Bradford – Leyton Orient: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·League One · England · Matchday 10

BradfordLeague One · #4

0-0Saturday, October 10

Leyton OrientLeague One · #16

Match events

BradfordLeyton Orient

26'James Morris
58'⇄Nick PowellOff: Jake Beesley
60'Jaze Kabia
61'⇄Aaron ConnollyOff: Yusuf Akhamrich
68'⇄Idris El MizouniOff: Jaze Kabia
71'⇄Will SwanOff: Adam Phillips

Chances to win

Bradford%59

Draw%23

Leyton Orient%17

At a glance

Over 1.5

%52Over 2.5

%51Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Bradford win.

%59Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%52

Both score%51

Not both score%49

Under 2.5%48

Draw%23

Leyton Orient win%17

Why?

Bradford won 4 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

BradfordW4-0D1-1W2-1W1-0W1-0

Leyton OrientL0-2W1-0L1-2L2-3L1-3

Last 5 meetings

2Bradford won

1Draw

2Leyton Orient won

3.0
Goals per game4/5
Over 2.54/5
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Bradford · last 10 at home2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Leyton Orient · last 10 away3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Bradford · last 10 at home6.1 corners, 1.7 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/10Over 4.5 corners7/10Over 5.5 corners5/10

Leyton Orient · last 10 away3.9 corners, 2.7 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners5/10Over 4.5 corners2/10Over 5.5 corners2/10Over 0.5 cards10/10Over 1.5 cards8/10

Bench

Killian Cahill, P. Chinedu, I. El Mizouni, Charlie Gerard Richard Wellens, A. Connolly, A. Dobra, T. Springett

Leyton Orient – BradfordDecember 3, 2022 · League Two3-0

82'Alexander George Henry Gilbert

83'⇄Phillip ChineduOff: Alfie Gilchrist

88'⇄Corey O'KeeffeOff: Ibou Touray

Statistics

70%Possession30%

1.33Expected goals0.35

10Total shots9

0Shots on target1

11Corners2

11Fouls16

1Offsides2

1Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

1Saves0

Bradford scored 1.0 and conceded 0.7 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Leyton Orient scored 1.5 and conceded 0.7 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Bradford: 10 games · Leyton Orient: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.2Goals scored (avg)1.0

0.6Goals conceded (avg)0.7

1.8Total goals per gameleague 2.81.7

8/10Over 0.5league %927/10

7/10Over 1.5league %795/10

3/10Over 2.5league %543/10

0/10Over 3.5league %311/10

0/10Over 4.5league %151/10

2/10Both scoreleague %583/10

7/10Clean sheets5/10

3/10Failed to score5/10

Bradford: 10 games · Leyton Orient: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.2Goals scored (avg)1.1

0.5Goals conceded (avg)1.3

1.7Total goals per gameleague 2.82.4

7/10Over 0.5league %929/10

6/10Over 1.5league %797/10

3/10Over 2.5league %545/10

1/10Over 3.5league %312/10

0/10Over 4.5league %151/10

2/10Both scoreleague %584/10

7/10Clean sheets4/10

4/10Failed to score3/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%28 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Bradford win 620, 284 end level and Leyton Orient win 97. The actual result comes up 284 times in 1000.

%23 Our model's pre-match chance of a draw.

1.33 – 0.35 The score the chances deserved (xG): Bradford 1.33 – 0.35 Leyton Orient.

11 – 2 Corners: Bradford 11 – 2 Leyton Orient.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 5 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Bradford · League One

Leyton Orient · League One

Bradford · All games

Leyton Orient · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Bradford's ground

Last 5 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match