Middlesbrough – Charlton: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Championship · England · Matchday 13

Middlesbrough

3-0Saturday, October 31

Charlton

Match events

MiddlesbroughCharlton

9'Tyler Bindon
12'⚽Sebastian BerhalterAssist: Amario Cozier-Duberry
36'Riley McGree
44'⚽will lankshearAssist: Sebastian Berhalter
45'⇄Dan McNamaraOff: Kayne Ramsay
58'Ashley Phillips
64'

Chances to win

Middlesbrough%75

Draw%15

Charlton%9

At a glance

Over 1.5

%66Over 2.5

%52Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Middlesbrough win.

%75Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 8.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%66

Both score%52

Not both score%48

Under 2.5%34

Draw%15

Charlton win%9

Why?

Middlesbrough won 7 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

MiddlesbroughW5-1D2-2W3-2W1-0D2-2

CharltonL1-3L0-2D2-2D1-1L1-3

Last 12 meetings

8Middlesbrough won

2Draw

2Charlton won

2.2
Goals per game5/12
Over 2.54/12
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Middlesbrough · last 10 at home2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Charlton · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).5/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Middlesbrough · last 10 at home7.7 corners, 1.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners9/10Over 4.5 corners8/10Over 5.5 corners7/10

Charlton · last 10 away3.6 corners, 2.1 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners4/10Over 4.5 corners2/10Over 5.5 corners2/10Over 0.5 cards8/10Over 1.5 cards5/10

Bench

S. Brynn, S. Byram, L. Ayling, M. Arfsten, M. Peart-Harris, Leo Castledine, D. Strelec, J. Sarmiento, K. Joseph

Charlton · 3-4-2-1

13A. Okonkwo

5L. Jones

12Billy Dawson Koumetio

44Tyler Bindon

2K. Ramsay

8H. Knibbs

17A. Bell

23C. Kelman

26J. Rankin-Costello

34O. Skipp

11M. Leaburn

Bench

W. Mannion, I. Mesík, D. McNamara, C. Coventry, S. Carey, N. Chalobah, T. Campbell, K. Ahearne-Grant, M. Alli

Charlton – MiddlesbroughMarch 13, 2016 · Championship2-0

Middlesbrough – CharltonOctober 31, 2015 · Championship3-0

Middlesbrough – CharltonFebruary 7, 2015 · Championship3-1

Charlton – MiddlesbroughSeptember 27, 2014 · Championship0-0

Middlesbrough – CharltonJanuary 18, 2014 · Championship1-0

Charlton – MiddlesbroughAugust 10, 2013 · Championship0-1

Middlesbrough – CharltonApril 27, 2013 · Championship2-2

Charlton – MiddlesbroughNovember 3, 2012 · Championship1-4

Myles Peart-HarrisOff: Riley McGree

64'⇄Sam ByramOff: Neto Borges

66'⇄Karlan GrantOff: Miles Leaburn

66'⇄Tyreece CampbellOff: Joe Rankin-Costello

78'⇄Jeremy SarmientoOff: Tommy Conway

78'⇄Max ArfstenOff: Amario Cozier-Duberry

81'⇄Millenic AlliOff: Oliver Skipp

81'⇄Nathaniel ChalobahOff: Tyler Bindon

82'⚽will lankshear

83'⇄David StrelecOff: will lankshear

Statistics

58%Possession42%

1.69Expected goals0.42

16Total shots7

6Shots on target0

8Corners4

7Fouls14

4Offsides1

2Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

0Saves3

Middlesbrough scored 2.1 and conceded 1.0 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Charlton scored 1.2 and conceded 2.3 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Middlesbrough · last 10 at home: 7 wins7/10

Charlton · last 10 away: 5 defeats5/10

Middlesbrough: 10 games · Charlton: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.1Goals scored (avg)1.2

1.0Goals conceded (avg)2.3

3.1Total goals per gameleague 2.93.5

9/10Over 0.5league %9410/10

6/10Over 1.5league %7610/10

6/10Over 2.5league %607/10

5/10Over 3.5league %376/10

2/10Over 4.5league %141/10

6/10Both scoreleague %638/10

4/10Clean sheets0/10

1/10Failed to score2/10

Middlesbrough: 10 games · Charlton: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.1Goals scored (avg)0.7

1.6Goals conceded (avg)1.6

3.7Total goals per gameleague 2.92.3

10/10Over 0.5league %948/10

8/10Over 1.5league %767/10

7/10Over 2.5league %604/10

6/10Over 3.5league %374/10

3/10Over 4.5league %140/10

7/10Both scoreleague %635/10

2/10Clean sheets3/10

1/10Failed to score4/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

1.69 – 0.42 The score the chances deserved (xG): Middlesbrough 1.69 – 0.42 Charlton.

%69 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Middlesbrough win 689, 224 end level and Charlton win 87. The actual result comes up 689 times in 1000.

16 – 7 Shots: Middlesbrough 16 – 7 Charlton.

6 – 0 Shots on target: Middlesbrough 6 – 0 Charlton.

2 more numbers for this match in Premium

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 12 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Middlesbrough · Championship

Charlton · Championship

Middlesbrough · All games

Charlton · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Middlesbrough's ground

Last 12 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match