Tokyo Verdy – Sanfrecce Hiroshima: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·J1 League · Japan · Matchday 9

Tokyo VerdyJ-League · #18

0-2Sunday, October 11

Sanfrecce HiroshimaJ-League · #3

Match events

Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima

15'Kim Hyun-Woo
17'Kim Ju-sung
40'Kaito Suzuki
45'⇄Taishi MatsumotoOff: Yotaro Nakajima
45'⇄Sébastien HallerOff: Mutsuki Kato
45'⇄Shunki HigashiOff: Kim Ju-sung

Chances to win

Tokyo Verdy%14

Draw%22

Sanfrecce Hiroshima%64

At a glance

Over 1.5

%55Over 2.5

%50Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Sanfrecce Hiroshima win.

%64Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%55

Both score%50

Not both score%50

Under 2.5%45

Draw%22

Tokyo Verdy win%14

Why?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 6 of their last 10 away matches.

Last 5 matches

Tokyo VerdyD0-0D1-1L1-3D1-1W1-0

Sanfrecce HiroshimaW4-0W2-0W1-0W6-1L2-3

Last 4 meetings

0Tokyo Verdy won

0Draw

4Sanfrecce Hiroshima won

3.0
Goals per game3/4
Over 2.52/4
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Tokyo Verdy · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).5/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima · last 10 away3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).5/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 5 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Tokyo Verdy · last 9 at home4.9 corners, 1.1 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/9Over 4.5 corners5/9Over 5.5 corners3/9

Sanfrecce Hiroshima · last 9 away7.7 corners, 1.3 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/9Over 4.5 corners6/9Over 5.5 corners6/9Over 0.5 cards8/9Over 1.5 cards4/9

Bench

I. Ouchi, S. Higashi, T. Matsumoto, S. Koshimichi, S. Kobayashi, R. Noguchi, S. Haller, T. Asano, N. Maeda

Taishi MatsumotoAssist: Akito Suzuki

57'⇄Kazunari IchimiOff: Kim Hyun-Woo

67'⇄Naoki MaedaOff: Daiki Suga

70'⇄Shuhei MizoguchiOff: Yuya Fukuda

70'⇄Issei KumatoriyaOff: Kanya Fujimoto

81'⇄Takuma AsanoOff: Shun Ayukawa

85'⇄Shion NakayamaOff: Kai Shibato

85'⇄Goki YamadaOff: Kazunari Ichimi

Statistics

33%Possession67%

0.65Expected goals1.09

6Total shots11

3Shots on target5

2Corners4

15Fouls10

1Offsides2

3Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

3Saves3

Tokyo Verdy scored 1.2 and conceded 2.1 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima scored 1.7 and conceded 0.7 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Tokyo Verdy · last 10 at home: 5 defeats5/10

Sanfrecce Hiroshima · last 10 away: 6 wins6/10

Tokyo Verdy: 10 games · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.2Goals scored (avg)1.8

2.1Goals conceded (avg)1.2

3.3Total goals per gameleague 3.03.0

10/10Over 0.5league %949/10

10/10Over 1.5league %807/10

5/10Over 2.5league %575/10

5/10Over 3.5league %364/10

2/10Over 4.5league %183/10

6/10Both scoreleague %573/10

0/10Clean sheets6/10

4/10Failed to score2/10

Tokyo Verdy: 10 games · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

0.9Goals scored (avg)2.3

1.4Goals conceded (avg)0.8

2.3Total goals per gameleague 3.03.1

8/10Over 0.5league %9410/10

7/10Over 1.5league %808/10

4/10Over 2.5league %576/10

4/10Over 3.5league %364/10

0/10Over 4.5league %181/10

5/10Both scoreleague %571/10

3/10Clean sheets8/10

4/10Failed to score1/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%46 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Tokyo Verdy win 217, 324 end level and Sanfrecce Hiroshima win 459. The actual result comes up 459 times in 1000.

0.65 – 1.09 The score the chances deserved (xG): Tokyo Verdy 0.65 – 1.09 Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

33 – 67 Possession (%): Tokyo Verdy 33 – 67 Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

8.4

Man of the match: A. Suzuki (Sanfrecce Hiroshima), rated 8.4.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 4 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Tokyo Verdy · J1 League

Sanfrecce Hiroshima · J1 League

Tokyo Verdy · All games

Sanfrecce Hiroshima · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Tokyo Verdy's ground

Last 4 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match