Jong AZ – Helmond Sport: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Eerste Divisie · Netherlands · Matchday 12

Jong AZEerste Divisie: Regular season · #10

5-4Friday, October 23

Helmond SportEerste Divisie: Regular season · #17

Match events

Jong AZHelmond Sport

16'⚽Bogdan BudkoAssist: Saviola Mourinho Simons Saffoe
22'⚽Jasper Hartog
29'⚽Tarik Essakkati
35'⚽Dean·HuibertsAssist: Tarik Essakkati
45'⇄Rayan AtikallahOff: Andrea Natali
51'⚽Jasper HartogAssist: Jesper Zwart
59'

Chances to win

Jong AZ%50

Draw%23

Helmond Sport%26

At a glance

Over 1.5

%66Over 2.5

%66Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%66Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%66

Jong AZ win%50

Not both score%34

Under 2.5%34

Helmond Sport win%26

Draw%23

Why?

Jong AZ: 3+ goals in 4 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

Jong AZD4-4L0-1W4-1D1-1L2-3

Helmond SportL0-2L1-3D2-2L0-2L1-2

Last 15 meetings

6Jong AZ won

3Draw

6Helmond Sport won

3.5
Goals per game11/15
Over 2.512/15
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Jong AZ · last 10 at home3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Helmond Sport · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).0/10games led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Jong AZ · last 10 at home7.5 corners, 0.6 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners10/10Over 4.5 corners10/10Over 5.5 corners7/10Over 0.5 cards

Helmond Sport · last 10 away4.6 corners, 1.9 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners5/10Over 4.5 corners4/10Over 5.5 corners4/10Over 0.5 cards9/10Over 1.5 cards6/10

44Xander van der Velde

Bench

Wessel van der Heijden, A. El Maach, R. van Bree, F. Van Den Eynden, T. Landheer, L. Cicero, A. Dizdarević, Dayen Geerts, L. Bajrami, K. Ekoli, N. Meissner

Helmond Sport – Jong AZMarch 11, 2024 · Eerste Divisie3-1

Jong AZ – Helmond SportNovember 10, 2023 · Eerste Divisie2-1

Jong AZ – Helmond SportJanuary 23, 2023 · Eerste Divisie1-1

Helmond Sport – Jong AZAugust 12, 2022 · Eerste Divisie1-3

Jong AZ – Helmond SportApril 29, 2022 · Eerste Divisie0-1

Helmond Sport – Jong AZAugust 13, 2021 · Eerste Divisie1-2

Helmond Sport – Jong AZApril 2, 2021 · Eerste Divisie2-0

Jong AZ – Helmond SportDecember 18, 2020 · Eerste Divisie2-2

Jong AZ – Helmond SportDecember 9, 2019 · Eerste Divisie4-1

Helmond Sport – Jong AZFebruary 22, 2019 · Eerste Divisie1-3

Jong AZ – Helmond SportOctober 5, 2018 · Eerste Divisie2-2

Michel Simon LudwigAssist: Tarik Essakkati

62'⇄Gijs GrootOff: rio robbemond

62'⇄Kiani IngeOff: Jasper Hartog

68'⇄Livio CiceroOff: Dean·Huiberts

74'⇄Adam OuazizOff: Bogdan Budko

77'⇄Flor Van Den EyndenOff: Lovro Golic

78'⚽Frej Elkjær Andersen

84'⇄Melle RoedeOff: Saviola Mourinho Simons Saffoe

84'⇄Kiton EkoliOff: Tarik Essakkati

84'⇄Labinot BajramiOff: Joep van der Sluijs

88'⇄alen dizdarevicOff: Xander van der Velde

89'⚽Kiton EkoliAssist: Brian Koglin

90'⇄J. EsajasOff: Kevin toppenberg

90+3'⚽J. EsajasAssist: Melle Roede

Statistics

55%Possession45%

1.11Expected goals1.7

14Total shots21

6Shots on target9

5Corners7

8Fouls12

1Offsides2

0Yellow cards0

0Red cards0

5Saves1

Helmond Sport: 3+ goals in 4 of their last 10 away matches.

Jong AZ scored 1.4 and conceded 1.2 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Helmond Sport scored 0.6 and conceded 1.7 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Jong AZ: 10 games · Helmond Sport: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.7Goals scored (avg)1.0

1.3Goals conceded (avg)2.1

3.0Total goals per gameleague 3.63.1

10/10Over 0.5league %989/10

8/10Over 1.5league %868/10

4/10Over 2.5league %685/10

2/10Over 3.5league %443/10

2/10Over 4.5league %282/10

5/10Both scoreleague %706/10

2/10Clean sheets1/10

3/10Failed to score4/10

Jong AZ: 10 games · Helmond Sport: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.6Goals scored (avg)2.1

2.2Goals conceded (avg)2.5

4.8Total goals per gameleague 3.64.6

10/10Over 0.5league %9810/10

9/10Over 1.5league %8610/10

8/10Over 2.5league %688/10

5/10Over 3.5league %447/10

5/10Over 4.5league %284/10

9/10Both scoreleague %708/10

0/10Clean sheets0/10

1/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%25 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Jong AZ win 248, 240 end level and Helmond Sport win 512. The actual result comes up 248 times in 1000.

90+3'

J. Esajas decided it in minute 90.

1.11 – 1.70 The score the chances deserved (xG): Jong AZ 1.11 – 1.70 Helmond Sport.

9.0

Man of the match: J. Hartog (Jong AZ), rated 9.0.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 15 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Jong AZ · Eerste Divisie

Helmond Sport · Eerste Divisie

Jong AZ · All games

Helmond Sport · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Jong AZ's ground

Last 15 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match