Start – Sandefjord: probabilities, statistics and live score

← Back·Eliteserien · Norway · Matchday 12

StartEliteserien · #16

1-0Sunday, October 25

SandefjordEliteserien · #13

Match events

StartSandefjord

46'⇄Oscar Forsmo KapskarmoOff: Sebastian Holm Mathisen
61'⇄Eirik SchulzeOff: Nikolaos Koutsakos
72'⚽Hakon LorentzenAssist: Eirik Schulze
72'⇄Ervin GigovicOff: Sander Risan Mörk
72'⇄Bendik Slotfeldt BerntsenOff: Evangelos Patoulidis
80'⇄Johan Meyer

Chances to win

Start%40

Draw%25

Sandefjord%36

At a glance

Over 1.5

%59Over 2.5

%62Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Over 2.5.

%59Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed

Other scenarios

Both score%62

Under 2.5%41

Start win%40

Not both score%38

Sandefjord win%36

Draw%25

Why?

Start: 3+ goals in 5 of their last 10 home matches.

Last 5 matches

StartL1-6L2-4W5-1L0-3W3-2

SandefjordL0-2D1-1W1-0W3-0L2-3

Last 10 meetings

1Start won

4Draw

5Sandefjord won

3.0
Goals per game6/10
Over 2.56/10
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Start · last 10 at home3/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).6/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Sandefjord · last 10 away1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).1/10games led at half-time.Won 1 of the 1 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Start · last 10 at home4.8 corners, 1.4 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/10Over 4.5 corners7/10Over 5.5 corners

Sandefjord · last 8 away4.8 corners, 2.3 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners5/8Over 4.5 corners5/8Over 5.5 corners3/8Over 0.5 cards6/8Over 1.5 cards5/8

Bench

S. Strand-Kolbjørnsen, F. Pålerud, A. Ujkani, J. Meyer, E. Schulze, N. Jojić, M. Nordal

Sandefjord

30E. Hadaya

4F. Pedersen

13R. Holten

44X. Lambrix

6S. Mørk

8T. Børkeeiet

14E. Pettersen

7E. Patoulidis

24S. Mathisen

27J. Dunsby

Bench

A. Grønneberg, M. Hellan, V. Egeli, E. Gigović, H. Krogelien, J. Vester, O. Kapskarmo, Bendik Berntsen, D. Skaarud

Start – SandefjordOctober 24, 2020 · Eliteserien0-1

Sandefjord – StartJune 21, 2020 · Eliteserien2-2

Sandefjord – StartAugust 9, 2019 · 1. Division0-0

Start – SandefjordApril 27, 2019 · 1. Division2-2

Sandefjord – StartNovember 4, 2018 · Eliteserien4-1

Start – SandefjordApril 2, 2018 · Eliteserien1-4

Off: Ousmane Diallo Toure

81'⇄Martin HellanOff: gustav hojbjerg

84'⇄Hakon KrogelienOff: Xander Lambrix

87'Bendik Slotfeldt Berntsen

89'⇄Altin UjkaniOff: Deni Dashaev

Statistics

33%Possession67%

0.87Expected goals1.12

10Total shots14

2Shots on target0

5Corners5

16Fouls16

2Offsides0

1Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

0Saves1

Sandefjord: 3+ goals in 7 of their last 10 away matches.

Start scored 1.3 and conceded 1.8 per game in their last 10 home matches.

Sandefjord scored 2.5 and conceded 1.6 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Start · last 10 at home: 3+ goals 5 times5/10

Sandefjord · last 10 away: 3+ goals 7 times7/10

Start: 10 games · Sandefjord: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.3Goals scored (avg)2.7

1.7Goals conceded (avg)1.5

3.0Total goals per gameleague 3.24.2

10/10Over 0.5league %9710/10

8/10Over 1.5league %877/10

5/10Over 2.5league %636/10

3/10Over 3.5league %374/10

3/10Over 4.5league %213/10

4/10Both scoreleague %606/10

3/10Clean sheets2/10

3/10Failed to score2/10

Start: 10 games · Sandefjord: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

2.0Goals scored (avg)1.3

2.0Goals conceded (avg)1.4

4.0Total goals per gameleague 3.22.7

10/10Over 0.5league %979/10

9/10Over 1.5league %877/10

7/10Over 2.5league %634/10

5/10Over 3.5league %373/10

5/10Over 4.5league %212/10

6/10Both scoreleague %605/10

2/10Clean sheets3/10

2/10Failed to score3/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%28 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Start win 282, 306 end level and Sandefjord win 412. The actual result comes up 282 times in 1000.

33 – 67 Possession (%): Start 33 – 67 Sandefjord.

0.87 – 1.12 The score the chances deserved (xG): Start 0.87 – 1.12 Sandefjord.

8.1

Man of the match: H. Lorentzen (Start), rated 8.1.

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Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Open with Premium

Halves
Results
Corners
Cards
Attack
When they score
When they concede

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Last 5 matches

Last 10 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Start · Eliteserien

Sandefjord · Eliteserien

Start · All games

Sandefjord · All games

Missing players

Starting line-ups

This fixture at Start's ground

Last 10 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Statistics

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match