Viking – Tromso: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Eliteserien · Norway · Matchday 12

VikingEliteserien · #1

3-1Sunday, October 25

TromsoEliteserien · #5

Match events

VikingTromso

5'VARZlatko TripićGoal cancelled
7'Joe Bell
11'⇄Lars Olden LarsenOff: Troy Engseth Nyhammer
12'Gianni Stensness
18'⚽Peter Christiansen
31'⚽Henrik HeggheimAssist: Kristoffer Haugen
45'

Chances to win

Viking%60

Draw%21

Tromso%19

At a glance

Over 1.5

%65Over 2.5

%61Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%65Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Both score%61

Viking win%60

Not both score%39

Under 2.5%35

Draw%21

Tromso win%19

Why?

Viking: 3+ goals in 10 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

VikingL1-3W3-2D3-3W2-0W3-0

TromsoD1-1D1-1W3-2W2-1L3-5

Last 15 meetings

6Viking won

7Draw

2Tromso won

3.1
Goals per game7/15
Over 2.511/15
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Viking · last 10 at home5/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).6/10games led at half-time.Won 5 of the 6 games it led at half-time.

Tromso · last 10 away3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).6/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Viking · last 10 at home8.0 corners, 2.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners9/10Over 4.5 corners9/10Over 5.5 corners9/10Over 0.5 cards

Tromso · last 7 away2.7 corners, 2.0 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners3/7Over 4.5 corners1/7Over 5.5 corners1/7Over 0.5 cards7/7Over 1.5 cards3/7

Bench

Ľ. Belko, H. Haugen, Vetle Auklend, J. Daland, T. Moi, J. Hansen, R. Postema, A. Cosic, N. Fuglestad

Tromso · 5-3-2

1J. Haugaard

4V. Skjærvik

25C. Øyvann

29A. Warneryd

30I. Vådebu

37S. Innvær

5D. Edvardsson

11R. Jenssen

70M. Bjørlo

10T. Nyhammer

22H. Larsen

Bench

O. Lauvli, V. Osuji, M. Jatta, J. Grundt, I. Dahlqvist, L. Olden Larsen, D. Braut, Nicolai Arun Jacobsen

Viking – TromsoMay 5, 2024 · Eliteserien2-1

Tromso – VikingFebruary 24, 2024 · Friendlies Clubs0-1

Viking – TromsoFebruary 24, 2024 · Friendlies Clubs1-0

Viking – TromsoOctober 22, 2023 · Eliteserien3-4

Tromso – VikingApril 23, 2023 · Eliteserien1-1

Viking – TromsoSeptember 18, 2022 · Eliteserien2-2

Tromso – VikingMay 22, 2022 · Eliteserien1-1

Tromso – VikingDecember 12, 2021 · Eliteserien0-2

Viking – TromsoMay 16, 2021 · Eliteserien0-1

Tromso – VikingMarch 1, 2020 · Friendlies Clubs1-1

Viking – TromsoOctober 20, 2019 · Eliteserien2-1

Tobias MoiOff: Joe Bell

45'⇄Jesper DalandOff: Gianni Stensness

45'⇄Isak·DahlqvistOff: Sander Håvik Innvær

45+2'⚽Erik BotheimAssist: Kristoffer Haugen

68'⇄Vince OsujiOff: Casper Oyvann

68'⇄Jesper Andreas GrundtOff: Morten Bjorlo

68'⇄Daniel BrautOff: Heine Asen Larsen

74'⇄Herman HaugenOff: Henrik Falchener

74'⇄Amin CosicOff: Peter Christiansen

80'⇄Romano PostemaOff: Erik Botheim

90+3'⚽Jesper Andreas GrundtAssist: David Edvardsson

Statistics

41%Possession59%

1.16Expected goals1.53

9Total shots20

5Shots on target4

4Corners6

11Fouls11

1Offsides1

3Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

3Saves2

Tromso: 3+ goals in 8 of their last 10 away matches.

Viking scored 3.5 and conceded 1.3 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Tromso scored 2.5 and conceded 2.1 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Viking · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 10 times10/10

Tromso · last 10 away: 3+ goals 8 times8/10

Viking: 10 games · Tromso: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

3.5Goals scored (avg)2.5

1.4Goals conceded (avg)2.1

4.9Total goals per gameleague 3.24.6

10/10Over 0.5league %9710/10

10/10Over 1.5league %8710/10

10/10Over 2.5league %638/10

6/10Over 3.5league %377/10

4/10Over 4.5league %215/10

9/10Both scoreleague %606/10

1/10Clean sheets2/10

0/10Failed to score2/10

Viking: 10 games · Tromso: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.9Goals scored (avg)1.4

1.6Goals conceded (avg)2.1

4.5Total goals per gameleague 3.23.5

10/10Over 0.5league %979/10

10/10Over 1.5league %879/10

9/10Over 2.5league %636/10

7/10Over 3.5league %375/10

4/10Over 4.5league %213/10

7/10Both scoreleague %607/10

3/10Clean sheets1/10

0/10Failed to score3/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%29 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Viking win 288, 254 end level and Tromso win 458. The actual result comes up 288 times in 1000.

1.16 – 1.53 The score the chances deserved (xG): Viking 1.16 – 1.53 Tromso.

9 – 20 Shots: Viking 9 – 20 Tromso.

8.2

Man of the match: K. Haugen (Viking), rated 8.2.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 15 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Viking · Eliteserien

Tromso · Eliteserien

Viking · All games

Tromso · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Viking's ground

Last 15 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match