Viking – Fredrikstad: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Eliteserien · Norway · Matchday 24

VikingEliteserien · #1

3-2Saturday, October 17

FredrikstadEliteserien · #11

Match events

VikingFredrikstad

7'⚽Simen Kvia EgeskogAssist: Peter Christiansen
27'⚽Bryan FiabemaAssist: Gabriel Wesseh
36'Joe Bell
40'⚽Gabriel WessehAssist: Daniel Eid
45'⇄Zlatko TripićOff: Niklas Fuglestad
45'⇄Henrik BjørdalOff: Joe Bell

Chances to win

Viking%70

Draw%17

Fredrikstad%13

At a glance

Over 1.5

%68Over 2.5

%58Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Viking win.

%70Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Came true ✓

Other scenarios

Over 2.5%68

Both score%58

Not both score%42

Under 2.5%32

Draw%17

Fredrikstad win%13

Why?

Viking won 9 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

VikingD3-3W2-0W3-0W3-0W8-1

FredrikstadD1-1D1-1W1-0D1-1L1-2

Last 5 meetings

3Viking won

1Draw

1Fredrikstad won

2.8
Goals per game3/5
Over 2.53/5
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Viking · last 10 at home5/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).7/10games led at half-time.Won 6 of the 7 games it led at half-time.

Fredrikstad · last 10 away2/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).3/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 3 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Viking · last 10 at home8.0 corners, 1.8 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners9/10Over 4.5 corners9/10Over 5.5 corners9/10Over 0.5 cards

Fredrikstad · last 8 away3.3 corners, 1.9 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners3/8Over 4.5 corners2/8Over 5.5 corners1/8Over 0.5 cards6/8Over 1.5 cards4/8

Bench

Ľ. Belko, H. Haugen, E. Bassey, J. Daland, H. Bjørdal, J. Hansen, Z. Tripić, R. Postema, A. Cosic

Fredrikstad · 3-4-3

77M. Børsheim

4F. Holmé

28S. Owusu

38I. Amundsen

6S. Leach Holm

13S. Sørløkk

16D. Eid

21J. Jezierski

11L. West

18B. Fiabema

29G. Wesseh

Bench

J. Torkildsen, S. Rafn, U. Fredriksen, F. Ghebreyohannes, S. Laghzaoui, L. Owusu, B. Thoresen, J. Hummelvoll-Nuñez, H. Skogvold

Viking – FredrikstadApril 21, 2024 · Eliteserien1-1

56'⚽Peter ChristiansenAssist: Simen Kvia Egeskog

57'⚽Peter ChristiansenAssist: Vetle Auklend

58'⇄Jesper DalandOff: Henrik Falchener

58'⇄Henrik Langaas SkogvoldOff: jakub jezierski

66'⇄Fanuel GhebreyohannesOff: Gabriel Wesseh

70'⇄Herman HaugenOff: Vetle Auklend

80'⇄Leonard OwusuOff: Solomon Owusu

80'⇄Johannes Andres Hummelvoll-NunezOff: Samuel Holm

80'⇄Benjamin Thoresen FaraasOff: Sondre Sørløkk

89'⇄Jakob Segadal HansenOff: Peter Christiansen

Statistics

43%Possession57%

1.79Expected goals0.48

12Total shots8

4Shots on target2

6Corners0

15Fouls11

1Offsides2

3Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

0Saves1

Viking scored 3.5 and conceded 1.3 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Fredrikstad scored 1.7 and conceded 1.4 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Viking · last 10 at home: 9 wins9/10

Viking: 10 games · Fredrikstad: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

3.5Goals scored (avg)2.2

1.4Goals conceded (avg)1.8

4.9Total goals per gameleague 3.24.0

10/10Over 0.5league %9710/10

10/10Over 1.5league %877/10

10/10Over 2.5league %636/10

6/10Over 3.5league %376/10

4/10Over 4.5league %215/10

9/10Both scoreleague %606/10

1/10Clean sheets2/10

0/10Failed to score2/10

Viking: 10 games · Fredrikstad: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.9Goals scored (avg)2.4

1.6Goals conceded (avg)1.7

4.5Total goals per gameleague 3.24.1

10/10Over 0.5league %9710/10

10/10Over 1.5league %879/10

9/10Over 2.5league %636/10

7/10Over 3.5league %375/10

4/10Over 4.5league %215/10

7/10Both scoreleague %609/10

3/10Clean sheets1/10

0/10Failed to score0/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%69 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Viking win 694, 213 end level and Fredrikstad win 93. The actual result comes up 694 times in 1000.

1.79 – 0.48 The score the chances deserved (xG): Viking 1.79 – 0.48 Fredrikstad.

6 – 0 Corners: Viking 6 – 0 Fredrikstad.

9.7

Man of the match: P. Christiansen (Viking), rated 9.7.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 5 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Viking · Eliteserien

Fredrikstad · Eliteserien

Viking · All games

Fredrikstad · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Viking's ground

Last 5 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match