Stevenage – Wigan: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·League One · England · Matchday 10

StevenageLeague One · #16

1-0Saturday, October 10

WiganLeague One · #21

Match events

StevenageWigan

28'Finley Burns
53'Charlie Gray
60'⚽Wanya MarcalAssist: Josh Magennis
64'⇄Fraser MurrayOff: Jeremiah Chilokoa-Mullen
64'⇄Reggie WalshOff: Bradley Burrowes
66'⇄Ben BroggioOff: O. Sanderson

Chances to win

Stevenage%45

Draw%29

Wigan%26

At a glance

Over 1.5

%43Over 2.5

%48Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.

%57Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Not both score%52

Both score%48

Stevenage win%45

Over 2.5%43

Draw%29

Wigan win%26

Why?

Stevenage: 2 or fewer goals in 4 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

StevenageW2-1W6-1L0-1W2-1W5-1

WiganW3-2L0-1D0-0L0-4W3-1

Last 6 meetings

3Stevenage won

2Draw

1Wigan won

1.7
Goals per game2/6
Over 2.52/6
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Stevenage · last 10 at home0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Wigan · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Stevenage · last 10 at home4.7 corners, 1.3 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/10Over 4.5 corners6/10Over 5.5 corners

Wigan · last 10 away6.0 corners, 1.6 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/10Over 4.5 corners8/10Over 5.5 corners5/10Over 0.5 cards7/10Over 1.5 cards4/10

Bench

J. Walsh, Archie Harris, K'Marni Miller, F. Murray, R. Walsh, S. Perkins, C. Saydee

Wigan – StevenageJanuary 27, 2024 · League One2-3

Stevenage – WiganOctober 7, 2023 · League One1-0

Louis ThompsonOff: Matthew Smith

79'⇄Michael MellonOff: Josh Magennis

79'⇄Phoenix PattersonOff: Wanya Marcal

85'⇄Sonny Tufail PerkinsOff: Jon Mellish

85'⇄Archie HarrisOff: Jensen Weir

90+4'James Carragher

Statistics

40%Possession60%

1.47Expected goals0.24

15Total shots6

6Shots on target1

2Corners7

9Fouls12

2Offsides4

0Yellow cards4

0Red cards0

1Saves5

Wigan: 2 or fewer goals in 7 of their last 10 away matches.

Stevenage scored 1.2 and conceded 1.2 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Wigan scored 0.8 and conceded 1.2 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Wigan · last 10 away: 2 or fewer goals 7 times7/10

Stevenage: 10 games · Wigan: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.2Goals scored (avg)0.5

1.1Goals conceded (avg)1.4

2.3Total goals per gameleague 2.81.9

10/10Over 0.5league %928/10

6/10Over 1.5league %805/10

6/10Over 2.5league %544/10

1/10Over 3.5league %311/10

0/10Over 4.5league %151/10

4/10Both scoreleague %574/10

3/10Clean sheets2/10

3/10Failed to score6/10

Stevenage: 10 games · Wigan: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.1Goals scored (avg)0.9

1.0Goals conceded (avg)1.7

3.1Total goals per gameleague 2.82.6

10/10Over 0.5league %929/10

7/10Over 1.5league %806/10

6/10Over 2.5league %546/10

3/10Over 3.5league %313/10

2/10Over 4.5league %152/10

5/10Both scoreleague %574/10

2/10Clean sheets2/10

3/10Failed to score5/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

2 – 7 Corners: Stevenage 2 – 7 Wigan.

%69 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Stevenage win 692, 251 end level and Wigan win 58. The actual result comes up 692 times in 1000.

15 – 6 Shots: Stevenage 15 – 6 Wigan.

6 – 1 Shots on target: Stevenage 6 – 1 Wigan.

3 more numbers for this match in Premium

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 6 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Stevenage · League One

Wigan · League One

Stevenage · All games

Wigan · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Stevenage's ground

Last 6 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match