Inter – Parma: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Serie A · Italy · Matchday 6

InterSerie A · #1

3-0Saturday, October 10

ParmaSerie A · #19

Match events

InterParma

13'⚽Petar Sučić
15'VARPio EspositoPenalty confirmed
18'⚽Hakan ÇalhanoğluPenalty
31'⚽Marcus ThuramAssist: Henrikh Mkhitaryan
61'⇄Ange-Yoan BonnyOff: Pio Esposito
61'⇄Lautaro MartínezOff: Marcus Thuram
61'

Chances to win

Inter%81

Draw%12

Parma%6

At a glance

Over 1.5

%67Over 2.5

%45Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Inter win.

%81Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 8.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%67

Not both score%55

Both score%45

Under 2.5%33

Draw%12

Parma win%6

Why?

Inter won 8 of their last 10 home matches.
Inter scored 2.9 and conceded 1.2 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

InterD2-2W5-3L1-2W3-2W1-0

ParmaW2-1L1-2D1-1L0-2L0-2

Last 5 meetings

3Inter won

2Draw

0Parma won

2.8
Goals per game2/5
Over 2.53/5
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Inter · last 10 at home6/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Parma · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).7/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 0 of the 1 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Inter · last 10 at home7.3 corners, 0.9 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/10Over 4.5 corners7/10Over 5.5 corners7/10

Parma · last 10 away3.3 corners, 1.3 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners4/10Over 4.5 corners3/10Over 5.5 corners1/10Over 0.5 cards5/10Over 1.5 cards4/10

Bench

R. Di Gennaro, I. Provedel, M. Akanji, L. Bovio, A. Bastoni, D. Spence, A. Stanković, P. Zieliński, N. Barella, Lautaro Martínez, Luis Henrique, A. Bonny

Parma · 3-4-2-1

40E. Corvi

15E. Del Prato

34Diego Carlos

37M. Troilo

4V. Sierro

14E. Valeri

16M. Keita

19E. Touré

29F. Carboni

80G. Fabbian

23N. Elphege

Bench

S. Ghidotti, G. Daffara, S. Britschgi, D. Drobnic, B. Cremaschi, Adrián Bernabé, C. Ordoñez, Abdou Konate, Ousmane Diallo, D. Romero, M. Frigan, S. Lontani

Inter – ParmaJanuary 10, 2023 · Coppa Italia

Aleksandar StankovicOff: Hakan Çalhanoğlu

61'⇄José David RomeroOff: Nesta Elphege

62'⇄Simone LontaniOff: Giovanni Fabbian

62'⇄Adrián Bernabé GarcíaOff: Vincent Sierro

73'⇄Luis HenriqueOff: Federico Dimarco

73'⇄Djed SpenceOff: Andy Diouf

78'⇄Sascha BritschgiOff: Franco Carboni

84'⇄Matija FriganOff: El Bilal Toure

Statistics

59%Possession41%

2.44Expected goals0.36

19Total shots9

6Shots on target2

3Corners1

13Fouls9

6Offsides2

0Yellow cards0

0Red cards0

2Saves4

Parma scored 0.6 and conceded 1.2 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Inter · last 10 at home: 8 wins8/10

Parma · last 10 away: 5 defeats5/10

Inter: 10 games · Parma: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.7Goals scored (avg)0.5

1.4Goals conceded (avg)1.7

4.1Total goals per gameleague 3.22.2

10/10Over 0.5league %989/10

9/10Over 1.5league %867/10

7/10Over 2.5league %604/10

5/10Over 3.5league %341/10

5/10Over 4.5league %211/10

7/10Both scoreleague %584/10

3/10Clean sheets2/10

0/10Failed to score5/10

Inter: 10 games · Parma: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.5Goals scored (avg)0.5

1.5Goals conceded (avg)1.7

4.0Total goals per gameleague 3.22.2

10/10Over 0.5league %989/10

9/10Over 1.5league %868/10

8/10Over 2.5league %605/10

5/10Over 3.5league %340/10

3/10Over 4.5league %210/10

7/10Both scoreleague %584/10

3/10Clean sheets1/10

0/10Failed to score6/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%83 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Inter win 834, 127 end level and Parma win 39. The actual result comes up 834 times in 1000.

2.44 – 0.36 The score the chances deserved (xG): Inter 2.44 – 0.36 Parma.

19 – 9 Shots: Inter 19 – 9 Parma.

8.2

Man of the match: P. Sučić (Inter), rated 8.2.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 5 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Inter · Serie A

Parma · Serie A

Inter · All games

Parma · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Inter's ground

Last 5 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match