Kasımpaşa – Samsunspor: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Süper Lig · Türkiye · Matchday 8

KasımpaşaSüper Lig · #6

4-1Sunday, October 18

SamsunsporSüper Lig · #17

Match events

KasımpaşaSamsunspor

26'⚽C. WinckAssist: A. Kol
31'⚽A. ArousAssist: A. Benedyczak
45'⚽T. Coulibaly
46'⇄A. SousaOff: E. Kilinc
51'E. Belozoglu
55'A. Sousa
58'

Chances to win

Kasımpaşa%40

Draw%28

Samsunspor%32

At a glance

Over 1.5

%47Over 2.5

%52Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.

%53Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 5.Missed

Other scenarios

Both score%52

Not both score%48

Over 2.5%47

Kasımpaşa win%40

Samsunspor win%32

Draw%28

Why?

Kasımpaşa: 2 or fewer goals in 7 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

KasımpaşaL1-3D0-0W2-1D2-2D1-1

SamsunsporL0-3L0-1L1-5L0-1L0-2

Last 6 meetings

2Kasımpaşa won

1Draw

3Samsunspor won

2.5
Goals per game2/6
Over 2.52/6
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Kasımpaşa · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).5/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 5 games it led at half-time.

Samsunspor · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Kasımpaşa · last 10 at home3.2 corners, 2.2 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners3/10Over 4.5 corners3/10Over 5.5 corners

Samsunspor · last 9 away5.0 corners, 2.9 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/9Over 4.5 corners6/9Over 5.5 corners3/9Over 0.5 cards8/9Over 1.5 cards6/9

Andri Fannar Baldursson

Bench

Ali Emre Yanar, Kevin Mouanga, Ömer Bayram, Ahmet Taha Dağbaşı, Atakan Mujde, Haris Hajradinović, Marcus Rafferty, Emirhan Boz, Thiemoko Diarra, Güven Yalçın

Samsunspor · 4-2-3-1

1Okan Kocuk

2Josafat Mendes

17Logi Tomasson

22Yunus Emre Çift

34Gabriele Guarino

4Elliot Watt

10Tanguy Coulibaly

11Emre Kılınç

19Oskar Øhlenschlaeger

20Yalçın Kayan

18Mohamed Bayo

Bench

Bilal Bayazit, Igor Drapiński, Strahinja Eraković, Enes Albak, Haluk Mustafa Tan, Samed Onur, Antoine Sekongo, Afonso Sousa, Elayis Tavsan, Saikuba Jarju

Kasımpaşa – SamsunsporApril 27, 2024 · Süper Lig1-0

Samsunspor – KasımpaşaDecember 9, 2023 · Süper Lig4-2

T. CoulibalyGoal Disallowed - offside

64'⚽A. ArousAssist: J. Rak-Sakyi

70'⇄S. ErakovicOff: Y. E. Cift

70'⇄A. SekongoOff: O. Ohlenschlaeger

78'⚽A. BenedyczakAssist: K. Demirbay

82'⇄T. DiarraOff: A. Kol

82'⇄G. YalcinOff: A. Benedyczak

83'⇄H. HajradinovicOff: K. Demirbay

86'⇄K. MouangaOff: A. Karapo

86'⇄M. RaffertyOff: J. Rak-Sakyi

86'⇄E. TavsanOff: Y. Kayan

86'⇄S. JarjuOff: T. Coulibaly

Statistics

49%Possession51%

2.6Expected goals1.13

23Total shots12

9Shots on target4

9Corners6

13Fouls20

0Offsides2

1Yellow cards2

3Saves5

84%Pass accuracy82%

Samsunspor: 2 or fewer goals in 5 of their last 10 away matches.

Kasımpaşa scored 1.2 and conceded 0.9 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Samsunspor scored 1.3 and conceded 1.5 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Kasımpaşa · last 10 at home: 2 or fewer goals 7 times7/10

Samsunspor · last 10 away: 2 or fewer goals 5 times5/10

Kasımpaşa: 10 games · Samsunspor: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.6Goals scored (avg)1.2

0.6Goals conceded (avg)1.9

2.2Total goals per gameleague 2.93.1

9/10Over 0.5league %9410/10

6/10Over 1.5league %777/10

3/10Over 2.5league %596/10

3/10Over 3.5league %314/10

1/10Over 4.5league %154/10

5/10Both scoreleague %465/10

5/10Clean sheets2/10

1/10Failed to score3/10

Kasımpaşa: 10 games · Samsunspor: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.6Goals scored (avg)1.1

1.0Goals conceded (avg)2.1

2.6Total goals per gameleague 2.93.2

9/10Over 0.5league %9410/10

7/10Over 1.5league %778/10

5/10Over 2.5league %596/10

4/10Over 3.5league %313/10

1/10Over 4.5league %153/10

7/10Both scoreleague %464/10

3/10Clean sheets2/10

1/10Failed to score4/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

1.93 – 0.61 The score the chances deserved (xG): Kasımpaşa 1.93 – 0.61 Samsunspor.

%69 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Kasımpaşa win 689, 203 end level and Samsunspor win 109. The actual result comes up 689 times in 1000.

22 – 6 Shots: Kasımpaşa 22 – 6 Samsunspor.

8 – 3 Shots on target: Kasımpaşa 8 – 3 Samsunspor.

2 more numbers for this match in Premium

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 6 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Kasımpaşa · Süper Lig

Samsunspor · Süper Lig

Kasımpaşa · All games

Samsunspor · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Kasımpaşa's ground

Last 6 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match