AS Roma – Genoa: probabilities, statistics and live score

AS RomaSerie A · #3

2-0Saturday, October 17

GenoaSerie A · #13

Match events

AS RomaGenoa

43'Matias Soule
50'⚽Santiago Thomas Castro
51'Johan Vásquez
63'⇄Lorenzo PellegriniOff: Rodrigo Mora
63'⇄Mario HermosoOff: Konstantinos Koulierakis
65'Leo Østigård
65'

Chances to win

AS Roma%60

Draw%24

Genoa%16

At a glance

Over 1.5

%50Over 2.5

%49Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

Last 5 matches

AS RomaL3-4D0-0D2-2W2-0D1-1

GenoaW2-1L1-2W1-0D1-1L

Last 7 meetings

4AS Roma won

1Draw

2Genoa won

2.9
Goals per game4/7
Over 2.55/7
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

AS Roma · last 10 at home4/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).5/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 5 games it led at half-time.

Genoa · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).0/10games led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

AS Roma · last 10 at home6.3 corners, 1.9 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/10Over 4.5 corners6/10Over 5.5 corners

Genoa · 3-4-2-1

1J. Bijlow

5L. Østigård

22J. Vásquez

27A. Marcandalli

10Junior Messias

31D. Puczka

32M. Frendrup

71S. Wiafe

77M. Ellertsson

92S. El Shaarawy

18M. Osmajić

Bench

D. Sommariva, F. Stolz, M. Mitaj, C. Drameh, S. Sabelli, S. Otoa, M. Vaz, Alexsandro Amorim, T. Baldanzi, H. Traorè, Vítinha, Nikita Solodchenko

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is AS Roma win.

%60Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Not both score%51

Under 2.5%50

Over 2.5%50

Both score%49

Draw%24

Genoa win%16

Why?

AS Roma · last 10 at home: 6 wins6/10

Genoa · last 10 away: 5 defeats5/10

AS Roma won 6 of their last 10 home matches.
AS Roma scored 2.5 and conceded 1.1 per game in their last 10 home matches.
Genoa scored 0.5 and conceded 0.9 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

AS Roma: 10 games · Genoa: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.8Goals scored (avg)0.5

1.0Goals conceded (avg)1.1

3.8Total goals per gameleague 3.21.6

10/10Over 0.5league %988/10

10/10Over 1.5league %866/10

7/10Over 2.5league %612/10

6/10Over 3.5league %360/10

2/10Over 4.5league %220/10

5/10Both scoreleague %592/10

5/10Clean sheets3/10

0/10Failed to score7/10

AS Roma: 10 games · Genoa: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.6Goals scored (avg)0.9

1.4Goals conceded (avg)1.3

4.0Total goals per gameleague 3.22.2

9/10Over 0.5league %9810/10

9/10Over 1.5league %867/10

6/10Over 2.5league %613/10

6/10Over 3.5league %361/10

4/10Over 4.5league %221/10

6/10Both scoreleague %594/10

4/10Clean sheets3/10

1/10Failed to score3/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%61 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), AS Roma win 610, 265 end level and Genoa win 124. The actual result comes up 610 times in 1000.

1.45 – 0.49 The score the chances deserved (xG): AS Roma 1.45 – 0.49 Genoa.

66 – 34 Possession (%): AS Roma 66 – 34 Genoa.

8.0

Man of the match: S. Castro (AS Roma), rated 8.0.

1 more numbers for this match in Premium

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

Last 5 matches

Last 7 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at AS Roma's ground

Last 7 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

AS Roma · Serie A

Genoa · Serie A

AS Roma · All games

Genoa · All games

Statistics

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match