Bradford – Stevenage: probabilities, statistics and live score

BradfordLeague One · #7

2-0Saturday, October 17

StevenageLeague One · #16

Match events

BradfordStevenage

53'⇄Ben BroggioOff: Wanya Marcal
57'⇄Corey O'KeeffeOff: Kayden Jackson
57'⇄Nick PowellOff: Jake Beesley
65'⇄Stephen HumphrysOff: Bobby Pointon
65'⇄Will SwanOff: Adam Phillips
65'⇄Louis ThompsonOff: Matthew Smith

Chances to win

Bradford%47

Draw%29

Stevenage%24

At a glance

Over 1.5

%41Over 2.5

%46Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

Last 5 matches

BradfordD0-0W4-0D1-1W2-1W1-0

StevenageW1-0W2-1W6-1L0-1W

Last 4 meetings

2Bradford won

1Draw

1Stevenage won

2.8
Goals per game2/4
Over 2.52/4
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Bradford · last 10 at home2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Stevenage · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Bradford · last 10 at home7.1 corners, 1.6 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners9/10Over 4.5 corners8/10Over 5.5 corners6/10

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.

%59Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Not both score%54

Bradford win%47

Both score%46

Over 2.5%41

Draw%29

Stevenage win%24

Why?

Bradford · last 10 at home: 2 or fewer goals 8 times8/10

Stevenage · last 10 away: 2 or fewer goals 6 times6/10

Bradford: 2 or fewer goals in 8 of their last 10 home matches.
Stevenage: 2 or fewer goals in 6 of their last 10 away matches.
Bradford scored 1.0 and conceded 0.6 per game in their last 10 home matches.
Stevenage scored 1.7 and conceded 1.3 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Bradford: 10 games · Stevenage: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.2Goals scored (avg)1.7

0.6Goals conceded (avg)1.2

1.8Total goals per gameleague 2.82.9

8/10Over 0.5league %929/10

7/10Over 1.5league %808/10

3/10Over 2.5league %544/10

0/10Over 3.5league %313/10

0/10Over 4.5league %152/10

2/10Both scoreleague %576/10

7/10Clean sheets1/10

3/10Failed to score4/10

Bradford: 10 games · Stevenage: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.2Goals scored (avg)2.1

0.5Goals conceded (avg)1.0

1.7Total goals per gameleague 2.83.1

7/10Over 0.5league %9210/10

6/10Over 1.5league %807/10

3/10Over 2.5league %546/10

1/10Over 3.5league %313/10

0/10Over 4.5league %152/10

2/10Both scoreleague %575/10

7/10Clean sheets2/10

4/10Failed to score3/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%57 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Bradford win 568, 227 end level and Stevenage win 205. The actual result comes up 568 times in 1000.

1.84 – 1.01 The score the chances deserved (xG): Bradford 1.84 – 1.01 Stevenage.

9 – 3 Corners: Bradford 9 – 3 Stevenage.

7.5

Man of the match: M. Pennington (Bradford), rated 7.5.

1 more numbers for this match in Premium

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

Last 5 matches

Last 4 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Bradford's ground

Last 4 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Bradford · League One

Stevenage · League One

Bradford · All games

Stevenage · All games

Statistics

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match