Galatasaray – Kasımpaşa: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Süper Lig · Türkiye · Matchday 7

GalatasaraySüper Lig · #1

3-1Friday, October 9

KasımpaşaSüper Lig · #6

Match events

GalatasarayKasımpaşa

3'R. Leao
24'E. Mendes
28'K. Demirbay
40'D. Sanchez
45'⚽A. BardakciAssist: A. Batrakov
51'A. Kol
56'

Chances to win

Galatasaray%74

Draw%16

Kasımpaşa%10

At a glance

Over 1.5

%66Over 2.5

%52Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Galatasaray win.

%74Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%66

Both score%52

Not both score%48

Under 2.5%34

Draw%16

Kasımpaşa win%10

Why?

Galatasaray won 7 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

GalatasarayL0-4W1-0L1-3W3-2W3-2

KasımpaşaD0-0W2-1D2-2D1-1W1-0

Last 8 meetings

5Galatasaray won

2Draw

1Kasımpaşa won

4.0
Goals per game6/8
Over 2.55/8
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Galatasaray · last 10 at home4/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Kasımpaşa · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 1 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Galatasaray · last 10 at home7.6 corners, 2.2 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners10/10Over 4.5 corners8/10Over 5.5 corners8/10Over 0.5 cards

Kasımpaşa · last 10 away3.4 corners, 4.3 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners3/10Over 4.5 corners2/10Over 5.5 corners2/10Over 0.5 cards10/10Over 1.5 cards9/10

Bench

Jankat Yılmaz, El Chadaille Bitshiabu, Eren Elmalı, Kaan Ayhan, İlkay Gündoğan, Renato Nhaga, Mario Lemina, Roland Sallai, Leroy Sané, Victor Osimhen

Kasımpaşa · 4-2-3-1

1Andreas Gianniotis

2Cláudio Winck

14Kevin Mouanga

27Matei Ilie

45Ayberk Karapo

7Ali Yavuz Kol

16Andri Fannar Baldursson

26Kerem Demirbay

50Güven Yalçın

51Elson Mendes

9Adrian Benedyczak

Bench

Ali Emre Yanar, Adem Arous, Jakob Jessen, Atakan Mujde, Haris Hajradinović, Marcus Rafferty, Emirhan Boz, Thiemoko Diarra, Jesurun Rak-Sakyi, Muhammed Bektaş

Kasımpaşa – GalatasarayMarch 17, 2024 · Süper Lig3-4

Galatasaray – KasımpaşaNovember 3, 2023 · Süper Lig2-1

Galatasaray – KasımpaşaMarch 11, 2023 · Süper Lig1-0

Kasımpaşa – GalatasaraySeptember 11, 2022 · Süper Lig2-3

57'⇄T. DiarraOff: G. Yalcin

58'⇄J. Rak-SakyiOff: A. Kol

67'⇄M. LeminaOff: A. Batrakov

67'⇄E. ElmaliOff: R. Leao

70'⇄H. HajradinovicOff: K. Demirbay

77'⇄V. OsimhenOff: D. Gul

77'⇄L. SaneOff: A. Bardakci

78'⇄J. JessenOff: A. Karapo

88'⇄R. NhagaOff: Gabriel Sara

90+6'⚽M. LeminaAssist: V. Osimhen

Statistics

63%Possession37%

2.18Expected goals0.59

24Total shots9

10Shots on target3

8Corners1

12Fouls15

0Offsides5

2Yellow cards4

1Red cards0

2Saves8

84%Pass accuracy73%

Galatasaray scored 2.1 and conceded 1.0 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Kasımpaşa scored 1.3 and conceded 1.8 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Galatasaray · last 10 at home: 7 wins7/10

Galatasaray: 10 games · Kasımpaşa: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.0Goals scored (avg)1.3

1.5Goals conceded (avg)1.8

3.5Total goals per gameleague 2.93.1

10/10Over 0.5league %9510/10

9/10Over 1.5league %778/10

7/10Over 2.5league %596/10

5/10Over 3.5league %314/10

3/10Over 4.5league %162/10

7/10Both scoreleague %457/10

2/10Clean sheets2/10

1/10Failed to score1/10

Galatasaray: 10 games · Kasımpaşa: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.0Goals scored (avg)1.6

1.7Goals conceded (avg)1.0

3.7Total goals per gameleague 2.92.6

10/10Over 0.5league %959/10

8/10Over 1.5league %777/10

8/10Over 2.5league %595/10

7/10Over 3.5league %314/10

3/10Over 4.5league %161/10

6/10Both scoreleague %457/10

3/10Clean sheets3/10

1/10Failed to score1/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

Kasımpaşa: a 7-match unbeaten run ended here.

%74 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Galatasaray win 741, 173 end level and Kasımpaşa win 86. The actual result comes up 741 times in 1000.

2.18 – 0.59 The score the chances deserved (xG): Galatasaray 2.18 – 0.59 Kasımpaşa.

24 – 9 Shots: Galatasaray 24 – 9 Kasımpaşa.

4 more numbers for this match in Premium

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 8 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Galatasaray · Süper Lig

Kasımpaşa · Süper Lig

Galatasaray · All games

Kasımpaşa · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Galatasaray's ground

Last 8 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match