The data says the most likely scenario for this match is SC Braga win.
%62Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed
Other scenarios
Not both score%52
Over 2.5%51
Under 2.5%49
Both score%48
Draw%23
Nacional win%16
Why?
SC Braga won 2 of their last 10 away matches.
Last 5 matches
NacionalL0-1L2-3L0-4L1-3L0-2
SC BragaW2-0L1-2L0-3L1-3D0-0
Last 15 meetings
1Nacional won
2Draw
12SC Braga won
3.4 Goals per game12/15 Over 2.58/15 Both score
Handicap and HT/FT history
By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.
Nacional · last 10 at home3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 1 games it led at half-time.
SC Braga · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).0/10games led at half-time.
Corners and cards
Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.
Nacional · last 10 at home4.7 corners, 3.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/10Over 4.5 corners5/10Over 5.5 corners
Referee
J. Bessa6.6 cards a match in 14 recorded games
Premium members onlyLikely scores, likely scorers, corner, card and half chances.
Nacional · Primeira Liga
2W 1D 7LScored 11 · conceded 202.5 Üst 5/10KG 4/10
SC Braga · Primeira Liga
3W 4D 3LScored 13 · conceded 142.5 Üst 7/10KG 7/10
Nacional · All games
2W 1D 7LScored 11 · conceded 192.5 Üst 5/10KG 4/10
SC Braga · All games
4W 2D 4LScored 9 · conceded 112.5 Üst 5/10KG 4/10
Missing players
No absentees reported
Starting line-ups
Nacional · 4-2-3-1
1Renato Bellucci
11S. Gavriel
21W. Kokolo
33Francisco Gonçalves
38Zé Vitor
6Matheus Dias
7M. Jensen
8Miguel Baeza
12Song Min-Kyu
15C. Labidi
29N. Kader
Bench
João Gonçalves, Daniel Isai de la Cruz de la Cruz, José Gomes, Ivanildo Fernandes, Daniel Júnior, Matchoi Djaló, Joel da Silva, D. Dongmo, Deivison, A. Obando, F. Nava, Pablo Ruan
SC Braga · 3-4-3
31Bernardo Fontes
This fixture at Nacional's ground
The meetings the home side hosted, of the last 8
0Nacional won
1Draw
7SC Braga won
Nacional won none of the last 8 here.SC Braga last won here on Feb 28, 2026: Nacional 1-2 SC Braga.3.3 goals a game here · over 2.5 7/8 · BTTS 4/8
Last 15 meetings
1Nacional won
2Draw
12SC Braga won
3.4 Goals per game12/15 Over 2.58/15 Both score
Previous meetings
Nacional – SC BragaFebruary 28, 2026 · Primeira Liga1-2
SC Braga – NacionalNovember 23, 2025 · Taça de Portugal4-2
SC Braga – NacionalSeptember 28, 2025 · Primeira Liga0-1
SC Braga – NacionalFebruary 21, 2025 · Primeira Liga1-0
João Carvalho, Diogo Travassos, A. Barišić, A. Bajrami, Vitor Carvalho, João Moutinho, M. Dorgeles, D. Huseinbašić, E. Tıknaz, Diego Rodrigues, Fran Navarro, Gabri Martínez
Nacional – SC BragaSeptember 20, 2024 · Primeira Liga0-3
Nacional – SC BragaDecember 22, 2023 · Taça da Liga1-3
SC Braga – NacionalApril 25, 2023 · Taça de Portugal2-2
Nacional – SC BragaApril 12, 2023 · Taça de Portugal0-5
Nacional – SC BragaFebruary 28, 2021 · Primeira Liga1-2
SC Braga – NacionalOctober 17, 2020 · Primeira Liga2-1
Nacional – SC BragaJanuary 18, 2019 · Primeira Liga0-3
SC Braga – NacionalAugust 12, 2018 · Primeira Liga4-2
SC Braga – NacionalMay 14, 2017 · Primeira Liga4-0
Nacional – SC BragaJanuary 7, 2017 · Primeira Liga0-0
Nacional – SC BragaJanuary 17, 2016 · Primeira Liga2-3
62'⇄Fra NavarroOff: Jovan Milosevic
68'⇄Deivison Souza BritoOff: Markus Jensen
68'⇄Matchoi DjalóOff: Song Min-kyu
76'⇄Denis HuseinbasicOff: Bright Arrey Mbi
78'⇄Danel DongmoOff: Chiheb Labidi
78'⇄Pablo RuanOff: N. Kader
79'Sergio Barcia
86'Stavros Gavriel
86'⇄Daniel de Melo Araujo JuniorOff: Miguel Baeza
90+4'Gustaf Lagerbielke
Statistics
29%Possession71%
0.51Expected goals1.51
8Total shots20
4Shots on target2
4Corners7
18Fouls12
2Offsides3
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Saves3
Nacional scored 1.2 and conceded 1.5 per game in their last 10 home matches.
SC Braga scored 0.9 and conceded 1.3 per game in their last 10 away matches.
Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.