujde, Andri Fannar Baldursson, Marcus Rafferty, Emirhan Boz, Thiemoko Diarra, Güven Yalçın

B. BoutobbaOff: L. Pintor

79'⇄M. RaffertyOff: E. Mendes

79'⇄G. YalcinOff: A. Benedyczak

84'⇄A. YasarOff: Y. Barasi

90'⇄A. MujdeOff: A. Kol

90'⇄T. DiarraOff: J. Rak-Sakyi

Statistics

52%Possession48%

0.43Expected goals0.59

12Total shots10

4Shots on target4

6Corners5

12Fouls21

2Offsides0

0Yellow cards2

3Saves4

83%Pass accuracy79%

Eyüpspor scored 1.0 and conceded 1.3 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Kasımpaşa scored 1.3 and conceded 1.9 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Eyüpspor · last 10 at home: 7 defeats7/10

Eyüpspor: 10 games · Kasımpaşa: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.0Goals scored (avg)1.3

1.3Goals conceded (avg)1.8

2.3Total goals per gameleague 2.93.1

10/10Over 0.5league %9510/10

6/10Over 1.5league %778/10

5/10Over 2.5league %596/10

2/10Over 3.5league %314/10

0/10Over 4.5league %162/10

2/10Both scoreleague %457/10

2/10Clean sheets2/10

6/10Failed to score1/10

Eyüpspor: 10 games · Kasımpaşa: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

0.5Goals scored (avg)1.6

2.6Goals conceded (avg)1.0

3.1Total goals per gameleague 2.92.6

10/10Over 0.5league %959/10

7/10Over 1.5league %777/10

5/10Over 2.5league %595/10

3/10Over 3.5league %314/10

2/10Over 4.5league %161/10

2/10Both scoreleague %457/10

0/10Clean sheets3/10

8/10Failed to score1/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%33 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Eyüpspor win 199, 467 end level and Kasımpaşa win 334. The actual result comes up 334 times in 1000.

0.39 – 0.59 The score the chances deserved (xG): Eyüpspor 0.39 – 0.59 Kasımpaşa.

7.9

Man of the match: Adrian Benedyczak (Kasımpaşa), rated 7.9.

%54 Our model's pre-match chance of an Kasımpaşa win.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 4 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Eyüpspor · Süper Lig

Kasımpaşa · Süper Lig

Eyüpspor · All games

Kasımpaşa · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Eyüpspor's ground

Last 4 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match