Birmingham – Preston: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Championship · England · Matchday 10

Birmingham

4-0Tuesday, October 13

Preston

Match events

BirminghamPreston

24'⇄Delano BurgzorgOff: Liam Gibbs
34'⚽Liam MillarAssist: Patrick Roberts
45'⇄Andrew MoranOff: Callum Lang
45+2'⚽August PriskeAssist: Alex Cochrane
45+4'⚽August PriskeAssist: Jay Stansfield
47'Stanley Mills

Chances to win

Birmingham%63

Draw%22

Preston%15

At a glance

Over 1.5

%55Over 2.5

%51Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Birmingham win.

%63Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%55

Both score%51

Not both score%49

Under 2.5%45

Draw%22

Preston win%15

Why?

Birmingham won 3 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

BirminghamW1-0D2-2W2-1L1-2D2-2

PrestonL0-1D2-2L0-1L1-2W2-1

Last 6 meetings

4Birmingham won

0Draw

2Preston won

2.0
Goals per game3/6
Over 2.53/6
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Birmingham · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Preston · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Birmingham · last 10 at home5.8 corners, 1.7 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/10Over 4.5 corners7/10Over 5.5 corners6/10

Preston · last 10 away3.1 corners, 2.1 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners4/10Over 4.5 corners1/10Over 5.5 corners0/10Over 0.5 cards9/10Over 1.5 cards7/10

Bench

R. Allsop, E. Laird, D. Fry, M. Bird, T. Gardner-Hickman, Carlos Vicente, D. Gray, L. Vázquez, M. Ducksch

Preston · 4-2-3-1

1D. Iversen

14J. Storey

16A. Hughes

20L. Gibbs

24O. Offiah

7A. Devine

11T. Small

15J. Thompson

17S. Mills

27L. Leroy

10C. Lang

Bench

L. Nicholls, Pol Valentín, A. Vukčević, L. Lindsay, L. Gibson, A. Moran, J. Erabi, G. Gryba, D. Burgzorg

Birmingham – PrestonJanuary 21, 2023 · Championship1-2

Preston – BirminghamSeptember 3, 2022 · Championship0-1

61'⇄Max BirdOff: Jhon Elmer Solís Romero

61'⇄Demarai GrayOff: Liam Millar

61'⇄Lewis GibsonOff: Alfie Devine

75'⇄Carlos VicenteOff: Patrick Roberts

75'⇄Taylor·Gardner HickmanOff: Tomoki Iwata

76'⚽Demarai GrayAssist: Max Bird

84'⇄Marvin DuckschOff: Jay Stansfield

Statistics

76%Possession24%

2.25Expected goals0.52

18Total shots6

5Shots on target1

5Corners3

8Fouls13

3Offsides2

1Yellow cards0

0Red cards1

1Saves2

Birmingham scored 1.5 and conceded 1.7 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Preston scored 1.2 and conceded 1.9 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Preston · last 10 away: 6 defeats6/10

Birmingham: 10 games · Preston: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.1Goals scored (avg)1.1

1.5Goals conceded (avg)2.2

3.6Total goals per gameleague 2.93.3

10/10Over 0.5league %9410/10

10/10Over 1.5league %779/10

8/10Over 2.5league %628/10

5/10Over 3.5league %394/10

1/10Over 4.5league %162/10

7/10Both scoreleague %627/10

3/10Clean sheets0/10

0/10Failed to score3/10

Birmingham: 10 games · Preston: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.9Goals scored (avg)0.8

1.0Goals conceded (avg)2.1

2.9Total goals per gameleague 2.92.9

10/10Over 0.5league %9410/10

8/10Over 1.5league %778/10

7/10Over 2.5league %626/10

4/10Over 3.5league %394/10

0/10Over 4.5league %161/10

6/10Both scoreleague %626/10

3/10Clean sheets0/10

1/10Failed to score4/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

2.25 – 0.52 The score the chances deserved (xG): Birmingham 2.25 – 0.52 Preston.

%77 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Birmingham win 769, 160 end level and Preston win 70. The actual result comes up 769 times in 1000.

18 – 6 Shots: Birmingham 18 – 6 Preston.

76 – 24 Possession (%): Birmingham 76 – 24 Preston.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 6 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Birmingham · Championship

Preston · Championship

Birmingham · All games

Preston · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Birmingham's ground

Last 6 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match