Mito Hollyhock – Sanfrecce Hiroshima: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·J1 League · Japan · Matchday 13

Mito HollyhockJ-League · #17

0-3Saturday, October 31

Sanfrecce HiroshimaJ-League · #3

Match events

Mito HollyhockSanfrecce Hiroshima

6'⇄Rei IeizumiOff: Yasuki Kimoto
21'Takumi Mase
25'⇄Keisuke TadaOff: Patryck Ferreira
30'⚽Akito SuzukiAssist: Shuto Nakano
45'⇄Chihiro KatoOff: Motoki Nishihara
45'⇄Kusini YengiOff: Shimon Kobayashi

Chances to win

Mito Hollyhock%13

Draw%20

Sanfrecce Hiroshima%67

At a glance

Over 1.5

%58Over 2.5

%51Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Sanfrecce Hiroshima win.

%67Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%58

Both score%51

Not both score%49

Under 2.5%42

Draw%20

Mito Hollyhock win%13

Why?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 6 of their last 10 away matches.

Last 5 matches

Mito HollyhockL1-3L0-6L0-2L0-1W1-0

Sanfrecce HiroshimaL3-4W4-0L0-4W3-0W1-0

Last 1 meetings

0Mito Hollyhock won

0Draw

1Sanfrecce Hiroshima won

1.0
Goals per game0/1
Over 2.50/1
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Mito Hollyhock · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima · last 10 away3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Mito Hollyhock · last 7 at home4.3 corners, 1.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners3/7Over 4.5 corners3/7Over 5.5 corners3/7Over 0.5 cards

Sanfrecce Hiroshima · last 7 away9.3 corners, 1.1 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/7Over 4.5 corners6/7Over 5.5 corners6/7Over 0.5 cards6/7Over 1.5 cards2/7

Bench

Y. Tanaka, I. Ouchi, T. Matsumoto, D. Suga, S. Koshimichi, R. Noguchi, K. Yengi, T. Asano

Shuto NakanoAssist: Naoto Arai

65'⇄Taishi MatsumotoOff: Yotaro Nakajima

65'⇄Takuma AsanoOff: Shun Ayukawa

65'⇄Shota YamashitaOff: Kaito Taniguchi

65'⇄Hayata YamamotoOff: Jin Okumura

77'⇄Sota KoshimichiOff: Naoto Arai

77'⇄Daiki SugaOff: Shunki Higashi

83'⚽Daiki SugaAssist: Kusini Yengi

86'⇄Rento NoguchiOff: Hayato Araki

Statistics

23%Possession77%

0.12Expected goals1.58

3Total shots17

0Shots on target7

0Corners7

6Fouls6

0Offsides3

1Yellow cards0

1Red cards0

4Saves0

Mito Hollyhock scored 0.9 and conceded 1.4 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima scored 1.6 and conceded 1.2 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Mito Hollyhock · last 10 at home: 6 defeats6/10

Sanfrecce Hiroshima · last 10 away: 6 wins6/10

Mito Hollyhock: 10 games · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

0.9Goals scored (avg)1.6

1.4Goals conceded (avg)1.2

2.3Total goals per gameleague 3.02.8

10/10Over 0.5league %949/10

6/10Over 1.5league %806/10

3/10Over 2.5league %574/10

2/10Over 3.5league %364/10

1/10Over 4.5league %183/10

5/10Both scoreleague %573/10

1/10Clean sheets6/10

4/10Failed to score2/10

Mito Hollyhock: 10 games · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.0Goals scored (avg)2.6

1.7Goals conceded (avg)0.9

2.7Total goals per gameleague 3.03.5

9/10Over 0.5league %9410/10

6/10Over 1.5league %808/10

4/10Over 2.5league %576/10

3/10Over 3.5league %365/10

2/10Over 4.5league %182/10

2/10Both scoreleague %572/10

3/10Clean sheets7/10

6/10Failed to score1/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

0.12 – 1.58 The score the chances deserved (xG): Mito Hollyhock 0.12 – 1.58 Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

%76 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Mito Hollyhock win 26, 219 end level and Sanfrecce Hiroshima win 755. The actual result comes up 755 times in 1000.

3 – 17 Shots: Mito Hollyhock 3 – 17 Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

0 – 7 Shots on target: Mito Hollyhock 0 – 7 Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

4 more numbers for this match in Premium

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 1 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Mito Hollyhock · J1 League

Sanfrecce Hiroshima · J1 League

Mito Hollyhock · All games

Sanfrecce Hiroshima · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

Last 1 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match