Sabadell – Tenerife: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Segunda División · Spain · Matchday 11

SabadellSegunda · #10

1-1Sunday, October 25

TenerifeSegunda · #12

Match events

SabadellTenerife

4'Neal Viereck
8'Arthur Bonaldo
17'Edgar Gonzalez
27'⇄José Luis CatalàOff: Arthur Bonaldo
45'⇄Eneko AguilarOff: Edgar Gonzalez
45+1'Juanjo Sánchez
47'

Chances to win

Sabadell%51

Draw%29

Tenerife%20

At a glance

Over 1.5

%38Over 2.5

%42Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.

%62Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Not both score%58

Sabadell win%51

Both score%42

Over 2.5%38

Draw%29

Tenerife win%20

Why?

Sabadell: 2 or fewer goals in 4 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

SabadellL0-1W2-1D0-0D1-1W3-1

TenerifeD1-1D1-1L2-3D1-1L0-5

Last 2 meetings

1Sabadell won

0Draw

1Tenerife won

2.5
Goals per game1/2
Over 2.51/2
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Sabadell · last 10 at home3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Tenerife · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Sabadell · last 4 at home5.5 corners, 2.8 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners3/4Over 4.5 corners1/4Over 5.5 corners1/4Over 0.5 cards4/4Over 1.5 cards4/4

Tenerife · last 5 away

4.6 corners, 3.0 cards a game

Bench

Gabriel Lozano, José León, Jorge Moreno, César Álvarez, Marc Mateu, M. Pečar, Fabricio, Jesús Álvarez, M. Pittón, Daniel Fernández, De Miguel, G. Ranos

Óscar SanzAssist: Ton Ripoll

49'Albert Orriols Cerarols

55'⚽Enric GallegoAssist: Nacho Gil

60'⇄Jesus AlvarezOff: Juanjo Sánchez

65'⇄Yanis RahmaniOff: Gastón Joaquín Valles Velázquez

65'⇄Nikolay ObolskiyOff: Javi López-Pinto

69'⇄Martin PečarOff: Noel López

75'⇄Pere PonsOff: Quadri Liameed

77'Anthony Landazuri

82'⇄Fabricio Assis de Souza BarbosaOff: A. Krdžalić

82'⇄Jesús De Miguel AlamedaOff: Enric Gallego

82'⇄Dani FernándezOff: Christian Pierre Louis Gomis

Statistics

56%Possession44%

0.9Expected goals0.72

14Total shots12

4Shots on target3

4Corners5

17Fouls9

1Offsides2

4Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

2Saves2

Tenerife: 2 or fewer goals in 5 of their last 10 away matches.

Sabadell scored 1.8 and conceded 1.0 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Tenerife scored 1.1 and conceded 1.7 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Tenerife · last 10 away: 2 or fewer goals 5 times5/10

Sabadell: 10 games · Tenerife: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.6Goals scored (avg)1.2

1.0Goals conceded (avg)1.8

2.6Total goals per gameleague 2.73.0

9/10Over 0.5league %9310/10

6/10Over 1.5league %7410/10

5/10Over 2.5league %505/10

5/10Over 3.5league %323/10

1/10Over 4.5league %172/10

5/10Both scoreleague %519/10

4/10Clean sheets0/10

2/10Failed to score1/10

Sabadell: 10 games · Tenerife: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.1Goals scored (avg)1.0

0.9Goals conceded (avg)1.4

2.0Total goals per gameleague 2.72.4

8/10Over 0.5league %9310/10

6/10Over 1.5league %748/10

3/10Over 2.5league %502/10

2/10Over 3.5league %322/10

1/10Over 4.5league %172/10

5/10Both scoreleague %516/10

3/10Clean sheets2/10

4/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%35 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Sabadell win 377, 348 end level and Tenerife win 275. The actual result comes up 348 times in 1000.

%29 Our model's pre-match chance of a draw.

0.90 – 0.72 The score the chances deserved (xG): Sabadell 0.90 – 0.72 Tenerife.

7.9

Man of the match: Enric Gallego (Tenerife), rated 7.9.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 2 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Sabadell · Segunda División

Tenerife · Segunda División

Sabadell · All games

Tenerife · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

Last 2 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match