The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.
%60Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed
Other scenarios
Both score%62
SC Paderborn 07 win%43
Under 2.5%41
Not both score%38
Hamburger SV win%31
Draw%25
Why?
SC Paderborn 07: 3+ goals in 6 of their last 10 home matches.
Last 5 matches
SC Paderborn 07D2-2L0-2W3-1L0-3L0-1
Hamburger SVW1-0W3-2W2-1L0-5L0-5
Last 15 meetings
6SC Paderborn 07 won
2Draw
7Hamburger SV won
3.3 Goals per game11/15 Over 2.59/15 Both score
Handicap and HT/FT history
By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.
SC Paderborn 07 · last 10 at home2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 4 games it led at half-time.
Hamburger SV · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).6/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 2 games it led at half-time.
Corners and cards
Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.
SC Paderborn 07 · last 10 at home6.9 corners, 1.1 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners10/10Over 4.5 corners6/10Over 5.5 corners5/10
Referee
Martin Petersen3.8 cards a match in 19 recorded games
Premium members onlyLikely scores, likely scorers, corner, card and half chances.
SC Paderborn 07 · Bundesliga
1W 4D 3LScored 6 · conceded 102.5 Üst 3/8KG 3/8
Hamburger SV · Bundesliga
5W 1D 4LScored 13 · conceded 212.5 Üst 7/10KG 6/10
SC Paderborn 07 · All games
3W 4D 3LScored 12 · conceded 122.5 Üst 4/10KG 4/10
Hamburger SV · All games
6W 1D 3LScored 15 · conceded 192.5 Üst 7/10KG 5/10
Missing players
SC Paderborn 07
S. Klaas
No games this season · Muscle Injury
O. Batista Meier
This season 4 games · 0 goals · 1 assists · Ankle Injury
T. Gayret
No games this season · Knee Injury
M. Hoffmeier
No games this season · Muscle Injury
N. Awortwie-Grant
No games this season · Knee Injury
Hamburger SV
N. Capaldo
This season 7 games · 1 goals · 0 assists · Muscle Injury
M. Vuskovic
No games this season · Doping
N. Remberg
This season 6 games · 0 goals · 1 assists · Knee Injury
Starting line-ups
SC Paderborn 07 · 3-5-2
15N. Noll
21J. ter Horst
22M. Hansen
25T. Scheller
This fixture at SC Paderborn 07's ground
The meetings the home side hosted, of the last 8
3SC Paderborn 07 won
0Draw
5Hamburger SV won
SC Paderborn 07 last won here on Mar 2, 2025: SC Paderborn 07 2-0 Hamburger SV.Hamburger SV last won here on Oct 30, 2022: SC Paderborn 07 2-3 Hamburger SV.3.5 goals a game here · over 2.5 5/8 · BTTS 4/8
SC Paderborn 07 · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 6 times6/10
Hamburger SV · last 10 away: 3+ goals 8 times8/10
SC Paderborn 07: 10 games · Hamburger SV: 10 games · league average in grey
Goals
1.5Goals scored (avg)1.2
1.5Goals conceded (avg)2.2
3.0Total goals per gameleague 3.63.4
10/10Over 0.5league %9210/10
7/10Over 1.5league %809/10
5/10Over 2.5league %727/10
4/10Over 3.5league %555/10
2/10Over 4.5league %363/10
6/10Both scoreleague %585/10
1/10Clean sheets1/10
3/10Failed to score4/10
SC Paderborn 07: 10 games · Hamburger SV: 10 games · league average in grey
Goals
1.1Goals scored (avg)1.1
1.3Goals conceded (avg)2.0
2.4Total goals per gameleague 3.63.1
9/10Over 0.5league %9210/10
6/10Over 1.5league %808/10
4/10Over 2.5league %726/10
3/10Over 3.5league %554/10
1/10Over 4.5league %363/10
4/10Both scoreleague %584/10
2/10Clean sheets2/10
5/10Failed to score4/10
The real story of the match
What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.
88' Rayan Philippe decided it in minute 88.
%54 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), SC Paderborn 07 win 542, 308 end level and Hamburger SV win 150. The actual result comes up 542 times in 1000.
6 – 1 Shots on target: SC Paderborn 07 6 – 1 Hamburger SV.
1.21 – 0.49 The score the chances deserved (xG): SC Paderborn 07 1.21 – 0.49 Hamburger SV.
SC Paderborn 07Bundesliga · #13
Hamburger SVBundesliga · #11