Coventry – Sunderland: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Premier League · England · Matchday 9

CoventryPremier League · #19

3-1Saturday, October 31

SunderlandPremier League · #20

Match events

CoventrySunderland

7'Victor Torp
17'⚽Tatsuhiro Sakamoto
37'⚽Taiwo Awoniyi
52'⚽Jack RudoniAssist: Victor Torp
55'Tatsuhiro Sakamoto
57'⇄Wilson IsidorOff: Nilson Angulo
57'⇄

Chances to win

Coventry%33

Draw%28

Sunderland%39

At a glance

Over 1.5

%49Over 2.5

%54Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Both score.

%54Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 5.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Under 2.5%51

Over 2.5%49

Not both score%46

Sunderland win%39

Coventry win%33

Draw%28

Why?

Coventry: both sides scored in 6 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

CoventryL0-1L1-3W4-1W1-0L1-3

SunderlandW3-2D0-0D1-1L0-2W2-1

Last 12 meetings

6Coventry won

5Draw

1Sunderland won

2.8
Goals per game6/12
Over 2.57/12
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Coventry · last 10 at home3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Sunderland · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 0 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Coventry · last 10 at home4.6 corners, 1.1 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/10Over 4.5 corners6/10Over 5.5 corners

Sunderland · last 10 away4.6 corners, 2.7 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/10Over 4.5 corners6/10Over 5.5 corners2/10Over 0.5 cards9/10Over 1.5 cards7/10

8Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi

Bench

D. Bentley, K. Kesler-Hayden, J. Latibeaudiere, M. Grimes, E. Mason-Clark, G. Hamer, E. Simms, B. Thomas-Asante, S. Cherif

Sunderland · 4-2-3-1

22R. Roefs

13L. O'Nien

15O. Alderete

17Reinildo

32T. Hume

10N. Angulo

11C. Rigg

27N. Sadiki

28E. Le Fée

34G. Xhaka

9B. Brobbey

Bench

M. Ellborg, K. Danso, T. Meunier, D. Methalie, C. Talbi, Jules Ahoka, J. Bi, M. Fofana, W. Isidor

Sunderland – CoventryDecember 23, 2023 · Championship0-3

Coventry – SunderlandAugust 26, 2023 · Championship0-0

Coventry – SunderlandFebruary 25, 2023 · Championship2-1

Sunderland – CoventryJuly 31, 2022 · Championship1-1

Coventry – SunderlandMarch 1, 2020 · League One1-0

Sunderland – CoventryNovember 23, 2019 · League One1-1

Sunderland – CoventryApril 13, 2019 · League One4-5

Coventry – SunderlandSeptember 29, 2018 · League One1-1

63'VARReinildo Isnard MandavaPenalty confirmed

67'⚽Enzo Le FéePenalty

72'⇄Sidiki CherifOff: Taiwo Awoniyi

72'⇄Brandon Thomas-AsanteOff: Yann Gboho

75'⇄Thomas MeunierOff: Trai Hume

75'⇄Malick FofanaOff: Noah Sadiki

83'⇄Matt GrimesOff: Victor Torp

Statistics

43%Possession57%

0.79Expected goals1.72

12Total shots17

4Shots on target2

4Corners4

16Fouls9

2Offsides1

2Yellow cards0

0Red cards1

1Saves1

Sunderland: both sides scored in 9 of their last 10 away matches.

Coventry scored 1.7 and conceded 1.7 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Sunderland scored 1.7 and conceded 1.9 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Coventry · last 10 at home: both scored 6 times6/10

Sunderland · last 10 away: both scored 9 times9/10

Coventry: 10 games · Sunderland: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.7Goals scored (avg)1.7

1.7Goals conceded (avg)1.9

3.4Total goals per gameleague 2.83.6

9/10Over 0.5league %9310/10

7/10Over 1.5league %7610/10

7/10Over 2.5league %506/10

6/10Over 3.5league %313/10

4/10Over 4.5league %182/10

6/10Both scoreleague %509/10

1/10Clean sheets0/10

4/10Failed to score1/10

Coventry: 10 games · Sunderland: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.1Goals scored (avg)1.1

2.0Goals conceded (avg)1.5

3.1Total goals per gameleague 2.82.6

10/10Over 0.5league %939/10

6/10Over 1.5league %767/10

6/10Over 2.5league %503/10

5/10Over 3.5league %312/10

3/10Over 4.5league %182/10

4/10Both scoreleague %504/10

1/10Clean sheets3/10

5/10Failed to score4/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%17 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Coventry win 169, 235 end level and Sunderland win 595. The actual result comes up 169 times in 1000.

0.79 – 1.72 The score the chances deserved (xG): Coventry 0.79 – 1.72 Sunderland.

%33 Our model's pre-match chance of a Coventry win.

8.2

Man of the match: J. Rudoni (Coventry), rated 8.2.

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 12 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Coventry · Premier League

Sunderland · Premier League

Coventry · All games

Sunderland · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Coventry's ground

Last 12 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match