Fiorentina – Como: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Serie A · Italy · Matchday 7

FiorentinaSerie A · #18

1-3Sunday, October 18

ComoSerie A · #4

Match events

FiorentinaComo

-5'Franco Mastantuono
14'⇄J. RamonOff: T. Chalobah
28'Álex Valle
32'⚽M. LiberaliAssist: M. Caqueret
36'⚽N. PazAssist: A. Valle
39'Nico Paz
42'

Chances to win

Fiorentina%28

Draw%26

Como%46

At a glance

Over 1.5

%56Over 2.5

%59Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%56Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%59

Como win%46

Under 2.5%44

Not both score%41

Fiorentina win%28

Draw%26

Why?

Fiorentina: 3+ goals in 5 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

FiorentinaL1-2D1-1W3-0W4-2L1-2

ComoL2-3D0-0L0-2W2-1W4-1

Last 5 meetings

2Fiorentina won

0Draw

3Como won

2.8
Goals per game3/5
Over 2.53/5
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Fiorentina · last 10 at home2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Como · last 10 away3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).5/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 5 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Fiorentina · last 10 at home4.7 corners, 1.9 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/10Over 4.5 corners4/10Over 5.5 corners

Como · last 10 away5.9 corners, 1.6 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/10Over 4.5 corners6/10Over 5.5 corners6/10Over 0.5 cards8/10Over 1.5 cards5/10

30Franco Mastantuono

Bench

L. Lezzerini, O. Christensen, Dodô, João Mário, Valde, Arnis Ademi, M. Brescianini, C. Inao OulaÃ¯, Beto, W. Gnonto

Como

1J. Butez

2M. Kempf

3Álex Valle

27Yan Couto

99T. Chalobah

6Luis Milla

7L. da Cunha

8M. Caqueret

10N. Paz

30M. Liberali

9T. Douvikas

Bench

M. Vigorito, Robert Sánchez, Jacobo Ramón Naveros, A. Dossena, Kaiki, E. Goldaniga, I. Smolčić, Willy Kambwala Ndengushi, M. Perrone, A. Lahdo, Jesús Rodríguez, M. Baturina, S. Ricci, J. Addai

Como – FiorentinaNovember 24, 2024 · Serie A0-2

45+4'VARMarin PongračićGoal cancelled

46'⇄KaikiOff: A. Valle

56'⚽A. DouvikasAssist: N. Paz

61'⇄M. PerroneOff: N. Paz

63'⇄W. GnontoOff: Pote

64'⇄V. ValdepenasOff: Viery

69'⇄DodoOff: A. Jimenez

69'⇄M. BrescianiniOff: F. Mastantuono

79'⇄BetoOff: C. Ndour

83'⇄W. KambwalaOff: M. Liberali

83'⇄S. RicciOff: L. Da Cunha

Statistics

47%Possession53%

2.11Expected goals1.59

19Total shots16

7Shots on target8

11Corners5

12Fouls12

4Offsides0

2Yellow cards3

5Saves5

88%Pass accuracy88%

Como: 3+ goals in 6 of their last 10 away matches.

Fiorentina scored 1.3 and conceded 0.9 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Como scored 1.9 and conceded 1.4 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Fiorentina · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 5 times5/10

Como · last 10 away: 3+ goals 6 times6/10

Fiorentina: 10 games · Como: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.3Goals scored (avg)2.2

1.3Goals conceded (avg)1.1

2.6Total goals per gameleague 3.23.3

8/10Over 0.5league %9810/10

8/10Over 1.5league %869/10

6/10Over 2.5league %606/10

3/10Over 3.5league %345/10

1/10Over 4.5league %213/10

6/10Both scoreleague %587/10

3/10Clean sheets2/10

3/10Failed to score1/10

Fiorentina: 10 games · Como: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.4Goals scored (avg)2.4

2.1Goals conceded (avg)1.1

3.5Total goals per gameleague 3.23.5

10/10Over 0.5league %989/10

10/10Over 1.5league %869/10

9/10Over 2.5league %607/10

4/10Over 3.5league %346/10

1/10Over 4.5league %214/10

7/10Both scoreleague %587/10

1/10Clean sheets2/10

2/10Failed to score2/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%31 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Fiorentina win 495, 197 end level and Como win 307. The actual result comes up 307 times in 1000.

2.33 – 1.83 The score the chances deserved (xG): Fiorentina 2.33 – 1.83 Como.

11 – 5 Corners: Fiorentina 11 – 5 Como.

8.8

Man of the match: N. Paz (Como), rated 8.8.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 5 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Fiorentina · Serie A

Como · Serie A

Fiorentina · All games

Como · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Fiorentina's ground

Last 5 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match