The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.
%75Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 8.Came true ✓
Other scenarios
Both score%73
FC Volendam win%50
De Graafschap win%28
Not both score%27
Under 2.5%25
Draw%22
Why?
FC Volendam: 3+ goals in 6 of their last 10 home matches.
Last 5 matches
FC VolendamL3-5W6-2D1-1W2-0L0-1
De GraafschapL0-1D1-1L1-2W2-1D2-2
Last 13 meetings
5FC Volendam won
4Draw
4De Graafschap won
3.8 Goals per game11/13 Over 2.510/13 Both score
Handicap and HT/FT history
By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.
FC Volendam · last 10 at home5/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).5/10games led at half-time.Won 5 of the 5 games it led at half-time.
De Graafschap · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 0 of the 1 games it led at half-time.
Corners and cards
Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.
FC Volendam · last 9 at home5.2 corners, 1.8 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/9Over 4.5 corners5/9Over 5.5 corners4/9
Premium members onlyLikely scores, likely scorers, corner, card and half chances.
FC Volendam · Eerste Divisie
5W 1D 4LScored 24 · conceded 172.5 Üst 5/10KG 6/10
De Graafschap · Eerste Divisie
3W 2D 5LScored 12 · conceded 202.5 Üst 8/10KG 8/10
FC Volendam · All games
5W 1D 4LScored 27 · conceded 212.5 Üst 6/10KG 7/10
De Graafschap · All games
3W 2D 5LScored 11 · conceded 192.5 Üst 7/10KG 7/10
Missing players
No absentees reported
Starting line-ups
FC Volendam · 4-2-3-1
16R. Steur
2P. Ugwu
6A. Plat
12D. Payne
25Luca Blondeau
7N. Doodeman
8D. Huisman
10R. Niemeijer
18N. Bukala
21Y. el Maftahi
9H. Veerman
Bench
D. Vlak, M. Amevor, Dean Bisschops, J. Haakmat, M. Belfqih, Kayden Wolff, Jesper Tielemans, F. Ihler
De Graafschap · 4-2-3-1
1T. Wieggers
2J. Wieckhoff
This fixture at FC Volendam's ground
The meetings the home side hosted, of the last 6
2FC Volendam won
3Draw
1De Graafschap won
FC Volendam last won here on Dec 22, 2024: FC Volendam 2-1 De Graafschap.De Graafschap last won here on Jan 24, 2021: FC Volendam 1-4 De Graafschap.3.7 goals a game here · over 2.5 5/6 · BTTS 5/6
Last 13 meetings
5FC Volendam won
4Draw
4De Graafschap won
3.8 Goals per game11/13 Over 2.510/13 Both score
Previous meetings
FC Volendam – De GraafschapDecember 22, 2024 · Eerste Divisie2-1
De Graafschap – FC VolendamAugust 11, 2024 · Eerste Divisie4-3
FC Volendam – De GraafschapApril 8, 2022 · Eerste Divisie3-1
De Graafschap – FC VolendamSeptember 10, 2021 · Eerste Divisie
Over 0.5 cards
8/9
Over 1.5 cards5/9
De Graafschap · last 9 away4.4 corners, 2.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/9Over 4.5 corners4/9Over 5.5 corners2/9Over 0.5 cards8/9Over 1.5 cards6/9
FC Volendam · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 6 times6/10
De Graafschap · last 10 away: 3+ goals 7 times7/10
FC Volendam: 10 games · De Graafschap: 10 games · league average in grey
Goals
2.5Goals scored (avg)1.0
1.3Goals conceded (avg)1.9
3.8Total goals per gameleague 3.62.9
10/10Over 0.5league %9810/10
10/10Over 1.5league %868/10
7/10Over 2.5league %687/10
3/10Over 3.5league %443/10
3/10Over 4.5league %281/10
6/10Both scoreleague %707/10
3/10Clean sheets0/10
1/10Failed to score3/10
FC Volendam: 10 games · De Graafschap: 10 games · league average in grey
Goals
2.2Goals scored (avg)1.2
2.2Goals conceded (avg)1.6
4.4Total goals per gameleague 3.62.8
10/10Over 0.5league %9810/10
9/10Over 1.5league %868/10
6/10Over 2.5league %687/10
5/10Over 3.5league %442/10
5/10Over 4.5league %281/10
7/10Both scoreleague %707/10
2/10Clean sheets1/10
1/10Failed to score2/10
The real story of the match
What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.
%40 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), FC Volendam win 319, 283 end level and De Graafschap win 398. The actual result comes up 398 times in 1000.
%28 Our model's pre-match chance of an De Graafschap win.
1.07 – 1.23 The score the chances deserved (xG): FC Volendam 1.07 – 1.23 De Graafschap.
8.2 Man of the match: D. Warmerdam (De Graafschap), rated 8.2.