Celta de Vigo II – Tenerife: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Segunda División · Spain · Matchday 10

Celta de Vigo IISegunda · #16

1-1Monday, October 19

TenerifeSegunda · #12

Match events

Celta de Vigo IITenerife

10'César Álvarez Abrante
28'⚽Alvaro·Marin SesmaAssist: Joel Lopez
43'Enrique Ribes Recaj
43'⇄Alexis Olmedo VilaOff: Enrique Ribes Recaj
45'⇄Juanjo SánchezOff: Jesus Alvarez
45'⇄A. KrdžalićOff: Mauro Pitton

Chances to win

Celta de Vigo II%35

Draw%29

Tenerife%36

At a glance

Over 1.5

%47Over 2.5

%54Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.

%53Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 5.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%54

Over 2.5%47

Not both score%46

Tenerife win%36

Celta de Vigo II win%35

Draw%29

Why?

Celta de Vigo II: 2 or fewer goals in 4 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Celta de Vigo IIW4-1L2-3D1-1L0-2L0-4

TenerifeD1-1L2-3D1-1L0-5W2-0

Last 2 meetings

0Celta de Vigo II won

1Draw

1Tenerife won

3.0
Goals per game1/2
Over 2.51/2
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Celta de Vigo II · last 10 at home3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Tenerife · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Celta de Vigo II · last 5 at home3.4 corners, 2.6 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners3/5Over 4.5 corners1/5Over 5.5 corners0/5Over 0.5 cards5/5Over 1.5 cards

Tenerife · last 4 away4.8 corners, 3.3 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners2/4Over 4.5 corners2/4Over 5.5 corners1/4Over 0.5 cards4/4Over 1.5 cards3/4

Bench

Gabriel Lozano, R. Jureškin, José León, Marc Mateu, N. Viereck, Juanjo, M. Pečar, Fabricio, A. Krdžalić, De Miguel, Noel López, G. Ranos

57'⇄Noel LópezOff: Dani Fernández

65'⇄Frank Germain Jonathan MillerOff: Pablo Gavián Alonso

65'⇄Jan OliverasOff: Aldrine Kibet

66'⇄Jesús De Miguel AlamedaOff: Christian Pierre Louis Gomis

69'Jorge Moreno San Vidal

76'Frank Germain Jonathan Miller

82'⇄Vladimir Henrique SilvaOff: Ángel Arcos

82'⇄Mateo Sobral SabajanesOff: Hugo Cuenca

85'⇄Fabricio Assis de Souza BarbosaOff: Enric Gallego

Statistics

53%Possession47%

1.01Expected goals0.43

14Total shots10

4Shots on target3

4Corners4

20Fouls12

0Offsides4

3Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

2Saves3

Tenerife: 2 or fewer goals in 5 of their last 10 away matches.

Celta de Vigo II scored 1.6 and conceded 1.4 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Tenerife scored 1.1 and conceded 1.7 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Tenerife · last 10 away: 2 or fewer goals 5 times5/10

Celta de Vigo II: 10 games · Tenerife: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.6Goals scored (avg)1.2

1.4Goals conceded (avg)1.8

3.0Total goals per gameleague 2.73.0

10/10Over 0.5league %9310/10

8/10Over 1.5league %7410/10

6/10Over 2.5league %505/10

3/10Over 3.5league %323/10

2/10Over 4.5league %172/10

6/10Both scoreleague %519/10

1/10Clean sheets0/10

3/10Failed to score1/10

Celta de Vigo II: 10 games · Tenerife: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.6Goals scored (avg)1.0

2.1Goals conceded (avg)1.4

3.7Total goals per gameleague 2.72.4

10/10Over 0.5league %9310/10

10/10Over 1.5league %748/10

6/10Over 2.5league %502/10

5/10Over 3.5league %322/10

4/10Over 4.5league %172/10

7/10Both scoreleague %516/10

1/10Clean sheets2/10

2/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%29 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Celta de Vigo II win 304, 287 end level and Tenerife win 409. The actual result comes up 287 times in 1000.

%29 Our model's pre-match chance of a draw.

1.01 – 1.22 The score the chances deserved (xG): Celta de Vigo II 1.01 – 1.22 Tenerife.

8.2

Man of the match: A. Marin (Celta de Vigo II), rated 8.2.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 2 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Celta de Vigo II · Segunda División

Tenerife · Segunda División

Celta de Vigo II · All games

Tenerife · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

Last 2 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match