The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.
%73Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Came true ✓
Other scenarios
Both score%72
De Graafschap win%41
Jong Ajax win%36
Not both score%28
Under 2.5%27
Draw%23
Why?
Jong Ajax: 3+ goals in 6 of their last 10 home matches.
Last 5 matches
Jong AjaxL0-3D0-0L1-6L0-2W1-0
De GraafschapW2-1D2-2W1-0L1-2W2-1
Last 8 meetings
3Jong Ajax won
1Draw
4De Graafschap won
3.3 Goals per game5/8 Over 2.53/8 Both score
Handicap and HT/FT history
By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.
Jong Ajax · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).5/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 3 games it led at half-time.
De Graafschap · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 2 games it led at half-time.
Corners and cards
Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.
Jong Ajax · last 10 at home5.5 corners, 2.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners9/10Over 4.5 corners8/10Over 5.5 corners4/10
Referee
Laurens Gerrets4.4 cards a match in 12 recorded games
Premium members onlyLikely scores, likely scorers, corner, card and half chances.
Jong Ajax · Eerste Divisie
2W 2D 6LScored 13 · conceded 252.5 Üst 6/10KG 6/10
De Graafschap · Eerste Divisie
3W 2D 5LScored 13 · conceded 232.5 Üst 8/10KG 8/10
Jong Ajax · All games
2W 2D 6LScored 13 · conceded 252.5 Üst 6/10KG 6/10
De Graafschap · All games
3W 2D 5LScored 13 · conceded 232.5 Üst 8/10KG 8/10
Missing players
No absentees reported
Starting line-ups
Jong Ajax · 4-3-3
1C. Setford
2R. van de Pavert
3G. Spina
4M. Muzungu
5J. Amour
6T. Peters
8Mohamed Abdalla
10Alejandro Monserrate
7Leo Salazar
9E. Ünüvar
11P. Nash
Bench
A. Hani, V. van der Velde, A. Appiah, M. van der Lans, Sinclair de Falco, Jinairo Johnson, A. Camara, L. Acheampong, D. van der Vaart, J. Simeon, P. Da Silva, A. Moumane
De Graafschap · 4-3-3
1T. Wieggers
This fixture at Jong Ajax's ground
The meetings the home side hosted, of the last 4
2Jong Ajax won
1Draw
1De Graafschap won
Jong Ajax last won here on Dec 9, 2024: Jong Ajax 2-0 De Graafschap.De Graafschap last won here on Aug 21, 2023: Jong Ajax 1-2 De Graafschap.3.8 goals a game here · over 2.5 3/4 · BTTS 3/4
Last 8 meetings
3Jong Ajax won
1Draw
4De Graafschap won
3.3 Goals per game5/8 Over 2.53/8 Both score
Previous meetings
De Graafschap – Jong AjaxFebruary 6, 2026 · Eerste Divisie4-0
Jong Ajax – De GraafschapOctober 3, 2025 · Eerste Divisie2-2
De Graafschap – Jong AjaxApril 19, 2025 · Eerste Divisie2-0
Jong Ajax – De GraafschapDecember 9, 2024 · Eerste Divisie
Over 0.5 cards9/10
Over 1.5 cards7/10
De Graafschap · last 9 away4.3 corners, 1.8 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/9Over 4.5 corners4/9Over 5.5 corners2/9Over 0.5 cards8/9Over 1.5 cards5/9
P. Reverson, R. Jonkers, J. Wieckhoff, J. Hardeman, Gijs Bolk, K. Symons, C. Leemans, N. Ahmeti-Grainca, J. Triep, Bjorn van Zijl, J. Kania, N. Kaninda
2-0
De Graafschap – Jong AjaxMarch 11, 2024 · Eerste Divisie0-2
Jong Ajax – De GraafschapAugust 21, 2023 · Eerste Divisie1-2
De Graafschap – Jong AjaxJanuary 13, 2023 · Eerste Divisie3-0
Jong Ajax – De GraafschapAugust 22, 2022 · Eerste Divisie5-1
⇄
Julian kaniaOff: Kyano Kwint
72'Rowan Besselink
72'⇄Anass MoumaneOff: Leo Salazar
78'⇄Nart Ahmeti-GraincaOff: Toivo Mero
78'⇄Sinclair de FalcoOff: Jahyendrow Amour
78'⇄Levi AcheampongOff: Mohamed Jabou Abdalla
79'⚽Jano MonserrateAssist: Ryan van de Pavert
84'Levi Acheampong
85'⇄Mylo van der LansOff: Ryan van de Pavert
85'⇄Jinairo JohnsonOff: Jano Monserrate
85'⇄Clint LeemansOff: Thomas Kok
Statistics
43%Possession57%
2.89Expected goals0.8
19Total shots11
11Shots on target5
5Corners5
17Fouls10
2Offsides2
3Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
4Saves7
De Graafschap: 3+ goals in 7 of their last 10 away matches.
Jong Ajax scored 1.6 and conceded 2.2 per game in their last 10 home matches.
De Graafschap scored 1.4 and conceded 2.0 per game in their last 10 away matches.
Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.