Venezia – Inter: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Serie A · Italy · Matchday 9

VeneziaSerie A · #20

0-2Wednesday, October 28

InterSerie A · #1

Match events

VeneziaInter

28'Alessandro Bastoni
29'VARLion LauberbachGoal cancelled
45'⇄Hakan ÇalhanoğluOff: Aleksandar Stankovic
45'⇄Nicolò BarellaOff: Petar Sučić
45'⇄Manuel AkanjiOff: Yann Bisseck
56'Nicolò Barella

Chances to win

Venezia%14

Draw%18

Inter%68

At a glance

Over 1.5

%69Over 2.5

%60Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%69Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Missed

Other scenarios

Inter win%68

Both score%60

Not both score%40

Under 2.5%31

Draw%18

Venezia win%14

Why?

Venezia: 3+ goals in 4 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

VeneziaL0-1W1-0L1-3L0-2L2-4

InterW2-1W1-0W3-1L3-4W3-0

Last 5 meetings

0Venezia won

0Draw

5Inter won

2.6
Goals per game2/5
Over 2.52/5
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Venezia · last 10 at home5/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Inter · last 10 away3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).5/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 5 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Venezia · last 10 at home5.8 corners, 1.9 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/10Over 4.5 corners8/10Over 5.5 corners5/10

Inter · last 10 away4.5 corners, 2.9 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/10Over 4.5 corners5/10Over 5.5 corners3/10Over 0.5 cards10/10Over 1.5 cards8/10

Bench

L. Montipò, J. Schingtienne, R. Haps, A. Bella-Kotchap, R. Sagrado, G. Busio, Lamine Dabo, T. Bašić, M. Dagasso, A. Duncan, Toni Fernández, A. Rrahmani, J. Yeboah, K. Lisman

Inter · 3-5-2

49I. Provedel

30Carlos Augusto

31Y. Bisseck

95A. Bastoni

5A. Stanković

7P. Zieliński

8P. Sučić

17A. Diouf

32F. Dimarco

9M. Thuram

14A. Bonny

Bench

Josep Martínez, R. Di Gennaro, M. Akanji, L. Bovio, L. Jakirović, D. Spence, H. Çalhanoğlu, H. Mkhitaryan, N. Barella, M. Mosconi, M. Lavelli, F. Esposito

Venezia – InterNovember 27, 2021 · Serie A

61'⇄Gianluca BusioOff: Enrique Pérez Muñoz

65'⇄Pio EspositoOff: Ange-Yoan Bonny

68'⇄Toma BašićOff: Thorir Johann Helgason

68'⇄John YeboahOff: Lion Lauberbach

76'⇄Ridgeciano HapsOff: Pasquale Mazzocchi

79'⚽Matias MorenoOwn goal

82'⚽Redouane HalhalOwn goal

86'⇄Djed SpenceOff: Marcus Thuram

Statistics

34%Possession66%

1.56Expected goals2.08

12Total shots16

4Shots on target2

3Corners6

5Fouls9

5Offsides2

0Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

2Saves4

Inter: 3+ goals in 7 of their last 10 away matches.

Venezia scored 1.8 and conceded 1.2 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Inter scored 2.2 and conceded 1.4 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Inter · last 10 away: 3+ goals 7 times7/10

Venezia: 10 games · Inter: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.6Goals scored (avg)2.3

1.4Goals conceded (avg)1.3

3.0Total goals per gameleague 3.23.6

10/10Over 0.5league %9810/10

9/10Over 1.5league %869/10

4/10Over 2.5league %607/10

4/10Over 3.5league %345/10

2/10Over 4.5league %212/10

4/10Both scoreleague %586/10

3/10Clean sheets4/10

3/10Failed to score0/10

Venezia: 10 games · Inter: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

0.7Goals scored (avg)2.5

2.1Goals conceded (avg)1.5

2.8Total goals per gameleague 3.24.0

10/10Over 0.5league %9810/10

8/10Over 1.5league %869/10

4/10Over 2.5league %608/10

3/10Over 3.5league %345/10

2/10Over 4.5league %213/10

4/10Both scoreleague %587/10

1/10Clean sheets3/10

5/10Failed to score0/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%50 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Venezia win 291, 211 end level and Inter win 498. The actual result comes up 498 times in 1000.

Inter: win number 4 in a row.

1.56 – 2.08 The score the chances deserved (xG): Venezia 1.56 – 2.08 Inter.

34 – 66 Possession (%): Venezia 34 – 66 Inter.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 5 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Venezia · Serie A

Inter · Serie A

Venezia · All games

Inter · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Venezia's ground

Last 5 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match