Barracas Central – Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto: probabilities, statistics and live score

Barracas CentralApertura - Group B · #9

2-1Monday, October 26

Estudiantes de Rio CuartoApertura - Group B · #15

Match events

Barracas CentralEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto

17'⇄Agustín QuirogaOff: Matias Valenti
18'Agustín Quiroga
27'⇄Martín GarneroneOff: Mauro Valiente
44'⚽Ibrahim Hesar
45'⇄Tomás PorraOff: Rodrigo Bogarin
64'⇄Rodrigo InsuaOff: Elías Pereyra

Chances to win

Barracas Central%56

Draw%28

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto%16

At a glance

Over 1.5

%34Over 2.5

%37Both score

First-half goal 10+ corners 4+ cards

Last 5 matches

Barracas CentralD1-1W2-0W3-2L0-1D1-1

Estudiantes de Rio CuartoW2-1L0-1L1-2L1-2L

Last 2 meetings

1Barracas Central won

1Draw

0Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto won

1.5
Goals per game1/2
Over 2.51/2
Both score

Handicap and HT/FT history

By how much the games ended, and at half-time; home side at home, visitors away.

Barracas Central · last 10 at home1/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).10/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).4/10games led at half-time.Won 2 of the 4 games it led at half-time.

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto · last 10 away0/10games won by 2 or more (what a 0:1 handicap needs).8/10games not lost, or lost by just 1 (what a 1:0 handicap needs).0/10games led at half-time.

Corners and cards

Each side's own corners and cards; home side at home, visitors away, recent games with statistics.

Barracas Central · last 9 at home4.4 corners, 2.9 cards a gameOver 3.5 corners5/9Over 4.5 corners4/9Over 5.5 corners4/9

What the data says

The data says the most likely scenario for this match is Under 2.5.

%66Of 10 matches that look this likely, this happens in about 7.Missed

Other scenarios

Not both score%63

Barracas Central win%56

Both score%37

Over 2.5%34

Draw%28

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto win%16

Why?

Barracas Central · last 10 at home: 2 or fewer goals 7 times7/10

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto · last 10 away: 2 or fewer goals 6 times6/10

Barracas Central: 2 or fewer goals in 7 of their last 10 home matches.
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto: 2 or fewer goals in 6 of their last 10 away matches.
Barracas Central scored 0.8 and conceded 0.9 per game in their last 10 home matches.
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto scored 0.4 and conceded 1.5 per game in their last 10 away matches.

Chances come from match data and market prices. A probability, not a certainty.

Barracas Central: 10 games · Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

0.9Goals scored (avg)0.5

0.9Goals conceded (avg)1.6

1.8Total goals per gameleague 2.22.1

9/10Over 0.5league %889/10

5/10Over 1.5league %657/10

4/10Over 2.5league %385/10

0/10Over 3.5league %160/10

0/10Over 4.5league %60/10

4/10Both scoreleague %475/10

4/10Clean sheets1/10

3/10Failed to score5/10

Barracas Central: 10 games · Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto: 10 games · league average in grey

Goals

1.1Goals scored (avg)0.8

1.1Goals conceded (avg)1.5

2.2Total goals per gameleague 2.22.3

8/10Over 0.5league %889/10

7/10Over 1.5league %658/10

4/10Over 2.5league %386/10

2/10Over 3.5league %160/10

1/10Over 4.5league %60/10

6/10Both scoreleague %477/10

3/10Clean sheets1/10

3/10Failed to score3/10

The real story of the match

What the score doesn't tell: chances, probabilities and broken runs.

%50 Played 1000 times on these chances (xG), Barracas Central win 499, 289 end level and Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto win 212. The actual result comes up 499 times in 1000.

1.30 – 0.74 The score the chances deserved (xG): Barracas Central 1.30 – 0.74 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto.

21 – 9 Shots: Barracas Central 21 – 9 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto.

12 – 3 Shots on target: Barracas Central 12 – 3 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto.

4 more numbers for this match in Premium

Match events

Chances to win

At a glance

Last 5 matches

Last 2 meetings

Handicap and HT/FT history

Corners and cards

Referee

Missing players

Starting line-ups

Last 2 meetings

Previous meetings

Model chances

Barracas Central · Liga Profesional Argentina

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto · Liga Profesional Argentina

Barracas Central · All games

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto · All games

Statistics

What the data says

Other scenarios

Why?

Goals

Goals

The real story of the match