The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.
%65Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Came true ✓
Other scenarios
Both score%66
Real Madrid win%48
Under 2.5%35
Not both score%34
AS Roma win%28
Draw%24
Why?
AS Roma: 3+ goals in 7 of their last 10 home matches.
Last 5 matches
AS RomaD0-0D2-2W2-0D1-1W2-1
Real MadridW1-0L1-2W3-2W4-1W2-1
Handicap and HT/FT history
By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.
AS Roma · last 10 at home4/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).6/10games led at half-time.Won 4 of the 6 games it led at half-time.
Real Madrid · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).9/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 4 games it led at half-time.
Corners and cards
Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.
AS Roma · last 10 at home6.2 corners, 1.7 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/10Over 4.5 corners5/10Over 5.5 corners
Referee
Francois Letexier4.0 cards a match in 3 recorded games
Premium members onlyLikely scores, likely scorers, corner, card and half chances.
AS Roma · European games
4W 4D 2LScored 16 · conceded 102.5 Üst 4/10KG 6/10
Real Madrid · European games
6W 0D 4LScored 23 · conceded 162.5 Üst 9/10KG 8/10
AS Roma · All games
7W 3D 0LScored 22 · conceded 62.5 Üst 5/10KG 4/10
Real Madrid · All games
8W 0D 2LScored 25 · conceded 112.5 Üst 8/10KG 7/10
Missing players
AS Roma
M. Svilar
This season 6 games · 0 goals · 0 assists · Toe Injury
B. Cristante
This season 9 games · 2 goals · 1 assists · Knee Injury
M. Bah
No games this season · Knee Injury
Real Madrid
Eder Militao
This season 1 games · 0 goals · 0 assists · Hamstring Injury
F. Mendy
No games this season · Hip Injury
Rodrygo
No games this season · Knee Injury
R. Asencio
No games this season · Broken Leg
Starting line-ups
AS Roma · 3-4-2-1
95P. Gollini
5E. Ndicka
22Hermoso
23G. Mancini
15M. de Roon
17M. Koné
Previous meetings
The two teams have not met before.
5/10
Over 0.5 cards9/10
Over 1.5 cards6/10
Real Madrid · last 10 away5.4 corners, 3.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners8/10Over 4.5 corners6/10Over 5.5 corners5/10Over 0.5 cards9/10Over 1.5 cards8/10
D. Vásquez, G. De Marzi, D. Rensch, K. Koulierakis, L. Balerdi, E. Lulli, D. Ghilardi, L. Pellegrini, N. Pisilli, Rodrigo Mora, S. Castro
Real Madrid · 4-2-3-1
1T. Courtois
16I. Konaté
17Marc Cucurella
22A. Rüdiger
24D. Dumfries
5J. Bellingham
8F. Valverde
10Kylian Mbappé
14A. Tchouaméni
25Y. Diomande
7Vinícius Júnior
Bench
A. Lunin, Sergio Mestre, D. Huijsen, T. Alexander-Arnold, Álvaro Fernández, E. Camavinga, A. Güler, Bernardo Silva, Brahim Díaz, Thiago Pitarch, Endrick, Carlos Espí
58'
VAR
Donyell MalenGoal confirmed
59'⇄Endrick Felipe Moreira de SousaOff: Vinícius
59'⇄Arda GülerOff: Denzel Dumfries
60'Gianluca Mancini
63'⇄Lorenzo PellegriniOff: Matias Soule
63'⇄Leonardo BalerdiOff: Gianluca Mancini
69'Wesley Vinícius França Lima
70'⇄Bernardo SilvaOff: Aurelien Tchouameni
78'⇄Álvaro Fernández CarrerasOff: Marc Cucurella
78'⇄Carlos EspíOff: Yan Diomande
81'⇄Konstantinos KoulierakisOff: Mario Hermoso
83'⚽Carlos Espí
83'VARCarlos EspíGoal confirmed
85'⚽Endrick Felipe Moreira de SousaAssist: Arda Güler
89'Lorenzo Pellegrini
90'⚽Antonio RüdigerAssist: Arda Güler
90+5'Álvaro Fernández Carreras
Statistics
54%Possession46%
1.51Expected goals1.89
14Total shots16
7Shots on target8
5Corners9
15Fouls8
1Offsides1
3Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
4Saves4
Real Madrid: 3+ goals in 5 of their last 10 away matches.
AS Roma scored 2.5 and conceded 1.0 per game in their last 10 home matches.
Real Madrid scored 1.4 and conceded 1.5 per game in their last 10 away matches.
Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.
AS RomaSerie A · #3
Real MadridPrimera División · #3