Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto – Gimnasia L.P.: probabilities, statistics and live score

Estudiantes de Rio CuartoApertura - Group B · #15

1-2Saturday, October 31

Gimnasia L.P.Apertura - Group B · #6

Match events

Estudiantes de Rio CuartoGimnasia L.P.

12'Agustín Quiroga
24'⚽Marcelo TorresAssist: Ignacio Fernández
40'⚽Ignacio FernándezAssist: Agustin Auzmendi
45'⇄Siro RosanéOff: Gonzalo González
51'Sergio Ojeda
53'Alexis Steimbach

Chances to win

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto%24

Draw%29

Gimnasia L.P.%48

At a glance

Over 1.5

%42Over 2.5

%47Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

Last 5 matches

Estudiantes de Rio CuartoL1-2W2-1L0-1L1-2L1-2

Gimnasia L.P.W2-0W2-1D1-1D1-1D

Last 1 meetings

0Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto won

0Draw

1Gimnasia L.P. won

1.0
Goals per game0/1
Over 2.50/1
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto · last 10 at home0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).0/10games led at half-time.

Gimnasia L.P. · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 3 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto · last 10 at home5.4 corners, 2.2 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners7/10Over 4.5 corners5/10Over 5.5 corners

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.

%58Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 6.Missed

Other scenarios

Not both score%53

Gimnasia L.P. win%48

Both score%47

Over 2.5%42

Draw%29

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto win%24

Why?

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto · last 10 at home: 2 or fewer goals 6 times6/10

Gimnasia L.P. · last 10 away: 2 or fewer goals 5 times5/10

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto: 2 or fewer goals in 6 of their last 10 home matches.
Gimnasia L.P.: 2 or fewer goals in 5 of their last 10 away matches.
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto scored 0.6 and conceded 1.2 per game in their last 10 home matches.
Gimnasia L.P. scored 1.1 and conceded 1.4 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto: 10 games · Gimnasia L.P.: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

0.6Goals scored (avg)1.2

1.2Goals conceded (avg)1.5

1.8Total goals per gameleague 2.22.7

8/10Over 0.5league %8810/10

6/10Over 1.5league %6510/10

4/10Over 2.5league %386/10

0/10Over 3.5league %161/10

0/10Over 4.5league %60/10

4/10Both scoreleague %478/10

3/10Clean sheets0/10

5/10Failed to score2/10

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto: 10 games · Gimnasia L.P.: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

0.8Goals scored (avg)1.7

1.5Goals conceded (avg)1.2

2.3Total goals per gameleague 2.22.9

9/10Over 0.5league %8810/10

8/10Over 1.5league %6510/10

6/10Over 2.5league %386/10

0/10Over 3.5league %162/10

0/10Over 4.5league %61/10

7/10Both scoreleague %479/10

1/10Clean sheets1/10

3/10Failed to score0/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%28 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto win 472, 244 end level and Gimnasia L.P. win 284. The actual result comes up 284 times in 1000.

1.64 – 1.22 The score the chances deserved (xG): Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 1.64 – 1.22 Gimnasia L.P..

9.0

Man of the match: I. Fernández (Gimnasia L.P.), rated 9.0.

%48 Our model's pre-match chance of an Gimnasia L.P. win.

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

Last 5 matches

Last 1 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Missing players

Starting line-ups

Last 1 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto · Liga Profesional Argentina

Gimnasia L.P. · Liga Profesional Argentina

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto · All games

Gimnasia L.P. · All games

Statistics

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match