Albacete – Sabadell: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Segunda División · Spain · Matchday 12

AlbaceteSegunda · #21

2-1Saturday, October 31

SabadellSegunda · #10

Match events

AlbaceteSabadell

2'Óscar Sanz
10'⚽Óscar SanzOwn goal
38'⚽Diego FuoliOwn goal
42'José Corpas
45'⇄Eneko AguilarOff: Óscar Sanz
45+6'⇄Pere PonsOff: Quadri Liameed
45+10'

Chances to win

Albacete%39

Draw%30

Sabadell%31

At a glance

Over 1.5

%43Over 2.5

%50Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.

%57Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed

Other scenarios

Not both score%50

Both score%50

Over 2.5%43

Albacete win%39

Sabadell win%31

Draw%30

Why?

Albacete: 2 or fewer goals in 2 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

AlbaceteW2-0L1-2L0-5L1-3L0-2

SabadellD1-1L0-1W2-1D0-0D1-1

Last 4 meetings

1Albacete won

2Draw

1Sabadell won

1.5
Goals per game1/4
Over 2.51/4
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Albacete · last 10 at home3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).6/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 6 games it led at half-time.

Sabadell · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 1 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Albacete · last 10 at home6.0 corners, 2.2 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/10Over 4.5 corners7/10Over 5.5 corners5/10

Sabadell · last 6 away5.2 corners, 2.8 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners3/6Over 4.5 corners3/6Over 5.5 corners3/6Over 0.5 cards6/6Over 1.5 cards4/6

27José Luis Català

Bench

J. Ortega, Marc Vidal, Kaiser Lázaro, Pere Pons, Javi López, Y. Owusu, Alain Ribeiro, Eneko Aguilar, N. Obolskiy

Gastón Joaquín Valles Velázquez

54'⇄Dani BernabéuOff: Victor Valverde da Silva

54'⇄Javi VillarOff: Víctor San Bartolomé

59'⇄Javi López-PintoOff: Ton Ripoll

64'⇄Agustin Medina DelgadoOff: Lorenzo Aguado Herrera

65'⇄Álex Rubio RoldánOff: Higinio Marín

70'⇄Alain RibeiroOff: Arthur Bonaldo

73'Álex Rubio Roldán

76'⇄Nikolay ObolskiyOff: Joel Priego

81'⚽Eneko AguilarAssist: Ángel Baena

Statistics

41%Possession59%

0.42Expected goals1.67

5Total shots25

2Shots on target5

7Corners6

11Fouls17

1Offsides3

1Yellow cards3

1Red cards0

4Saves2

Sabadell: 2 or fewer goals in 7 of their last 10 away matches.

Albacete scored 1.6 and conceded 1.7 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Sabadell scored 1.1 and conceded 1.0 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Sabadell · last 10 away: 2 or fewer goals 7 times7/10

Albacete: 10 games · Sabadell: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.6Goals scored (avg)1.0

1.5Goals conceded (avg)1.1

3.1Total goals per gameleague 2.72.1

10/10Over 0.5league %938/10

9/10Over 1.5league %746/10

8/10Over 2.5league %503/10

3/10Over 3.5league %321/10

1/10Over 4.5league %161/10

7/10Both scoreleague %524/10

1/10Clean sheets4/10

2/10Failed to score4/10

Albacete: 10 games · Sabadell: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

0.8Goals scored (avg)1.2

1.9Goals conceded (avg)1.1

2.7Total goals per gameleague 2.72.3

10/10Over 0.5league %939/10

9/10Over 1.5league %747/10

5/10Over 2.5league %504/10

2/10Over 3.5league %322/10

1/10Over 4.5league %161/10

5/10Both scoreleague %526/10

1/10Clean sheets2/10

4/10Failed to score3/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%9 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Albacete win 88, 227 end level and Sabadell win 685. The actual result comes up 88 times in 1000.

0.42 – 1.67 The score the chances deserved (xG): Albacete 0.42 – 1.67 Sabadell.

5 – 25 Shots: Albacete 5 – 25 Sabadell.

7.4

Man of the match: Eneko Aguilar (Sabadell), rated 7.4.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 4 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Albacete · Segunda División

Sabadell · Segunda División

Albacete · All games

Sabadell · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Albacete's ground

Last 4 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match