Almere City FC – Roda: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Eerste Divisie · Netherlands · Matchday 12

Almere City FCEerste Divisie: Regular season · #4

2-3Friday, October 23

RodaEerste Divisie: Regular season · #5

Match events

Almere City FCRoda

5'⚽H. el DahriAssist: Jamie Jacobs
33'⇄Jerome DeomOff: Dyon Dorenbosch
51'⚽Jamie Jacobs
54'⚽Anthony van den HurkAssist: Guilherme Martinho Peixoto
58'⇄Marley DorsOff: Jamie Jacobs
59'⇄Emanuel PokuOff: Jochem Ritmeester Van De Kamp

Chances to win

Almere City FC%49

Draw%25

Roda%27

At a glance

Over 1.5

%60Over 2.5

%62Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%60Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%62

Almere City FC win%49

Under 2.5%40

Not both score%38

Roda win%27

Draw%25

Why?

Almere City FC: 3+ goals in 6 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Almere City FCL1-2W3-0W1-0L2-3W1-0

RodaW2-1D1-1L0-2W2-0D0-0

Last 12 meetings

6Almere City FC won

2Draw

4Roda won

2.8
Goals per game7/12
Over 2.57/12
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Almere City FC · last 10 at home5/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Roda · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Almere City FC · last 7 at home5.9 corners, 1.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners5/7Over 4.5 corners5/7Over 5.5 corners4/7Over 0.5 cards

Roda · last 9 away4.4 corners, 1.9 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners4/9Over 4.5 corners3/9Over 5.5 corners2/9Over 0.5 cards8/9Over 1.5 cards5/9

17Guilherme Martinho Peixoto

Bench

M. Stojcevic, J. van Damme, X. van den Berg, Bram Marsman, Luuk Verheij, J. Mensah, M. Bentoumi, J. Déom, F. Schenten, J. Sleegers

Almere City FC – RodaJanuary 14, 2022 · Eerste Divisie0-4

Roda – Almere City FCAugust 27, 2021 · Eerste Divisie3-4

Roda – Almere City FCApril 9, 2021 · Eerste Divisie0-0

Almere City FC – RodaOctober 10, 2020 · Eerste Divisie2-1

Almere City FC – RodaDecember 20, 2019 · Eerste Divisie2-0

Roda – Almere City FCAugust 9, 2019 · Eerste Divisie1-1

Roda – Almere City FCFebruary 1, 2019 · Eerste Divisie1-2

Almere City FC – RodaAugust 24, 2018 · Eerste Divisie1-2

Anthony van den HurkAssist: Jerome Deom

64'⇄Job KalisvaartOff: Teun Bijleveld

69'⇄Bram MarsmanOff: Mitchel Paulissen

69'⇄Jeremiah MensahOff: Cain Seedorf

74'⚽Anthony van den HurkAssist: Jeremiah Mensah

76'⇄Byron BurgeringOff: H. el Dahri

76'⇄Milan de HaanOff: Mees Hoedemakers

90'⇄X. van den BergOff: Koen Jansen

90'⇄Luuk VerheijOff: Joshua Nisbet

Statistics

52%Possession48%

1.75Expected goals2.7

14Total shots18

6Shots on target12

3Corners14

17Fouls8

1Offsides1

0Yellow cards0

0Red cards0

9Saves4

Roda: 3+ goals in 3 of their last 10 away matches.

Almere City FC scored 1.9 and conceded 0.7 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Roda scored 1.1 and conceded 0.9 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Almere City FC · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 6 times6/10

Almere City FC: 10 games · Roda: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.0Goals scored (avg)1.1

0.8Goals conceded (avg)1.1

2.8Total goals per gameleague 3.62.2

10/10Over 0.5league %989/10

6/10Over 1.5league %867/10

6/10Over 2.5league %683/10

4/10Over 3.5league %442/10

2/10Over 4.5league %281/10

4/10Both scoreleague %705/10

4/10Clean sheets2/10

2/10Failed to score4/10

Almere City FC: 10 games · Roda: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.8Goals scored (avg)1.3

1.0Goals conceded (avg)0.8

2.8Total goals per gameleague 3.62.1

10/10Over 0.5league %989/10

7/10Over 1.5league %867/10

6/10Over 2.5league %683/10

3/10Over 3.5league %441/10

2/10Over 4.5league %281/10

4/10Both scoreleague %705/10

5/10Clean sheets4/10

1/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%27 Our model's pre-match chance of an Roda win.

%58 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Almere City FC win 241, 179 end level and Roda win 581. The actual result comes up 581 times in 1000.

6 – 12 Shots on target: Almere City FC 6 – 12 Roda.

3 – 14 Corners: Almere City FC 3 – 14 Roda.

2 more numbers for this match in Premium

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 12 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Almere City FC · Eerste Divisie

Roda · Eerste Divisie

Almere City FC · All games

Roda · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Almere City FC's ground

Last 12 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match