Parma – Torino: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Serie A · Italy · Matchday 7

ParmaSerie A · #19

0-3Monday, October 19

TorinoSerie A · #9

Match events

ParmaTorino

4'⚽Giovanni SimeoneAssist: Rafik Belghali
24'⚽Che Adams
28'Diego Carlos
37'Ardian Ismajli
45'⇄Dominik DrobnicOff: Diego Carlos
45'⇄Simone LontaniOff: Giovanni Fabbian
54'

Chances to win

Parma%29

Draw%31

Torino%40

At a glance

Over 1.5

%40Over 2.5

%48Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.

%60Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed

Other scenarios

Not both score%52

Both score%48

Over 2.5%40

Torino win%40

Draw%31

Parma win%29

Why?

Parma: 2 or fewer goals in 8 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

ParmaL0-3W2-1L1-2D1-1L0-2

TorinoW2-1D1-1L0-2W2-1L0-1

Last 4 meetings

1Parma won

2Draw

1Torino won

3.0
Goals per game3/4
Over 2.53/4
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Parma · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Torino · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).0/10games led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Parma · last 10 at home4.1 corners, 1.9 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners3/10Over 4.5 corners3/10Over 5.5 corners

Torino · last 10 away3.1 corners, 1.5 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners3/10Over 4.5 corners3/10Over 5.5 corners2/10Over 0.5 cards8/10Over 1.5 cards4/10

Bench

S. Ghidotti, G. Daffara, A. N'Diaye, F. Carboni, D. Diallo, D. Drobnic, V. Sierro, B. Cremaschi, C. Ordoñez, Abdou Konate, M. Frigan, T. De Martis, S. Lontani

Torino · 3-4-1-2

20Lucas Perri

15P. Comuzzo

23Saúl Coco

44A. Ismajli

8R. Mandragora

10N. Vlašić

21Daniel Bragança

45R. Belghali

77A. Cacciamani

18G. Simeone

19C. Adams

Bench

D. Mascardi, L. Siviero, N. Patterson, C. Biraghi, E. Cömert, R. Rodríguez, G. Oristanio, C. Casadei, K. Fitz-Jim, G. Gineitis, Z. Aboukhlal, P. Pellegri, S. Kulenović, D. Zapata

63'⇄Sandro KulenovićOff: Che Adams

63'⇄Gvidas GineitisOff: Rolando Mandragora

69'⚽Giovanni SimeoneAssist: Rafik Belghali

70'⇄Ousmane DialloOff: Sascha Britschgi

70'⇄Matija FriganOff: El Bilal Toure

73'⇄Cesare CasadeiOff: Nikola Vlašić

73'⇄Zakaria AboukhlalOff: Rafik Belghali

80'⇄Christian OrdóñezOff: Adrián Bernabé García

82'VARMatija FriganGoal cancelled

83'⇄Duván ZapataOff: Giovanni Simeone

Statistics

51%Possession49%

1.61Expected goals1.58

25Total shots9

8Shots on target3

6Corners2

7Fouls16

2Offsides3

3Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

0Saves8

Torino: 2 or fewer goals in 4 of their last 10 away matches.

Parma scored 1.0 and conceded 1.1 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Torino scored 0.9 and conceded 1.6 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Parma · last 10 at home: 2 or fewer goals 8 times8/10

Parma: 10 games · Torino: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

0.9Goals scored (avg)1.2

1.1Goals conceded (avg)1.3

2.0Total goals per gameleague 3.22.5

9/10Over 0.5league %989/10

6/10Over 1.5league %868/10

3/10Over 2.5league %606/10

1/10Over 3.5league %341/10

1/10Over 4.5league %211/10

3/10Both scoreleague %586/10

4/10Clean sheets3/10

4/10Failed to score2/10

Parma: 10 games · Torino: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

0.5Goals scored (avg)1.4

1.7Goals conceded (avg)1.5

2.2Total goals per gameleague 3.22.9

9/10Over 0.5league %9810/10

8/10Over 1.5league %869/10

5/10Over 2.5league %607/10

0/10Over 3.5league %342/10

0/10Over 4.5league %211/10

4/10Both scoreleague %587/10

1/10Clean sheets1/10

6/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

1.43 – 1.37 The score the chances deserved (xG): Parma 1.43 – 1.37 Torino.

%36 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Parma win 387, 253 end level and Torino win 360. The actual result comes up 360 times in 1000.

25 – 9 Shots: Parma 25 – 9 Torino.

8 – 3 Shots on target: Parma 8 – 3 Torino.

2 more numbers for this match in Premium

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 4 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Parma · Serie A

Torino · Serie A

Parma · All games

Torino · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Parma's ground

Last 4 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match