Albacete – Eldense: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Segunda División · Spain · Matchday 11

AlbaceteSegunda · #22

2-0Sunday, October 25

EldenseSegunda · #13

Match events

AlbaceteEldense

20'⚽Víctor San Bartolomé
21'José Corpas
24'Justin Smith
33'Carlos Guirao Mora
33'Fidel
45'⚽Higinio MarínAssist: Victor Valverde da Silva
45'

Chances to win

Albacete%41

Draw%27

Eldense%32

At a glance

Over 1.5

%54Over 2.5

%59Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Both score.

%59Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%54

Under 2.5%46

Not both score%41

Albacete win%41

Eldense win%32

Draw%27

Why?

Albacete: both sides scored in 8 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

AlbaceteL1-2L0-5L1-3L0-2L1-2

EldenseW3-2W2-1W4-1L0-1L1-2

Last 7 meetings

2Albacete won

2Draw

3Eldense won

2.0
Goals per game1/7
Over 2.53/7
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Albacete · last 10 at home2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).5/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 5 games it led at half-time.

Eldense · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Albacete · last 10 at home5.6 corners, 2.2 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/10Over 4.5 corners7/10Over 5.5 corners5/10

Eldense · last 5 away5.4 corners, 2.4 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners4/5Over 4.5 corners3/5Over 5.5 corners2/5Over 0.5 cards4/5Over 1.5 cards4/5

33Aingeru Olabarrieta

Bench

Juanpa, Iker Recio, J. Yanda, Jordi Martín, J. Olaizola, Marcos Bustillo, M. Carmona, Manu Nieto, A. Ibarrondo, Dinis Rodrigues

Albacete – EldenseDecember 19, 2023 · Segunda División1-1

Albacete – EldenseJuly 29, 2023 · Friendlies Clubs2-3

Eldense – AlbaceteAugust 4, 2022 · Friendlies Clubs1-1

Mariano Emilio Carmona CerezoOff: Jorge Rastrojo

45'⇄Jorge Martin CamunasOff: Justin Smith

62'⇄Manuel NietoOff: Fidel

62'⇄Marcos Bustillo AquesoloOff: Javi Martínez

63'⇄Agustin Medina DelgadoOff: Víctor San Bartolomé

63'⇄Mario Soberon GutierrezOff: Higinio Marín

69'⇄Dani BernabéuOff: Victor Valverde da Silva

71'Antonio Pacheco Ruiz

73'Lorenzo Aguado Herrera

81'⇄Dinis RodriguesOff: Carlos Guirao Mora

82'⇄Javi VillarOff: Lorenzo Aguado Herrera

82'⇄Roberto Gonzalez BayonOff: Antonio Pacheco Ruiz

Statistics

37%Possession63%

1.06Expected goals0.94

19Total shots10

4Shots on target1

10Corners4

14Fouls11

3Offsides0

4Yellow cards4

0Red cards0

1Saves2

Eldense: both sides scored in 4 of their last 10 away matches.

Albacete scored 1.5 and conceded 1.8 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Eldense scored 1.0 and conceded 1.5 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Albacete · last 10 at home: both scored 8 times8/10

Albacete: 10 games · Eldense: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.6Goals scored (avg)0.8

1.7Goals conceded (avg)1.6

3.3Total goals per gameleague 2.72.4

10/10Over 0.5league %9310/10

9/10Over 1.5league %746/10

8/10Over 2.5league %505/10

4/10Over 3.5league %322/10

2/10Over 4.5league %171/10

7/10Both scoreleague %513/10

1/10Clean sheets2/10

2/10Failed to score5/10

Albacete: 10 games · Eldense: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

0.7Goals scored (avg)1.2

2.0Goals conceded (avg)1.0

2.7Total goals per gameleague 2.72.2

10/10Over 0.5league %939/10

9/10Over 1.5league %745/10

5/10Over 2.5league %504/10

2/10Over 3.5league %322/10

1/10Over 4.5league %172/10

5/10Both scoreleague %514/10

1/10Clean sheets3/10

4/10Failed to score4/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

Albacete: a 11-match wait for a win is over.

%38 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Albacete win 378, 308 end level and Eldense win 315. The actual result comes up 378 times in 1000.

1.06 – 0.94 The score the chances deserved (xG): Albacete 1.06 – 0.94 Eldense.

10 – 4 Corners: Albacete 10 – 4 Eldense.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 7 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Albacete · Segunda División

Eldense · Segunda División

Albacete · All games

Eldense · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Albacete's ground

Last 7 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match