Valladolid – Eldense: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Segunda División · Spain · Matchday 10

ValladolidSegunda · #15

2-3Sunday, October 18

EldenseSegunda · #13

Match events

ValladolidEldense

23'⚽Adrian ArnuAssist: Julien Ponceau
30'⇄Victor BarberaOff: Juan Miguel Latasa
34'Fidel
41'⚽Jorge RastrojoAssist: Javi Martínez
45+1'⚽Aingeru OlabarrietaAssist: Ramón Vila Rovira
45+5'Thiago Ezequiel Ojeda

Chances to win

Valladolid%48

Draw%28

Eldense%25

At a glance

Over 1.5

%48Over 2.5

%52Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.

%52Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 5.Missed

Other scenarios

Both score%52

Over 2.5%48

Valladolid win%48

Not both score%48

Draw%28

Eldense win%25

Why?

Valladolid: 2 or fewer goals in 6 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

ValladolidW5-0D2-2W3-1D1-1L0-3

EldenseW2-1W4-1L0-1L1-2W1-0

Last 2 meetings

2Valladolid won

0Draw

0Eldense won

1.0
Goals per game0/2
Over 2.50/2
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Valladolid · last 10 at home4/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Eldense · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Valladolid · last 10 at home5.2 corners, 2.7 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/10Over 4.5 corners6/10Over 5.5 corners

Eldense · last 4 away6.3 corners, 2.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners4/4Over 4.5 corners3/4Over 5.5 corners2/4Over 0.5 cards3/4Over 1.5 cards3/4

33Aingeru Olabarrieta

Bench

Juanpa, Iker Recio, J. Yanda, Jordi Martín, J. Olaizola, Marcos Bustillo, M. Carmona, Manu Nieto, A. Ibarrondo, Dinis Rodrigues

57'Víctor Fernández

64'⇄Mariano Emilio Carmona CerezoOff: Jorge Rastrojo

64'⇄Marcos Bustillo AquesoloOff: Justin Smith

66'⇄Iván AlejoOff: Álvaro Pérez Campo

66'⇄Tay AbedOff: Thiago Ezequiel Ojeda

72'Víctor Fernández

73'⇄Jorge Martin CamunasOff: Javi Martínez

76'⇄Kaj de RooijOff: Julien Ponceau

76'⇄Robin van DuivenOff: Adrian Arnu

78'Juan Larios López

81'⇄Iker Recio OrtegaOff: Juan Larios López

81'⇄Manuel NietoOff: Fidel

83'⚽Victor BarberaAssist: Tay Abed

90+5'⚽Mariano Emilio Carmona CerezoAssist: Aingeru Olabarrieta

Statistics

56%Possession44%

16Total shots13

5Shots on target5

13Corners2

10Fouls13

2Offsides1

4Yellow cards4

1Red cards0

2Saves3

86%Pass accuracy82%

Eldense: 2 or fewer goals in 4 of their last 10 away matches.

Valladolid scored 1.5 and conceded 0.7 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Eldense scored 1.1 and conceded 1.4 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Valladolid · last 10 at home: 2 or fewer goals 6 times6/10

Valladolid: 10 games · Eldense: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.7Goals scored (avg)0.8

0.9Goals conceded (avg)1.6

2.6Total goals per gameleague 2.72.4

9/10Over 0.5league %9310/10

7/10Over 1.5league %746/10

5/10Over 2.5league %505/10

3/10Over 3.5league %322/10

2/10Over 4.5league %171/10

2/10Both scoreleague %513/10

6/10Clean sheets2/10

3/10Failed to score5/10

Valladolid: 10 games · Eldense: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.7Goals scored (avg)1.2

1.3Goals conceded (avg)1.0

3.0Total goals per gameleague 2.72.2

10/10Over 0.5league %939/10

8/10Over 1.5league %745/10

6/10Over 2.5league %504/10

4/10Over 3.5league %322/10

2/10Over 4.5league %172/10

6/10Both scoreleague %514/10

3/10Clean sheets3/10

1/10Failed to score4/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

90+5'

Mariano Emilio Carmona Cerezo decided it in minute 90.

%25 Our model's pre-match chance of an Eldense win.

%48 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Valladolid win 301, 218 end level and Eldense win 481. The actual result comes up 481 times in 1000.

13 – 2 Corners: Valladolid 13 – 2 Eldense.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 2 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Valladolid · Segunda División

Eldense · Segunda División

Valladolid · All games

Eldense · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

Last 2 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match