Waalwijk – Almere City FC: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Eerste Divisie · Netherlands · Matchday 13

WaalwijkEerste Divisie: Regular season · #12

1-2Friday, October 30

Almere City FCEerste Divisie: Regular season · #4

Match events

WaalwijkAlmere City FC

25'⚽H. el DahriPenalty
31'Mees Hoedemakers
41'James Lawrence
58'⇄Marley DorsOff: James Lawrence
58'⇄Damian van BruggenOff: Jochem Ritmeester Van De Kamp
58'⇄Milan de HaanOff: Mees Hoedemakers

Chances to win

Waalwijk%42

Draw%24

Almere City FC%33

At a glance

Over 1.5

%65Over 2.5

%67Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%65Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%67

Waalwijk win%42

Under 2.5%35

Not both score%33

Almere City FC win%33

Draw%24

Why?

Waalwijk: 3+ goals in 6 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

WaalwijkD1-1D1-1D1-1L0-3D1-1

Almere City FCW2-0L2-3L1-2W3-0W1-0

Last 15 meetings

3Waalwijk won

3Draw

9Almere City FC won

3.3
Goals per game8/15
Over 2.57/15
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Waalwijk · last 10 at home4/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).6/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 6 games it led at half-time.

Almere City FC · last 10 away4/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 0 of the 1 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Waalwijk · last 8 at home4.4 corners, 1.4 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners4/8Over 4.5 corners2/8Over 5.5 corners2/8Over 0.5 cards

Almere City FC · last 7 away4.0 corners, 1.4 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners5/7Over 4.5 corners2/7Over 5.5 corners0/7Over 0.5 cards5/7Over 1.5 cards2/7

23J. Ritmeester van de Kamp

Bench

M. Mateyo, J. van der Wilt, E. van de Blaak, D. van Bruggen, M. de Haan, J. Jacobs, Olivier de Nijs, J. Kalisvaart, B. Burgering, M. Dors, Bas Huisman

Almere City FC – WaalwijkAugust 3, 2024 · Friendlies Clubs1-0

Waalwijk – Almere City FCApril 4, 2024 · Eredivisie0-0

Almere City FC – WaalwijkOctober 7, 2023 · Eredivisie1-0

Waalwijk – Almere City FCMarch 23, 2023 · Friendlies Clubs0-6

Almere City FC – WaalwijkAugust 14, 2020 · Friendlies Clubs4-2

Waalwijk – Almere City FCFebruary 15, 2019 · Eerste Divisie0-1

Almere City FC – WaalwijkSeptember 28, 2018 · Eerste Divisie2-1

Waalwijk – Almere City FCApril 2, 2018 · Eerste Divisie0-4

Almere City FC – WaalwijkNovember 27, 2017 · Eerste Divisie3-2

Waalwijk – Almere City FCApril 17, 2017 · Eerste Divisie1-1

Almere City FC – WaalwijkDecember 9, 2016 · Eerste Divisie6-2

70'⇄Roy KuijpersOff: Virgil Misidjan

70'⇄R. van HedelOff: Azzedine Dkidak

74'⚽Ferdy DruijfAssist: H. el Dahri

75'⇄Jamie JacobsOff: H. el Dahri

75'⇄Bas HuismanOff: Ferdy Druijf

79'⇄Nazjir HeldOff: Tim van de Loo

79'⇄Haye Van GemertOff: Finn Stokkers

82'⚽Juan Familia-CastilloAssist: Jochem Nap

87'⇄Sven van der PlasOff: Jochem Nap

Statistics

55%Possession45%

1.3Expected goals1.5

21Total shots10

4Shots on target4

5Corners4

7Fouls13

1Offsides4

0Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

3Saves3

Almere City FC: 3+ goals in 7 of their last 10 away matches.

Waalwijk scored 2.6 and conceded 1.2 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Almere City FC scored 2.2 and conceded 1.3 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Waalwijk · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 6 times6/10

Almere City FC · last 10 away: 3+ goals 7 times7/10

Waalwijk: 10 games · Almere City FC: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.2Goals scored (avg)2.1

1.4Goals conceded (avg)1.2

3.6Total goals per gameleague 3.63.3

10/10Over 0.5league %9810/10

9/10Over 1.5league %8610/10

6/10Over 2.5league %687/10

5/10Over 3.5league %444/10

3/10Over 4.5league %282/10

9/10Both scoreleague %706/10

0/10Clean sheets3/10

1/10Failed to score1/10

Waalwijk: 10 games · Almere City FC: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.7Goals scored (avg)1.8

1.4Goals conceded (avg)1.0

3.1Total goals per gameleague 3.62.8

10/10Over 0.5league %9810/10

10/10Over 1.5league %867/10

4/10Over 2.5league %686/10

2/10Over 3.5league %443/10

2/10Over 4.5league %282/10

7/10Both scoreleague %704/10

1/10Clean sheets5/10

2/10Failed to score1/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%42 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Waalwijk win 329, 251 end level and Almere City FC win 420. The actual result comes up 420 times in 1000.

21 – 10 Shots: Waalwijk 21 – 10 Almere City FC.

%33 Our model's pre-match chance of an Almere City FC win.

1.30 – 1.50 The score the chances deserved (xG): Waalwijk 1.30 – 1.50 Almere City FC.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 15 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Waalwijk · Eerste Divisie

Almere City FC · Eerste Divisie

Waalwijk · All games

Almere City FC · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Waalwijk's ground

Last 15 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match