Torino – Udinese: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Serie A · Italy · Matchday 6

TorinoSerie A · #9

2-1Monday, October 12

UdineseSerie A · #17

Match events

TorinoUdinese

36'⚽Daniel Bragança
43'⚽Jurgen Ekkelenkamp
45'⇄Ardian IsmajliOff: Ricardo Rodríguez
54'⇄Nikola VlašićOff: Gaetano Oristanio
54'⇄Emirhan İlkhanOff: Daniel Bragança
60'⇄Nicolo BertolaOff: James Abankwah
64'

Chances to win

Torino%37

Draw%31

Udinese%32

At a glance

Over 1.5

%44Over 2.5

%51Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.

%56Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed

Other scenarios

Both score%51

Not both score%49

Over 2.5%44

Torino win%37

Udinese win%32

Draw%31

Why?

Torino: 2 or fewer goals in 4 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

TorinoD1-1L0-2W2-1L0-1L1-2

UdineseL0-1L3-5L1-2W2-1W3-2

Last 8 meetings

4Torino won

2Draw

2Udinese won

2.4
Goals per game3/8
Over 2.54/8
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Torino · last 10 at home2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).2/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 2 games it led at half-time.

Udinese · last 10 away3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Torino · last 10 at home4.4 corners, 1.3 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners6/10Over 4.5 corners5/10Over 5.5 corners

Udinese · last 10 away3.0 corners, 1.8 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners3/10Over 4.5 corners2/10Over 5.5 corners1/10Over 0.5 cards9/10Over 1.5 cards4/10

Bench

D. Mascardi, L. Siviero, N. Patterson, C. Biraghi, E. Cömert, A. Ismajli, E. İlkhan, N. Vlašić, C. Casadei, K. Fitz-Jim, G. Gineitis, Z. Aboukhlal, P. Pellegri, S. Kulenović, D. Zapata

Udinese · 3-4-2-1

40M. Okoye

14J. Abankwah

28O. Solet

77E. Ebosse

6Oier Zarraga

8J. Karlström

11H. Kamara

23M. Vojvoda

32J. Ekkelenkamp

46Unai Gómez

30G. Chakvetadze

Bench

B. Mrozek, D. Padelli, D. Alaba, N. Bertola, M. Palma, C. Kabasele, S. Lovrić, J. Arizala, L. Miller, K. Davis, L. JovanoviÄ

Udinese – TorinoMarch 16, 2024 · Serie A

Torino – UdineseDecember 23, 2023 · Serie A1-1

Torino – UdineseFebruary 5, 2023 · Serie A1-0

Udinese – TorinoOctober 23, 2022 · Serie A1-2

Sandro KulenovićOff: Che Adams

67'⚽Sandro Kulenović

72'⇄Lazar JovanovicOff: Oier Zarraga

72'⇄Keinan DavisOff: Unai Gómez

72'⇄David AlabaOff: Mergim Vojvoda

77'⇄Gvidas GineitisOff: Emirhan İlkhan

81'⇄Juan ArizalaOff: Hassane Kamara

Statistics

38%Possession62%

2.47Expected goals0.72

12Total shots15

4Shots on target1

4Corners3

4Fouls10

7Offsides0

0Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

0Saves2

Udinese: 2 or fewer goals in 4 of their last 10 away matches.

Torino scored 1.6 and conceded 1.2 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Udinese scored 1.9 and conceded 1.6 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Torino: 10 games · Udinese: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.4Goals scored (avg)1.9

1.6Goals conceded (avg)1.5

3.0Total goals per gameleague 3.23.4

10/10Over 0.5league %989/10

8/10Over 1.5league %868/10

7/10Over 2.5league %606/10

4/10Over 3.5league %344/10

1/10Over 4.5league %213/10

7/10Both scoreleague %585/10

1/10Clean sheets4/10

2/10Failed to score2/10

Torino: 10 games · Udinese: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.4Goals scored (avg)1.1

1.5Goals conceded (avg)1.9

2.9Total goals per gameleague 3.23.0

10/10Over 0.5league %989/10

9/10Over 1.5league %868/10

7/10Over 2.5league %606/10

2/10Over 3.5league %342/10

1/10Over 4.5league %212/10

7/10Both scoreleague %586/10

1/10Clean sheets1/10

2/10Failed to score4/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%76 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Torino win 757, 154 end level and Udinese win 88. The actual result comes up 757 times in 1000.

2.47 – 0.72 The score the chances deserved (xG): Torino 2.47 – 0.72 Udinese.

8.2

Man of the match: J. Ekkelenkamp (Udinese), rated 8.2.

%37 Our model's pre-match chance of a Torino win.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 8 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Torino · Serie A

Udinese · Serie A

Torino · All games

Udinese · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Torino's ground

Last 8 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match